Chicago have run for 1,080 yards, more than any team in the NFL, and hold opponents to 26.1% on third down — also the best in the league. Our Bears vs Seahawks prediction closes Week 8.
The Seattle Seahawks are 4-3 at +43 and concede 3.48 yards a carry, second only to Jacksonville. The Chicago Bears are 5-2 at +37.
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Chicago BearsSquawka38%Market38%▬ Fair
Seattle SeahawksSquawka62%Market62%▬ FairSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Bears vs Seahawks: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Bears vs Seahawks: 2026 form so far
Two of the best defenses in football, and the league’s busiest ground game. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Bears attack against the Seahawks defense
| Per game | Bears offense | Seahawks allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 236.4 | 144.4 |
| Rushing yards | 154.3 | 89.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 91.0 | 72.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 44.0% | 28.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 53.3% | 78.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.6 | 2.4 |
Seahawks attack against the Bears defense
| Per game | Seahawks offense | Bears allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 229.6 | 225.9 |
| Rushing yards | 113.7 | 87.6 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Passer rating | 90.7 | 102.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.9% | 26.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 64.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 2.7 |
Seattle allow a 72.6 opponent passer rating, second only to Minnesota, and hold opponents to 28.0% on third down.
Bears vs Seahawks quarterback matchup
Caleb Williams has five touchdown passes to one interception at 105.6 from four starts. Sam Darnold has eight to eight at 80.5.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | Caleb Williams | 22/33, 308 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 116.7 rtg | 88/124, 1020 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT, 105.6 rtg (4 games) |
| Seahawks | Sam Darnold | 20/28, 257 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 96.9 rtg | 110/177, 1290 yds, 8 TD, 8 INT, 80.5 rtg (6 games) |
Bears vs Seahawks injury report and team news
Chicago have run for 1,080 yards, more than any team in the NFL.
Chicago hold opponents to 26.1% on third down, the best rate in the league.
Seattle concede 3.48 yards a carry, second only to Jacksonville’s 3.23.
Chicago BearsSeattle SeahawksThe best third-down defense against the best run game
Chicago lead the NFL in rushing yards and in third-down defense. Those two things together are why a team with a 91.0 passer rating is 5-2.
Seattle match them almost line for line: 3.48 a carry conceded, a 72.6 opponent rating and 28.0% allowed on third down, each among the two or three best in football.
Where Seattle leak is the red zone, at 78.6% conceded. Against a Chicago side that runs it better than anyone, that is the number that decides this.
Players to watch
- Caleb Williams (CHI, QB): Five touchdown passes to one interception at 105.6.
- D’Andre Swift (CHI, RB): Fronts the league’s most productive ground game.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): The first read in a passing game worth 1,607 yards.
- Sam Darnold (SEA, QB): Eight touchdown passes and eight interceptions at 80.5.
How to watch Bears vs Seahawks
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Monday, November 2 at Lumen Field, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT. ESPN has the national broadcast.
| Detail | Bears vs Seahawks |
|---|---|
| Date | Monday, November 2, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 PM ET / 7:15 PM CT / 5:15 PM PT |
| Venue | Lumen Field, Seattle, WA |
| TV | ESPN |
| Live stream | NFL+ / ESPN |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Bears vs Seahawks prediction and score projection
Seattle win 24-21. Chicago have the better record, but Seattle have the better differential, the better pass defense and the home field on a Monday night.
The live spread and Signal’s projected margin update through the week.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | You are here |
The rest of the round sits in our pick record and our NFL hub. The outright markets are priced in Super Bowl LXI odds. Player markets sit with NFL player props.
Bears vs Seahawks FAQ
Seattle. Our Signal model has the Seahawks favored and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Seattle are 4-3 at +43; Chicago are 5-2 at +37.
8:15 PM ET on Monday, November 2 at Lumen Field, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT.
Chicago, with 1,080 rushing yards — more than any team in the NFL.
The red zone. Opponents finish 78.6% of their trips against them.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change