Our Steelers vs Patriots prediction favors Pittsburgh, whose defense did the heavy lifting in Week 1. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Pittsburgh Steelers beat Atlanta 20-13 with four sacks and two interceptions. The New England Patriots lost 13-10 at Seattle, where Drake Maye threw three interceptions. Consequently the turnover battle looks like the whole game.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots
Pittsburgh SteelersSquawka39%Market32%▲ Value
New England PatriotsSquawka61%Market68%▼ Slight laySquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Steelers vs Patriots: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Steelers vs Patriots: 2026 form so far
Neither opener was pretty. Both were decided by what happened on defense rather than anything expansive in the other direction.
| 2026 season to date | Steelers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Points for | 20 | 10 |
| Points against | 13 | 13 |
| Point differential | +7 | -3 |
| Total yards | 264 | 277 |
| Yards per play | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 3 |
| Third-down offense | 23.1% | 31.3% |
| Red-zone offense | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Sacks recorded | 4 | 2 |
| Opponent passer rating | 51.9 | 109.7 |
Pittsburgh gained 4.1 yards a play and still won comfortably enough. New England turned the ball over three times, which is the number that decided their afternoon.
Steelers vs Patriots injury report and team news
Aaron Rodgers went 24 of 40 for 221 yards in the opener. Michael Pittman Jr. caught all three of his targets for 58 yards.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Pittsburgh SteelersNew England PatriotsWhere Steelers vs Patriots is decided
Drake Maye against a defense that forced two interceptions and four sacks is the obvious pressure point. Maye was intercepted three times in Seattle.
New England will run it, as they did 31 times at Seattle, but Rhamondre Stevenson averaged 2.8 a carry doing so. Pittsburgh conceded 120 rushing yards to Atlanta.
Neither offense is scoring freely. Pittsburgh converted 23.1% of third downs and still won, which tells you how little New England offered in return.
Players to watch
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT, QB): 24 of 40 for 221 yards in the opener at an 83.4 rating.
- Pat Freiermuth (PIT, TE): Five catches from five targets, one of them a touchdown.
- Drake Maye (NE, QB): Three interceptions at Seattle, and a 54.9 passer rating.
- Rhamondre Stevenson (NE, RB): 18 carries for 51 yards, plus five catches for 44.
How to watch Steelers vs Patriots
The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 20 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. CBS carries it. Eight games kick off in this window, so it competes for attention.
| Detail | Steelers vs Patriots |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 20, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Steelers vs Patriots prediction and score projection
Our Steelers vs Patriots prediction is a Pittsburgh win, 20-16. Neither side looks like scoring freely, and the Steelers take the ball away more often.
The live win probability, meanwhile, updates on this page through the week.
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 2 game the same way.
Steelers vs Patriots FAQ
Pittsburgh, narrowly. The Steelers are 1-0 and forced four sacks and two interceptions in their opener.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
CBS has the game in the United States.
Pittsburgh beat Atlanta 20-13. New England lost 13-10 at Seattle with three interceptions.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change