C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week. Cleveland convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst rate in the NFL. Our Texans vs Browns prediction is a passing offence against a scoring problem.
The Houston Texans are 3-5 but at +17, and the Cleveland Browns 5-4 at -35. Only one of those records matches the difference behind it.
Texans vs Browns: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Texans vs Browns: 2026 form so far
A 3-5 side outscoring its record at a 5-4 side being outscored by 35. The columns put each side’s output next to what the other has conceded so far.
Texans attack against the Browns defence
| Per game | Texans offence | Browns allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 269.4 | 201.0 |
| Rushing yards | 87.1 | 130.6 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 4.7 |
| Passer rating | 104.1 | 84.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.8% | 39.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 62.1% | 46.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.9 |
Browns attack against the Texans defence
| Per game | Browns offence | Texans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 210.4 | 235.6 |
| Rushing yards | 97.3 | 103.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 93.7 | 95.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.2% | 38.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 39.1% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 4.2 | 3.6 |
Cleveland convert 39.1% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL, and run for 97 yards a game.
Houston Texans 3-5 · average margin +2.1
Cleveland Browns 5-4 · average margin -3.9
Texans vs Browns quarterback matchup
C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at 125.5 in a 44-22 win. Shedeur Sanders went 19 of 31 for 297 and two scores at 114.6.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | C.J. Stroud | 21/35, 384 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT, 125.5 rtg | 181/282, 2251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT, 104.8 rtg (8 games) |
| Browns | Shedeur Sanders | 19/31, 297 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 114.6 rtg | 22/34, 299 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 112.3 rtg (3 games) |
Texans vs Browns injury report and team news
C.J. Stroud threw five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week.
Cleveland convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst rate in the NFL.
Houston are 3-5 but +17; Cleveland are 5-4 but -35.
The third-best passing offence against the worst red zone in football
Houston throw for 269 yards a game, third in the NFL, and Stroud rates 104.1 on the season.
What they do not do is run it. Eighty-seven yards a game at 3.57 a carry are 29th and 30th, and Cleveland’s defence is built for exactly that.
Cleveland’s own trouble is the 20-yard line. They convert 39.1% of red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the league, which is how a side with the sixth-best pass defence sits at -35.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- C.J. Stroud (HOU, QB): 384 yards and five touchdowns at 125.5 last week.
- Tank Dell (HOU, WR): A primary target in a passing game throwing for 269 a game.
- Shedeur Sanders (CLE, QB): 297 yards and two touchdowns at 114.6 last week.
- Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Carries a run game averaging 97 yards a game.
How to watch Texans vs Browns
Kickoff is 6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at Huntington Bank Field, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Texans vs Browns |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 15 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Texans vs Browns prediction and score projection
Our Texans vs Browns prediction is Houston by 26-17. Cleveland’s defence will keep this close and their red zone is why it will not be enough.
The projected margin on this page updates through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (GMT) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Texans vs Browns FAQ
6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at Huntington Bank Field, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Cleveland, at 39.1% — the lowest conversion rate in the NFL.
He threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at 125.5 in a 44-22 win.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change