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Squawka / News / Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew: predictions, best bets and latest odds

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew: predictions, best bets and latest odds

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew is, on paper, one of the more lopsided fixtures of the MLS weekend. The hosts arrive second in the Eastern Conference having won their last six league games, while Columbus land in Florida 11th, below the play-off line, and with the road form of a side well off the pace they set two seasons ago.

Miami have turned Freedom Park into a shooting gallery — 43 goals scored is among the most in the division — and they have beaten Columbus in each of the last four meetings, including a 5-1 demolition last summer. Columbus can hurt anyone on their day, but that day rarely comes away from home. This has all the makings of an entertaining home win.

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew predictions & betting tips

Our predictionOdds & bookmakerConfidenceWhy we’re backing it
Luis Suarez 2+ shots on target6/4 with BetMGM★★★★☆Suárez has nine league goals and remains a high-volume shooter as Miami’s central striker. He is around 3/10 simply to hit the target once, so two or more efforts at 6/4 is the value play. With Miami the most prolific attack in the East and Columbus conceding in each of their last four away games, the chances should keep coming
Rodrigo De Paul to score or assist15/8 with LeoVegas★★★☆☆The bigger-priced pick with substance behind it. De Paul has four goals from midfield already and gets forward constantly, so the score-or-assist market covers both his shooting and his creativity. Miami have found the net in all but one home game this season, and against the leakiest away defence in this half of the table, 15/8 for a midfielder this involved is real value.

Odds are the best widely available at the time of writing and will move. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew

Inter Miami

Second in the East on 37 points from 17 games (11 wins, four draws, two defeats), Miami sit just two points behind leaders Nashville and are the most prolific attack in the conference with 43 goals. The one caveat is at the other end: 30 conceded is a high number for a side this high up, and it makes their matches relentlessly open.

Last six MLS games: W-W-W-W-W-W. A run of 4-2 at Toronto, 5-3 at Cincinnati, 2-0 v Portland, 6-4 v Philadelphia, 3-2 v Chicago and 1-0 at Montréal. Twenty-one goals scored across the six, with both teams scoring in four of them. Their last defeat was a 4-3 loss to Orlando back on 3 May.

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Columbus Crew

Columbus have not kicked on this season. Eleventh in the East on 19 points from 17 (five wins, four draws, eight defeats) with a minus-two goal difference, they sit outside the play-off places and remain badly reliant on home form. Their most recent outing was a lift — a 2-1 win over rivals Cincinnati — but it followed a home loss to New York City, and the wider pattern is stop-start.

Last six MLS games: L-D-W-L-W-W (oldest to newest). The road record is the real worry: no wins in their last four away, with defeats at New York City (0-3), New York Red Bulls (2-3) and New England, plus a draw at Philadelphia.

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew team news

Miami’s attacking spine picks itself: Messi and Suárez lead the line, with Berterame, Tadeo Allende and Mateo Silvetti offering support and Rodrigo De Paul and Carlos Casemiro anchoring midfield. Sergio Reguilón provides the width from the back. Between the posts, Canada international Dayne St. Clair has become the first-choice option this year.

Columbus, under Laurent Courtois, will look to Egyptian striker Wessam Abou Ali — their leading marksman among the current squad — with playmaker Dániel Gazdag and Spain’s Brais Méndez pulling the strings and marauding wing-back Max Arfsten a genuine goal threat from deep. Patrick Schulte keeps goal. As ever with team news this far out, confirmed line-ups will only land closer to kick-off, so treat probable XIs with the usual caution.

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew head-to-head

This is one of the more one-sided recent rivalries in the East. Across the last eight meetings Miami have won six, Columbus one and one was drawn, with the hosts outscoring the Crew 17-9 over that run. Crucially, Miami have won each of the last four on the bounce — a sequence capped by last June’s emphatic 5-1 at home.

DateMatchResultCompetition
01/06/25Inter Miami v Columbus Crew5-1MLS
19/04/25Columbus Crew v Inter Miami0-1MLS
03/10/24Columbus Crew v Inter Miami2-3MLS
20/06/24Inter Miami v Columbus Crew2-1MLS
05/07/23Inter Miami v Columbus Crew2-2MLS

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew prediction

The bookmakers make Inter Miami firm favourites at around 4/6, with the draw out to 18/5 and Columbus a generous-looking 4/1 — and it is hard to argue. Miami are the form side, the more talented side and the side with recent history all over this fixture; Columbus’s away numbers do the rest of the talking.

Goals should be the theme. Over 2.5 is chalked up at just 4/11 and both teams to score is 4/9, which reflects how open Miami’s games have become — 21 scored and 11 conceded across their six-game winning run. Columbus carry enough in Abou Ali, Gazdag and Arfsten to get on the scoresheet, but not enough to keep pace over 90 minutes.

Our scoreline prediction: Inter Miami 3-1 Columbus Crew (2-1 is the bookmakers’ favourite correct score). A comfortable home win with both teams scoring feels the sensible landing spot. Messi to score anytime and Berterame at evens are the standout selections; a Miami win to nil is the one to swerve given how freely both defences leak.

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