Buffalo score 3.6 touchdowns a game, second only to San Francisco, and run for 147 yards an afternoon. New York convert 40.7% in the red zone, 31st. Our Bills vs Jets prediction is a mismatch on paper.
The Buffalo Bills are 7-1 at +69. The New York Jets are 2-7 and have scored 182 points in nine games.
Bills vs Jets: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Bills vs Jets: 2026 form so far
The second-best offence in football against a team that cannot finish a drive. The table pairs every attacking number with the defensive number opposite it.
Bills attack against the Jets defence
| Per game | Bills offence | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 239.8 | 197.8 |
| Rushing yards | 146.6 | 128.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 99.3 | 103.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 43.2% | 42.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.1 | 2.4 |
Jets attack against the Bills defence
| Per game | Jets offence | Bills allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 204.7 | 238.8 |
| Rushing yards | 105.2 | 91.6 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 100.5 | 89.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.4% | 38.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 40.7% | 63.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.1 | 2.1 |
New York convert 40.7% of their red-zone trips, 31st in the NFL, and that is where this is decided.
Buffalo Bills 7-1 · average margin +8.6
New York Jets 2-7 · average margin -4.6
Bills vs Jets quarterback matchup
Josh Allen threw for 234 yards and a touchdown at 87.3 as Buffalo won 23-6 in Minnesota. Geno Smith went 18 of 32 for 165 with no touchdowns at 70.4.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | Josh Allen | 21/31, 234 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 87.3 rtg | 156/236, 2027 yds, 12 TD, 6 INT, 99.3 rtg (8 games) |
| Jets | Geno Smith | 18/32, 165 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 70.4 rtg | 183/271, 2078 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT, 100.5 rtg (9 games) |
Bills vs Jets injury report and team news
Buffalo are 7-1 at +69 and score 3.6 touchdowns a game, second in the NFL.
New York convert 40.7% in the red zone, 31st in the league.
Buffalo run for 147 yards a game, second only to Tampa Bay.
The second-best offence in football against a red zone that does not work
There is no soft edge to Buffalo. They score 3.6 touchdowns a game, run for 147 yards and held Minnesota to six points last week.
New York’s problem is conversion, not yardage. They rate 100.5 through the air, seventh in the league, and still manage 1.9 touchdowns a game.
Buffalo concede 239 passing yards a game, 29th, so the Jets will move it. Finishing anything is the harder question.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- Josh Allen (BUF, QB): Leads an offence scoring 3.6 touchdowns a game.
- James Cook III (BUF, RB): Fronts a run game averaging 147 yards, second in the NFL.
- Breece Hall (NYJ, RB): The most reliable way New York have of moving the ball.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): A primary target in a passing game rating 100.5.
How to watch Bills vs Jets
Kickoff is 6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at MetLife Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Bills vs Jets |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 15 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Bills vs Jets prediction and score projection
Our Bills vs Jets prediction is Buffalo by 30-17. The Jets will gain yards against a secondary ranked 29th, and 40.7% in the red zone is not a plan against a 7-1 side.
The projected margin on this page updates through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (GMT) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Bills vs Jets FAQ
6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at MetLife Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
The red zone. They rate 100.5 through the air, seventh in the NFL, but convert only 40.7% of red-zone trips.
Buffalo, at 147 yards a game — second in the NFL.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change