Jacksonville are back in London for the second week running, at a different stadium. Our Texans vs Jaguars prediction covers a 4-1 team that has conceded seven touchdowns all season.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have a +53 point differential, second only to San Francisco. The Houston Texans are 1-4 despite being outscored by just two points across five games, and they have a new receiver: Marvin Harrison Jr. arrived from Arizona on Sunday.
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston TexansSquawka33%Market43%▼ Slight lay
Jacksonville JaguarsSquawka67%Market57%▲ ValueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Texans vs Jaguars: our editor’s props
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Texans vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far
A 4-1 team against a 1-4 team whose point differential is almost level. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually conceded.
Texans attack against the Jaguars defense
| Per game | Texans offense | Jaguars allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 261.8 | 266.2 |
| Rushing yards | 79.0 | 63.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Passer rating | 97.6 | 82.3 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.9% | 34.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 55.6% | 33.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.8 | 2.2 |
Jaguars attack against the Texans defense
| Per game | Jaguars offense | Texans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 220.6 | 234.0 |
| Rushing yards | 114.2 | 78.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Passer rating | 106.8 | 94.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 45.9% | 37.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 64.3% | 58.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 3.6 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
Jacksonville have allowed 1,331 passing yards and seven touchdowns. They give up ground between the 20s and almost nothing once the field shortens, which is the same split that carried them through Week 5.
Texans vs Jaguars quarterback matchup
Jacksonville rate 106.8 through the air to Houston’s 97.6, and the Jaguars have thrown ten touchdown passes to the Texans’ six.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | C.J. Stroud | 16/27, 167 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 89.6 rtg | 93/151, 1141 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 95.9 rtg (4 games) |
| Jaguars | Trevor Lawrence | 19/29, 182 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 102.9 rtg | 72/104, 843 yds, 8 TD, 2 INT, 111.2 rtg (4 games) |
Texans vs Jaguars injury report and team news
Marvin Harrison Jr. joined Houston from Arizona on 11 October and is available for his first game with the Texans.
Will Anderson Jr. has seven sacks, the most of any player in the NFL, in a Houston front that has recorded 18.
This is Jacksonville’s second straight home game in London, at Wembley rather than Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Houston TexansJacksonville JaguarsThe best run defense in football, in London
Jacksonville concede 2.93 yards a carry. No team in the NFL is lower, and only 319 rushing yards have gone through that front in five games. Houston average 3.38 on the ground, so this is not where the Texans will find anything.
Houston’s case is the pass rush. Eighteen sacks is second only to Detroit, Will Anderson Jr. has seven of them on his own, and Jacksonville have conceded ten.
Marvin Harrison Jr. is the unknown. He arrived two days after Week 5 and joins a passing game that has already produced 1,309 yards without him.
Players to watch
- Will Anderson Jr. (HOU, DE): Seven sacks, the most of any player in the NFL.
- Nico Collins (HOU, WR): The main target in a passing game worth 1,309 yards.
- Bhayshul Tuten (JAC, RB): 349 rushing yards behind the league’s best run defense.
- Parker Washington (JAC, WR): 352 receiving yards in an offense scoring 24.6 a game.
How to watch Texans vs Jaguars
Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Wembley Stadium in London, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT. NFL Network carries the game nationally.
| Detail | Texans vs Jaguars |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9:30 AM ET / 8:30 AM CT / 6:30 AM PT |
| Venue | Wembley Stadium, London, England |
| TV | NFL Network |
| Live stream | NFL+ / NFL Network |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Texans vs Jaguars prediction and score projection
Jacksonville win 27-17. The Jaguars have the better record, the better differential and a run defense Houston cannot get past.
Our projected margin for this game moves alongside the live market price.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
The rest of the round sits in NFL predictions for the round and the NFL odds page. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. Individual lines are covered in prop markets for this game.
Texans vs Jaguars FAQ
Jacksonville. They are 4-1 with a +53 differential; Houston are 1-4 at -2.
Wembley Stadium in London. It is Jacksonville’s second straight home game in the city, after Tottenham in Week 5.
9:30 AM ET, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT, on Sunday, October 18.
He joined the Texans from Arizona on 11 October and is on the active roster.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change