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Squawka / NFL News / Patriots vs Lions Prediction & Tips: Week 10

Patriots vs Lions Prediction & Tips: Week 10

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions prediction, picks and odds for Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season

Detroit concede 261 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL, and rate 106.5 through the air themselves. New England threw for 299 last week and gave up three interceptions doing it. Our Patriots vs Lions prediction goes to Munich.

The New England Patriots are 5-4 and the Detroit Lions 6-2. This is a neutral-site game at FC Bayern Munich Stadium, with Detroit the nominal home team.

Week 10 · Editorial pick

Patriots vs Lions: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Patriots AT Lions

Our props

Player propDrake Maye 250+ passing yardsDetroit concede 261 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propJared Goff 2+ passing touchdownsGoff rates 106.5 and New England allow a 100.2 opponent rating, which is 27th.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Patriots vs Lions: 2026 form so far

Two teams who move the ball and neither of whom stops anyone throwing it. Each attack in the table is measured against what it is about to face, not against the league.

Patriots attack against the Lions defence

Per gamePatriots offenceLions allow
Passing yards249.6260.9
Rushing yards119.994.1
Yards per carry4.24.1
Passer rating96.297.5
Touchdowns2.93.0
Third-down conversion40.4%44.4%
Red-zone conversion58.3%66.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.23.4

Lions attack against the Patriots defence

Per gameLions offencePatriots allow
Passing yards252.0231.9
Rushing yards127.896.7
Yards per carry4.43.9
Passer rating106.5100.2
Touchdowns3.12.4
Third-down conversion37.2%38.0%
Red-zone conversion61.8%58.6%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.42.8

Detroit concede 261 passing yards a game, the highest figure in the NFL, and New England throw for 250.

New England Patriots 5-4 · average margin +0.4

+10−10+20−20+30−30Week 1: lost to the Seahawks 10-13 (away)@SEA1Week 2: beat the Steelers 20-3 (home)vPIT2Week 3: lost to the Jaguars 6-35 (away)@JAC3Week 4: beat the Bills 29-26 (away)@BUF4Week 5: beat the Raiders 45-17 (home)vLV5Week 6: beat the Jets 26-19 (home)vNYJ6Week 7: lost to the Bears 24-30 (away)@CHI7Week 8: beat the Dolphins 24-19 (away)@MIA8Week 9: lost to the Packers 27-45 (home)vGB9

Detroit Lions 6-2 · average margin +4.1

+10−10+20−20Week 1: beat the Saints 31-30 (home)vNO1Week 2: lost to the Bills 31-41 (away)@BUF2Week 3: beat the Jets 31-24 (home)vNYJ3Week 4: lost to the Panthers 26-32 (away)@CAR4Week 5: beat the Cardinals 45-21 (away)@ARI5Week 7: beat the Packers 20-17 (home)vGB7Week 8: beat the Vikings 19-15 (home)vMIN8Week 9: beat the Dolphins 19-9 (away)@MIA9
One bar per game this season, in week order. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by margin. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score. Bye weeks are left blank, so a gap in a run of form is visible rather than hidden.

Patriots vs Lions quarterback matchup

Drake Maye threw for 299 yards and three touchdowns in a 45-27 defeat, with three interceptions at 74.3. Jared Goff went 17 of 25 for 170 at 70.4.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
PatriotsDrake Maye21/38, 299 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT, 74.3 rtg178/272, 2282 yds, 18 TD, 11 INT, 96.8 rtg (9 games)
Tommy DeVito1/3, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 59.0 rtg4/8, 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 70.3 rtg (2 games)
LionsJared Goff17/25, 170 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 70.4 rtg185/273, 2134 yds, 15 TD, 2 INT, 106.4 rtg (8 games)
Last game is Week 9. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Patriots vs Lions injury report and team news

This is a neutral-site game at FC Bayern Munich Stadium, with Detroit the nominal home team.

Detroit concede 261 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL.

Detroit rate 106.5 through the air, fourth in the league.

A passing offence in Munich against the league’s softest secondary

Detroit are 6-2 at +33 and it rests on the throw: 252 yards a game at 106.5, fourth in the NFL, with 3.1 touchdowns an afternoon.

Stopping anyone else throwing is another matter. The 261 passing yards a game Detroit concede is the highest figure in the league.

New England’s problem is giving it away. Maye threw three interceptions last week, and Detroit score too freely for that to survive a second week.

New England PatriotsDetroit Lions

Their own numbers

Touchdowns per gameNew England Patriots: 2.9, 12th of 32Detroit Lions: 3.1, 5th of 3212th2.93.15thPassing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 250, 9th of 32Detroit Lions: 252, 8th of 329th2502528thRushing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 120, 10th of 32Detroit Lions: 128, 8th of 3210th1201288thYards per carryNew England Patriots: 4.21, 14th of 32Detroit Lions: 4.44, 10th of 3214th4.214.4410thThird-down conversionNew England Patriots: 40.4%, 11th of 32Detroit Lions: 37.2%, 21st of 3211th40.4%37.2%21stRed-zone conversionNew England Patriots: 58.3%, 18th of 32Detroit Lions: 61.8%, 14th of 3218th58.3%61.8%14thSacks per gameNew England Patriots: 2.8, 11th of 32Detroit Lions: 3.4, 3rd of 3211th2.83.43rdInterceptions per gameNew England Patriots: 0.6, 23rd of 32Detroit Lions: 0.8, 14th of 3223rd0.60.814th
Each club’s own production, per game this season. The small grey number is the league rank out of 32.

What opponents have managed against them

Touchdowns per gameNew England Patriots: 2.4, 13th of 32Detroit Lions: 3.0, 25th of 3213th2.43.025thPassing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 232, 25th of 32Detroit Lions: 261, 32nd of 3225th23226132ndRushing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 97, 9th of 32Detroit Lions: 94, 8th of 329th97948thYards per carryNew England Patriots: 3.87, 9th of 32Detroit Lions: 4.09, 17th of 329th3.874.0917thThird-down conversionNew England Patriots: 38.0%, 12th of 32Detroit Lions: 44.4%, 27th of 3212th38.0%44.4%27thRed-zone conversionNew England Patriots: 58.6%, 15th of 32Detroit Lions: 66.7%, 22nd of 3215th58.6%66.7%22ndSacks per gameNew England Patriots: 2.2, 16th of 32Detroit Lions: 2.4, 17th of 3216th2.22.417thInterceptions per gameNew England Patriots: 1.2, 30th of 32Detroit Lions: 0.2, 2nd of 3230th1.20.22nd
What each club’s opponents have managed, per game. Ranks here run the other way: first is the lowest number conceded, not the highest. The ringed dot is the better figure.

Players to watch

  • Jared Goff (DET, QB): Rates 106.5 on the season, fourth in the NFL.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET, WR): The first read in an offence scoring 3.1 touchdowns a game.
  • Drake Maye (NE, QB): 299 yards and three touchdowns last week, with three interceptions.
  • DeMario Douglas (NE, WR): Led New England’s receivers in Green Bay.

How to watch Patriots vs Lions

Kickoff is 2.30pm GMT on Sunday 15 November at FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich, which is 9:30 AM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailPatriots vs Lions
DateSunday, November 15, 2026
Kickoff2.30pm GMT Sun 15 Nov / 9:30 AM ET
VenueFC Bayern Munich Stadium, Munich
TVSky Sports
Live streamNFL Game Pass (DAZN)
WeekWeek 10, 2026 NFL season

Patriots vs Lions prediction and score projection

Our Patriots vs Lions prediction is Detroit by 31-24. Neither defence stops the pass, so the team rating 106.5 should win a game decided on turnovers.

The projected margin on this page updates through the week.

Every Week 10 game, previewed

Kickoff (GMT)GameOur predictionPreview
Fri 1:15 AMCommanders @ GiantsGiants 23-20Read
Sun 2:30 PMPatriots @ LionsLions 31-24You are here
Sun 6:00 PMBills @ JetsBills 30-17Read
Sun 6:00 PMPanthers @ SaintsSaints 27-24Read
Sun 6:00 PMTexans @ BrownsTexans 26-17Read
Sun 6:00 PMJaguars @ TitansJaguars 27-13Read
Sun 6:00 PMChiefs @ FalconsChiefs 27-16Read
Sun 6:00 PMDolphins @ ColtsColts 20-16Read
Sun 6:00 PMVikings @ PackersPackers 20-13Read
Sun 9:05 PMRams @ CardinalsRams 24-16Read
Sun 9:05 PMSeahawks @ RaidersSeahawks 27-13Read
Sun 9:25 PM49ers @ Cowboys49ers 34-24Read
Mon 1:20 AMSteelers @ BengalsBengals 27-23Read
Tue 1:15 AMChargers @ RavensRavens 23-13Read

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.

Patriots vs Lions FAQ

What time is Patriots vs Lions in the UK?

2.30pm GMT on Sunday 15 November in Munich, which is 9:30 AM ET.

How can I watch Patriots vs Lions in the UK?

Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.

Where are the Patriots playing the Lions?

FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich. It is a neutral-site game, with Detroit the nominal home team.

Which side concedes the most passing yards?

Detroit, at 261 a game — the highest in the NFL.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change