New York concede 79.0% of red-zone trips, the worst rate in the NFL. Washington convert 31.1% on third down, also the worst. Our Commanders vs Giants prediction opens Week 10 in the early hours of Friday.
The Washington Commanders are 2-5-1 and the New York Giants 5-2-1. Only these two have tied a game this season, and they tied it against each other.
Week 10 · Editorial pick
Commanders vs Giants: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
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Our props
Player propWashington 1+ red-zone touchdownNew York concede 79.0% of red-zone trips, the worst rate in the NFL.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propJayden Daniels 230+ passing yardsDaniels threw for 274 last week. New York allow 178 a game, which is third.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Commanders vs Giants: 2026 form so far
A 5-2-1 side at a 2-5-1 one, and the gap between them is smaller than the table suggests. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has allowed.
Commanders attack against the Giants defence
Per game
Commanders offence
Giants allow
Passing yards
207.1
177.8
Rushing yards
118.2
123.6
Yards per carry
4.5
4.7
Passer rating
94.8
87.0
Touchdowns
2.2
2.6
Third-down conversion
31.1%
37.3%
Red-zone conversion
52.4%
78.9%
Sacks conceded / recorded
2.5
2.0
Giants attack against the Commanders defence
Per game
Giants offence
Commanders allow
Passing yards
221.0
240.0
Rushing yards
112.1
102.2
Yards per carry
3.9
3.9
Passer rating
88.5
96.5
Touchdowns
2.4
2.9
Third-down conversion
40.4%
40.0%
Red-zone conversion
68.2%
75.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded
3.4
2.1
New York have given up 79.0% of red-zone trips, the highest figure in the league, and that is Washington’s way in.
Washington Commanders2-5-1 · average margin -3.8
New York Giants5-2-1 · average margin +1.2
One bar per game this season, in week order. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by margin. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score. Bye weeks are left blank, so a gap in a run of form is visible rather than hidden.
Commanders vs Giants quarterback matchup
Jayden Daniels threw for 274 yards at 101.4 last week. J.J. McCarthy went 12 of 19 for 127 at 82.6 as New York beat Philadelphia 19-11.
Last game is Week 9. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.
Commanders vs Giants injury report and team news
These two drew 27-27 in Week 5, the only tie either has been involved in.
New York concede 79.0% of red-zone trips, the worst rate in the NFL.
Washington convert 31.1% on third down, also the worst figure in the league.
The worst red zone in football against the worst third down
Five wins have been built on the defence. New York give up 178 passing yards a game, third in the league, and hold opponents to 87.0.
Then a drive reaches the 20 and it falls apart: 79.0% of red-zone trips against them end in a touchdown, the worst rate in the NFL.
Washington’s trouble is arriving there. Converting 31.1% on third down is the lowest figure in the league, and it has been the story of their season.
Washington CommandersNew York Giants
Their own numbers
Each club’s own production, per game this season. The small grey number is the league rank out of 32.
What opponents have managed against them
What each club’s opponents have managed, per game. Ranks here run the other way: first is the lowest number conceded, not the highest. The ringed dot is the better figure.
Players to watch
Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): 274 yards at a 101.4 rating in Los Angeles last week.
Rachaad White (WAS, RB): Leads a run game averaging 4.50 a carry, eighth in the NFL.
Darnell Mooney (NYG, WR): The first read in a passing game rating 88.5.
Devin Singletary (NYG, RB): Carries the load for a team that wins low-scoring games.
How Commanders vs Giants last unfolded
Washington Commanders scored on 5 of 13 drives · New York Giants scored on 5 of 13 drives
Every drive of the last meeting, in order. Bar length is net yards and a solid bar is a drive that ended in points.The score through that game, one step per scoring play. Built from the drive feed rather than typed in, which is checkable: the derived final reads Washington Commanders 27, New York Giants 27, and that is the real final score.
How to watch Commanders vs Giants
Kickoff is 1.15am GMT in the early hours of Friday 13 November at MetLife Stadium, which is 8:15 PM ET on the Thursday. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
Commanders vs Giants prediction and score projection
Our Commanders vs Giants prediction is New York by 23-20. The Giants have the better defence by a distance and Washington’s third down is the worst in football.
The projected margin on this page updates through the week.
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Commanders vs Giants FAQ
What time is Commanders vs Giants in the UK?
1.15am GMT in the early hours of Friday 13 November at MetLife Stadium, which is 8:15 PM ET on the Thursday.
How can I watch Commanders vs Giants in the UK?
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Did these two really draw?
Yes, 27-27 in Week 5. It is the only tie either has been involved in.
Which side has the worst red-zone defence?
New York, at 79.0% conceded — the highest rate in the NFL.
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