Using data from previous tournaments and qualifying, we’ve tasked our model with creating some World Cup AI predictions with correct score picks on every match at this summer’s tournament.
Our AI predictor combines data from qualifying matches, previous World Cups, bookmakers and more to determine the most likely correct score outcome from the game.
As the tournament progresses, the model will focus more heavily on the games that have already taken place within the tournament and it will look beyond results to input shot, possession and general match momentum data to see where value may lie.
Qatar vs Switzerland
The market is overwhelmingly pro-Switzerland, with the match-result prices implying roughly 78.4% Switzerland, 14.8% draw and 6.8% Qatar. The shortest correct score is 0-2, but this is one where the underlying data supports looking one goal higher. Qatar’s recent profile is volatile: 5W-1D-4L, with 16 scored and 20 conceded, meaning they have averaged 2.0 goals conceded per match across the sample. Their qualification standing also shows the defensive issue clearly: 24 goals conceded in 10 and a -7 goal difference.
The goal markets also allow room for the extra Swiss goal: Over 2.5 is slightly ahead at 55.8%, while BTTS: No is strongly favoured at 62.5%. That combination points toward a Swiss win to nil with at least three total goals. 0-2 is the safer market score, but 0-3 is the stronger value-aware predictor pick.
AI prediction: Qatar 0-3 Switzerland
Get the Squawka Bet team’s Qatar vs Switzerland tips and predictions here.
Brazil vs Morocco
Brazil are favourites, with the market giving them roughly 57.5% to win, compared with 25.1% for the draw and 17.3% for Morocco. The shortest correct score is 1-0 Brazil, but the data makes me reluctant to side with a straightforward Brazil win to nil. Morocco’s recent record is outstanding: 7W-3D-0L, with 17 scored and just one conceded. Their qualifying line is even stronger: 8 wins from 8, 22 goals for, 2 against, and a +20 goal difference.
This is the clearest example of avoiding the market’s most obvious correct score. The market leans Under 2.5 at 52.8% and BTTS: No at 52.9%, so 1-0 Brazil makes sense as a price. But Morocco’s attacking-territory profile and defensive form make them a credible candidate to avoid defeat or at least score. Brazil 1-1 Morocco is the value-aware pick, with Brazil 1-0 still the main danger score.
AI prediction: Brazil 1-1 Morocco
Get the Squawka Bet team’s Brazil vs Morocco tips and predictions here.
Haiti vs Scotland
Scotland are the correct result lean, with the market implying 60.9% Scotland, 22.9% draw and 16.1% Haiti. But the shortest correct score, 0-1 Scotland, feels too clean given Haiti’s attacking numbers. Haiti have averaged 2.0 goals per match in their recent sample and their advanced output is stronger than Scotland’s in several attacking categories.
The market is almost split on goals: Over 2.5 is 50.9%, while BTTS: Yes is 48.8%. That creates the value case for 1-2 Scotland over 0-1 Scotland. Scotland still have the broader team-strength and market edge, but Haiti’s shot volume, big-chance output and scoring rate make a clean sheet too fragile.
AI prediction: Haiti 1-2 Scotland
Get the Squawka Bet team’s Haiti vs Scotland tips and predictions here
Australia vs Turkey
Turkey are the market favourites at 56.4%, with the draw at 25.5% and Australia at 18.1%. The shortest correct score is 0-1 Turkey, but the underlying data points toward a Turkey win with more variance. Turkey have scored 22 goals in their last 10, averaging 2.2 per match, and their advanced profile is stronger than Australia’s for shots, box presence, passing volume and final-third territory.
The reason this is 1-2 rather than 0-1 is Turkey’s concession profile. They have allowed 15 goals in 10 in the recent sample and their qualifying line includes 12 conceded in six. Australia are not an especially high-volume attacking side, with only 5.4 shots and 1.9 shots on target per match in the advanced sample, but they have enough set-piece/direct-game route to make a Turkey clean sheet less attractive than the market’s shortest score suggests. 1-2 Turkey is the value pick, with 0-1 and 1-1 the danger scores.
AI prediction: Australia 1-2 Turkey
Get the Squawka Bet team’s Haiti vs Scotland tips and predictions here
| Our AI Model’s Prediction | Actual full-time result |
|---|---|
| Mexico 1-0 South Africa | Mexico 2-0 South Africa |
| South Korea 2-1 Czech Republic | South Korea 2-1 Czech Republic |
| Canada 1-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina | Canada 1-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina |
| USA 1-0 Paraguay | |
| Qatar 0-3 Switzerland | |
| Brazil 1-1 Morocco | |
| Haiti 1-2 Scotland | |
| Australia 1-2 Turkey |
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