Minnesota have the best red-zone defence in the NFL and the 31st-ranked passing offence. Green Bay have the second-best passing offence and the worst run game in football. Our Vikings vs Packers prediction takes the rematch to Lambeau Field.
The Minnesota Vikings won the September meeting 39-22. The Green Bay Packers have changed a great deal since, and so have Minnesota, but not in the same direction.
Vikings vs Packers: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Vikings vs Packers: 2026 form so far
Minnesota are 6-2 at +30 and Green Bay 6-3 at +25, which makes this closer on paper than either has looked lately. Each attack in the table is measured against what it is about to face, not against the league.
Vikings attack against the Packers defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 160.8 | 213.9 |
| Rushing yards | 106.0 | 109.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 82.0 | 77.6 |
| Touchdowns | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 33.3% | 41.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 52.9% | 69.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.9 | 2.9 |
Packers attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Packers offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 279.7 | 161.1 |
| Rushing yards | 68.2 | 118.9 |
| Yards per carry | 3.0 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 97.9 | 67.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.8% | 31.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 55.9% | 26.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 3.6 |
Green Bay average 68.2 rushing yards a game, the lowest figure in the NFL, and they are going to have to throw it.
Minnesota Vikings 6-2 · average margin +3.8
Green Bay Packers 6-3 · average margin +2.8
Vikings vs Packers quarterback matchup
Jordan Love threw for 372 yards and three touchdowns at a 153.2 rating against New England. Carson Wentz completed eight of 25 for 81 yards and two interceptions at 8.9, and Max Brosmer relieved him.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | Carson Wentz | 8/25, 81 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 8.9 rtg | 31/64, 357 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 68.3 rtg (3 games) |
| Max Brosmer | 6/7, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 101.2 rtg | 6/7, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 101.2 rtg (1 game) | |
| Packers | Jordan Love | 23/29, 372 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 153.2 rtg | 215/341, 2618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT, 97.9 rtg (9 games) |
Vikings vs Packers injury report and team news
Minnesota’s opponents have converted 26.3% of their red-zone trips, the best rate in the NFL, and rate 67.9, also the best in the league.
Green Bay have scored 25 touchdowns in nine games and conceded 24.
Green Bay are without Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore, both on injured reserve. Week 10 designations are not filed until later in the week.
The best red-zone defence in football against an offence that cannot run
Minnesota’s defence is why they are 6-2. Opponents have converted 26.3% in the red zone and rate 67.9, and both are the best figures in the league. Buffalo managed 23 on them last week and still won comfortably, because Minnesota scored six.
Green Bay are the opposite shape. They throw it at 279.7 yards a game, second only to Cincinnati, and Love rated 153.2 last week. On the ground they average 68.2 yards a game, the lowest in the NFL.
So the game asks one question. Green Bay’s red-zone work has been ordinary, Minnesota’s red-zone defence has been the best there is, and Green Bay have no run game to fall back on inside the 20.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 372 yards and three touchdowns at 153.2 last week.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): Seven catches for 171 yards and a touchdown against New England.
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): Eleven targets last week in an offence that managed six points.
- Byron Murphy Jr. (MIN, CB): Intercepted a pass in the secondary rating 67.9, the best in the NFL.
How Vikings vs Packers last unfolded
Minnesota Vikings scored on 6 of 13 drives · Green Bay Packers scored on 5 of 12 drives
How to watch Vikings vs Packers
Kickoff is 6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at Lambeau Field, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Vikings vs Packers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 15 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Vikings vs Packers prediction and score projection
Our Vikings vs Packers prediction is Green Bay by 20-13. The Vikings defence will travel and keep the number down, but 1.5 touchdowns a game is what Minnesota has managed, and Lambeau in November is no place to go looking for more.
The projected margin on this page updates through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (GMT) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | You are here |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Vikings vs Packers FAQ
6.00pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at Lambeau Field, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Minnesota, 39-22 in Week 1. Green Bay scored on five of 12 drives and Minnesota on six of 13.
Minnesota’s. Their opponents convert 26.3% in the red zone and rate 67.9, both the best figures in the NFL.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change