Home » NFL News » Raiders vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds

Raiders vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets prediction, picks and odds for Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season

Las Vegas have conceded 25 touchdowns, second only to Arizona, and let opponents finish 78.6% of red-zone trips — a rate only Washington is worse than. Our Raiders vs Jets prediction is closer than it should be.

The New York Jets are 2-5 and have taken 58 penalties. The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-4 and average 3.01 yards a carry, second-lowest in the league.

Squawka Signal · Model vs market

Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets

Week 8 · Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Las Vegas Raiders favorites by about 1 point, a 53% win probability.

LVLas Vegas RaidersSquawka53%Market46%▲ Value
NYJNew York JetsSquawka47%Market54%▼ Slight lay
Projected lineLas Vegas Raiders -1
ValueLas Vegas Raiders — model 53% vs market 46%

Squawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.

Week 8 · Editorial pick

Raiders vs Jets: our editor’s props

Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.

Raiders AT Jets

Our props

TotalOver 45.5 pointsLas Vegas have conceded 25 touchdowns and let opponents finish 78.6% of red-zone trips. New York have given up 17 and take 58 penalties.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
Player propKirk Cousins 250+ passing yardsCousins has 1,877 passing yards because Las Vegas average 3.01 a carry and cannot do anything else. New York allow a 96.8 opponent rating.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Raiders vs Jets: 2026 form so far

A 3-4 team against a 2-5 team, and neither defense holds. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.

Raiders attack against the Jets defense

Per gameRaiders offenseJets allow
Passing yards269.0187.7
Rushing yards74.7127.7
Yards per carry3.04.1
Passer rating97.396.8
Touchdowns2.72.4
Third-down conversion39.1%38.2%
Red-zone conversion46.4%56.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.42.7

Jets attack against the Raiders defense

Per gameJets offenseRaiders allow
Passing yards206.6230.1
Rushing yards96.4143.6
Yards per carry3.85.0
Passer rating105.2103.7
Touchdowns2.03.6
Third-down conversion37.8%42.4%
Red-zone conversion45.0%78.6%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.02.3

Las Vegas have thrown for 1,883 yards, second only to the Rams, which is what happens when a team averages 3.01 a carry.

Raiders vs Jets quarterback matchup

Kirk Cousins has 16 touchdown passes to five interceptions at 97.4. Geno Smith has ten to two at 105.2 and threw three last week.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
RaidersKirk Cousins26/44, 295 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 94.4 rtg161/257, 1877 yds, 16 TD, 5 INT, 97.4 rtg (7 games)
JetsGeno Smith23/30, 287 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 125.3 rtg145/207, 1623 yds, 10 TD, 2 INT, 105.2 rtg (7 games)
Last game is Week 7. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Raiders vs Jets injury report and team news

Las Vegas have conceded 25 touchdowns in seven games, second only to Arizona.

Las Vegas average 3.01 yards a carry, ahead of only Green Bay.

New York have taken 58 penalties, the fourth-highest total in the league.

Injury report · Week 8Official game-status report — updates through the week
LVLas Vegas Raiders
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Chigozie AnusiemCBIR
Keyron CrawfordDEIR
Justin PickettGIR
Brennan JacksonLBIR
Chris CollierRBIR
Carter RunyonTEIR
Jack BechWRIR
NYJNew York Jets
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Tre BrownCBIR
Braiden McGregorDEIR
Kingsley JonathanDEIR
David OnyemataDLIR
Anez CooperGIR
Kiko MauigoaLBIR
Marcelino McCrary-BallLBIR
Chip TrayanumRBIR
VJ PayneSAFIR
Arian SmithWRIR
Tyler BaronDEPUP

A 1,883-yard passing game and no run game at all

Las Vegas throw for more yards than every team except the Rams, and run for fewer than every team except Green Bay. Kirk Cousins has 16 touchdown passes to five interceptions.

Their defense is what loses games: 25 touchdowns conceded, 1,005 rushing yards allowed and 78.6% of red-zone trips finished against them.

The Jets are quietly tidier through the air — Geno Smith has ten touchdown passes to two interceptions — but 58 penalties and a 45.0% red-zone rate keep undoing it.

Players to watch

  • Kirk Cousins (LV, QB): 1,877 passing yards and 16 touchdowns in seven games.
  • Brock Bowers (LV, TE): The first read in a passing game worth 1,883 yards.
  • Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): Ten touchdown passes to two interceptions at 105.2.
  • Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): A primary target in an attack rating 105.2.

How to watch Raiders vs Jets

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at MetLife Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.

DetailRaiders vs Jets
DateSunday, November 1, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueMetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TVFOX
Live streamNFL+ / Fubo
WeekWeek 8, 2026 NFL season

Raiders vs Jets prediction and score projection

Las Vegas win 23-20. Neither team is good, but the Raiders have the more productive passing game and the Jets keep giving yards away in penalties.

The win probability for this game moves as the designations land.

Every Week 8 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMPanthers @ PackersPackers 27-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMCardinals @ CowboysCowboys 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMFalcons @ BuccaneersBuccaneers 24-21Read
Sun 2:00 PMRavens @ BillsBills 27-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMBrowns @ SteelersSteelers 23-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMColts @ JaguarsJaguars 27-16Read
Sun 2:00 PMRaiders @ JetsRaiders 23-20You are here
Sun 2:00 PMVikings @ LionsVikings 24-21Read
Sun 2:00 PMTitans @ BengalsBengals 30-13Read
Sun 5:05 PMChargers @ RamsRams 26-16Read
Sun 5:25 PMChiefs @ BroncosChiefs 27-24Read
Sun 5:25 PMPatriots @ DolphinsPatriots 26-17Read
Sun 9:20 PMEagles @ CommandersEagles 20-17Read
Mon 9:15 PMBears @ SeahawksSeahawks 24-21Read

You can find our weekly NFL picks alongside the NFL odds page. The outright markets are priced in AFC Championship odds. Individual lines are covered in NFL player props.

Raiders vs Jets FAQ

Who is favored, the Raiders or the Jets?

Las Vegas, barely. Our Signal model has the Raiders as marginal favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page. This is the closest game on the card.

What time is Raiders vs Jets?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at MetLife Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.

How poor is the Las Vegas run game?

Three point zero one yards a carry, ahead of only Green Bay.

Which team has conceded more touchdowns?

Las Vegas, with 25 in seven games — second only to Arizona.

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change