Miami concede a 114.0 opponent passer rating, the worst in the NFL. Indianapolis rate 69.1 themselves, also the worst. Our Dolphins vs Colts prediction is the league’s poorest passing offence against its poorest passing defence.
The Miami Dolphins are 1-7 at -74 and the Indianapolis Colts 2-7 at -65. Between them they have won three games.
Dolphins vs Colts: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Dolphins vs Colts: 2026 form so far
A 1-7 side at a 2-7 one, and the passing numbers at both ends are the worst in the league. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has allowed.
Dolphins attack against the Colts defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 164.8 | 224.8 |
| Rushing yards | 117.5 | 137.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Passer rating | 77.1 | 104.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.6% | 32.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 47.6% | 62.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.1 |
Colts attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Colts offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 173.7 | 214.4 |
| Rushing yards | 115.2 | 111.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 69.1 | 114.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.9% | 47.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 58.3% | 59.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.8 | 1.5 |
Indianapolis rate 69.1 through the air, the lowest figure in the NFL, and Miami concede a 114.0 opponent rating, the highest.
Miami Dolphins 1-7 · average margin -9.2
Indianapolis Colts 2-7 · average margin -7.2
Dolphins vs Colts quarterback matchup
Malik Willis completed 13 of 25 for 128 yards with an interception at 50.1. Daniel Jones went 20 of 34 for 180 at 70.7.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 13/25, 128 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 50.1 rtg | 121/208, 1396 yds, 6 TD, 6 INT, 76.1 rtg (8 games) |
| Colts | Daniel Jones | 20/34, 180 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 70.7 rtg | 182/302, 1722 yds, 6 TD, 10 INT, 68.9 rtg (9 games) |
Dolphins vs Colts injury report and team news
Miami concede a 114.0 opponent passer rating, the worst in the NFL.
Indianapolis rate 69.1 through the air, the lowest in the league.
Indianapolis concede 137 rushing yards a game, 30th in the NFL.
The poorest passing offence in football against the poorest passing defence
Indianapolis rate 69.1 through the air. No side in the NFL is lower, and Jones’s 70.7 last week was close to his season.
It may not matter, because Miami concede a 114.0 opponent rating, the highest in the league. The thing Indianapolis cannot do is the thing Miami cannot stop.
On the ground Indianapolis give up 137 yards a game and 4.93 a carry. Miami average 4.37 and have no better route in.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): The most reliable thing Indianapolis have at 4.17 a carry.
- Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A primary target in a passing game rating 69.1.
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Leads a Miami run game averaging 4.37 a carry.
- Daniel Jones (IND, QB): 180 yards with a touchdown and an interception last week.
How to watch Dolphins vs Colts
Kickoff is 6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Colts |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 15 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Colts prediction and score projection
Our Dolphins vs Colts prediction is Indianapolis by 20-16. Home advantage and the run game decide a match where neither passing attack has worked for two months.
The projected margin on this page updates through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (GMT) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Dolphins vs Colts FAQ
6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Miami, who concede a 114.0 opponent rating — the highest in the NFL.
Indianapolis, at a 69.1 rating — the lowest in the league.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change