Chicago Bears Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Bears game this season, plus NFC North standings and Super Bowl odds.
Bears 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears Super Bowl oddsFull odds | 1.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | -4.3 | Lay |
| Bears NFC Championship oddsFull odds | 4.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | -8.1 | Lay |
| Bears NFC North odds | 3.8% | Signal read | |||
vs Moneyline
Against the spread
Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.
NFC North standings and division odds
Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win NFC North | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 Minnesota Vikings | 5-0 | 82.3% | 99.0% |
 Detroit Lions | 3-2 | 9.1% | 67.5% |
 Green Bay Packers | 4-2 | 4.8% | 59.0% |
| Chicago Bears | 4-2 | 3.8% | 57.5% |
Chicago Bears schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.
Bears injury report
Official designations for Week 7.
| Player | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Sanborn | LB | Out | Concussion | DNP |
| Kyle Monangai | RB | Out | Thumb | DNP |
| T.J. Edwards | LB | Doubtful | Hamstring | Limited |
| Tyrique Stevenson Sr. | DB | Questionable | Hip | Full |
Out long-term
| Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Coby Bryant | DB | IR |
| Dayo Odeyingbo | DL | IR |
| Nephi Sewell | LB | IR |
| Tony Fields II | LB | IR |
| Braxton Jones | OL | IR |
| Brittain Brown | RB | IR |
| Hayden Large | TE | IR |
| Nikola Kalinic | TE | IR |
| Montez Sweat | DL | Susp |
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79 players · tap to open
Offense 37
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tyson Bagent | QB | 4 | Shepherd (WV) |
| 11 | Case Keenum | QB | 14 | Houston |
| 16 | Miller Moss | QB | Louisville | |
| 18 | Caleb Williams | QB | 3 | USC |
| 36 | Salvon Ahmed | RB | 5 | Washington |
| 38 | Brittain Brown | RB | 3 | UCLA |
| 23 | Roschon Johnson | RB | 4 | Texas |
| 25 | Kyle Monangai | RB | 2 | Rutgers |
| 30 | Zavier Scott | RB | 2 | Maine |
| 4 | D'Andre Swift | RB | 7 | Georgia |
| 81 | Kaden Davis | WR | 1 | Northwest Missouri State |
| 10 | Luther Burden III | WR | 2 | Missouri |
| 82 | Scotty Miller | WR | 8 | Bowling Green |
| 15 | Rome Odunze | WR | 3 | Washington |
| 14 | Kalif Raymond | WR | 10 | Holy Cross |
| 83 | JP Richardson | WR | 1 | TCU |
| 13 | Zavion Thomas | WR | LSU | |
| 9 | Jahdae Walker | WR | 2 | Texas A&M |
| 88 | Stephen Carlson | TE | 4 | Princeton |
| 80 | Qadir Ismail | TE | 1 | Samford |
| 86 | Nikola Kalinic | TE | 2 | York (CAN) |
| 85 | Cole Kmet | TE | 7 | Notre Dame |
| 43 | Hayden Large | TE | Iowa | |
| 84 | Colston Loveland | TE | 2 | Michigan |
| 87 | Sam Roush | TE | Stanford | |
| 62 | Joe Thuney | G | 11 | NC State |
| 76 | Caden Barnett | OL | Wyoming | |
| 79 | Theo Benedet | OL | 2 | |
| 67 | Garrett Bradbury | OL | 8 | NC State |
| 73 | Jonah Jackson | OL | 7 | Ohio State |
| 70 | Braxton Jones | OL | 5 | Southern Utah |
| 72 | Christian Jones | OL | 3 | Texas |
| 54 | Logan Jones | OL | Iowa | |
| 74 | Jordan McFadden | OL | 4 | Clemson |
| 65 | Luke Newman | OL | 2 | Michigan State |
| 75 | Ozzy Trapilo | OL | 2 | Boston College |
| 58 | Darnell Wright | OL | 4 | Tennessee |
Defense 38
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | Jayden Loving | DT | Wake Forest | |
| 96 | Jordan van den Berg | DL | Georgia Tech | |
| 94 | Austin Booker | DL | 3 | Kansas |
| 90 | Neville Gallimore | DL | 7 | Oklahoma |
| 92 | Daniel Hardy | DL | 4 | Montana State |
| 50 | Grady Jarrett | DL | 12 | Clemson |
| 59 | Jamree Kromah | DL | 1 | James Madison |
| 97 | James Lynch | DL | 7 | Baylor |
| 55 | Dayo Odeyingbo | DL | 6 | Vanderbilt |
| 93 | Kentavius Street | DL | 8 | NC State |
| 98 | Montez Sweat | DL | 8 | Mississippi State |
| 95 | Shemar Turner | DL | 2 | Texas A&M |
| 12 | Devin Bush | LB | 8 | Michigan |
| 53 | T.J. Edwards | LB | 8 | Wisconsin |
| 49 | Keyshaun Elliott | LB | Arizona State | |
| 43 | Tony Fields II | LB | 6 | West Virginia |
| 35 | Wayne Matthews III | LB | Michigan State | |
| 48 | D'Marco Jackson | LB | 5 | Appalachian State |
| 47 | Buddy Johnson | LB | 5 | Texas A&M |
| 57 | Jack Sanborn | LB | 5 | Wisconsin |
| 46 | Nephi Sewell | LB | 3 | Utah |
| 44 | Noah Sewell | LB | 4 | Oregon |
| 37 | Elijah Jones | CB | 4 | Boston College |
| 26 | Nick McCloud | CB | 6 | Notre Dame |
| 27 | Anthony Johnson Jr. | SAF | 3 | Iowa State |
| 39 | Josh Blackwell | DB | 5 | Duke |
| 2 | Coby Bryant | DB | 5 | Cincinnati |
| 20 | KC Eziomume | DB | Tulane | |
| 6 | Kyler Gordon | DB | 5 | Washington |
| 22 | Elijah Hicks | DB | 5 | California |
| 24 | Malik Muhammad II | DB | Texas | |
| 20 | Clark Phillips III | DB | 4 | Utah |
| 1 | Jaylon Johnson | DB | 7 | Utah |
| 21 | Cam Lewis | DB | 7 | Buffalo |
| 33 | Keidron Smith | DB | 2 | Kentucky |
| 29 | Tyrique Stevenson Sr. | DB | 4 | Miami (FL) |
| 31 | Dillon Thieneman | DB | Oregon | |
| 38 | Skyler Thomas | DB | Oregon State |
Special teams 4
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cairo Santos | K | 13 | Tulane |
| 19 | Tory Taylor | P | 3 | Iowa |
| 46 | Scott Daly | LS | 6 | Notre Dame |
| 45 | Beau Gardner | LS | Georgia |
Chicago Bears FAQ
What are the Bears’ Super Bowl odds?
Squawka Signal gives the Bears a 1.8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 6.1%, so the model reads them as lay. See the full Super Bowl odds.
Can the Bears win the NFC North?
The model makes them 3.8% to win the NFC North. The Minnesota Vikings are favoured at 82.3%.
Will the Bears make the playoffs?
Signal has them at 57.5% to reach the postseason, and 0.7% to take the No.1 seed in the NFC.
Who do the Bears play next?
Week 7, at home to New England Patriots on Thu Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET. Signal makes the Bears 44% with a projected line of CHI +1.6. Read our full preview.
Who is the Bears’ starting quarterback?
Caleb Williams. That is the projected starter our model rates the Bears on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.
What record are the Bears projected to finish with?
Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 9-8 (9.0 wins).
When is the Bears’ bye week?
Week 10 of the 2026 season.
What is the Bears’ power ranking?
Signal ranks them #14 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.
Where do the Bears play?
Chicago Bears play their home games at Soldier Field.