The World Cup outright odds are down to the last eight — and the quarter-finals continue tonight, with Spain and Belgium hoping to join France in the semi-finals.
France’s odds have been cut to as short as 6/4 following their 2-0 win over Morocco on Thursday night. Spain and Belgium follow tonight, before England, Norway, Argentina and Switzerland complete the round over the weekend.
Below, we have ranked all remaining six quarter-finalists by their latest outright price — alongside Thursday’s winners France — with a verdict on each.
World Cup 2026 outright odds: every team left
| Rank | Team | Odds (bet365) | Quarter-final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6/4 | Beat Morocco 2-0 |
| 2 | Spain | 9/2 | Belgium (10th July) |
| 3 | Argentina | 9/2 | Switzerland (12th July) |
| 4 | England | 9/2 | Norway (11th July) |
| 5 | Norway | 16/1 | England (11th July) |
| 6 | Belgium | 33/1 | Spain (10th July) |
| 7 | Switzerland | 33/1 | Argentina (12th July) |
Odds via bet365, correct at the time of writing on 10th July and subject to change.
All eight quarter-finalists ranked
1. France — 6/4
France are the only team already through to the semi-finals and are now strong favourites, and it is not hard to see why. Didier Deschamps’ side swatted Sweden aside 3-0 without leaving second gear, and navigated a war against Paraguay — thanks to Kylian Mbappe’s second-half penalty — to reach the quarter-finals. There, a win over Morocco showcased their strength again, with Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele finding the net in a 2-0 win. Short price, few arguments.
2. Spain — 9/2
Spain have been the tournament’s most complete side and the 3-0 win over Austria barely tested them. They were also able to overcome Portugal in the Round of 16, sending them into the quarter-finals to take on Belgium in Los Angeles on Friday.
3. Argentina — 9/2
The holders trailed Egypt at half-time and won 3-2 anyway — the second straight game Argentina have stared at trouble and simply refused to blink. Isn’t that what champions do? The market agrees, cutting them to 4/1, and Switzerland now await at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday night.
4. England — 9/2
England have answered some questions in the knockout stages so far. They’ve proven that they can overcome adversity. First, the Three Lions came from a goal down to beat DR Congo — showing they can recover from setbacks. England then beat Mexico 3-2 at the Estadio Azteca despite playing 40 minutes with 10 men. That result has seen England’s chances increase — and now Norway, with the tournament’s form striker, await in Miami on Saturday.
5. Norway — 16/1
A first World Cup knockout campaign since 1998 continues, and the place in the quarter-finals is thoroughly deserved. Norway have the tournament’s most-feared centre-forward and he helped them dispatch five-time world champions Brazil to reach a first-ever World Cup quarter-final. England in Miami is the reward, and on current form nobody will relish facing them.
6. Belgium — 33/1
Nobody has flirted with elimination more enthusiastically. Belgium needed extra time and a 3-2 thriller to shake off Senegal, but everything clicked in Seattle: a 4-1 statement win over the USA cut them from 50/1 to 33/1. Spain in the quarter-final is a far sterner test, but that was the display of a side rounding into form.
7. Switzerland — 33/1
The quiet men of the tournament keep advancing. Switzerland ground out a goalless 130 minutes against Colombia and won the shoot-out 4-3, and the market’s response was emphatic: cut from 80/1 to 33/1. Argentina at Arrowhead is the tallest order left in the draw, but they have made a career of outlasting sides above them in lists like this.
Who will win the 2026 World Cup?
France are worthy favourites: the deepest squad, the calmest knockout pedigree and an in-form Kylian Mbappe. Spain are the best team in the tournament on the evidence so far.
All in all, the value is thinning. The two remaining 33/1 shots all face members of the big four, so if anything appeals it is Norway at 16/1 — one more big Erling Haaland performance from a semi-final. For the latest prices on every market, see our World Cup top goalscorer odds, and if you are watching the knockouts, our World Cup live streaming guide and the latest free bet offers have every game covered.
