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    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers Odds & Predictions

    AFCAFC NorthElo 1569.9 · #14 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Steelers game this season, plus AFC North standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Steelers 2026 outlook

    50.8%Make playoffs
    25.2%Win AFC North
    3.5%No.1 seed
    3.5%Win AFC
    1.5%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Steelers Super Bowl odds1.5%0.5%1.1%+0.4Fair
    Steelers AFC Championship odds3.5%2.4%1.8%+1.1Fair
    Steelers AFC North odds25.2%Model read
    Next game · Week 1ATLvs Atlanta FalconsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka63% (-170)
    Market64% (-178)
    Gap-0.3 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedPIT -3.5
    MarketPIT -3.5
    Total42.0

    Signal read

    Fair
    Spread 
    No edge
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    AFC North standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin AFC NorthPlayoffs
    BALBaltimore Ravens–47.8%72.0%
    CINCincinnati Bengals–25.9%52.0%
    PITPittsburgh Steelers–25.2%50.8%
    CLECleveland Browns–1.1%3.8%
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    Pittsburgh Steelers schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1vsATLAtlanta FalconsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET63%win prob-3.5proj line-3.5market lineRead preview
    WK 2@NENew England PatriotsSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET39%win prob+2.8proj line+212market price
    WK 3vsCINCincinnati BengalsSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET62%win prob-3.2proj line–market
    WK 4@CLECleveland BrownsThu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET60%win prob-2.7proj line–market
    WK 5vsINDIndianapolis ColtsSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET64%win prob-3.7proj line–market
    WK 6@TBTampa Bay BuccaneersSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET52%win prob-0.6proj line–market
    WK 7@NONew Orleans Saints Neutral siteSun Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET63%win prob-3.4proj line–market
    WK 8vsCLECleveland BrownsSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET69%win prob-5.3proj line–market
    WK 9Bye week
    WK 10@CINCincinnati BengalsSun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET52%win prob-0.5proj line–market
    WK 11@PHIPhiladelphia EaglesSun Nov 22, 4:25 PM ET41%win prob+2.4proj line–market
    WK 12vsDENDenver BroncosFri Nov 27, 3:00 PM ET43%win prob+1.9proj line–market
    WK 13vsHOUHouston TexansSun Dec 6, 8:20 PM ET45%win prob+1.3proj line–market
    WK 14@JACJacksonville JaguarsMon Dec 14, 8:15 PM ET38%win prob+3.2proj line–market
    WK 15vsBALBaltimore RavensSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line–market
    WK 16vsCARCarolina Panthers FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET68%win prob-4.9proj line–market
    WK 17@TENTennessee TitansSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET69%win prob-5.1proj line–market
    WK 18@BALBaltimore Ravens FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET43%win prob+1.8proj line–market

    Steelers injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Steelers coverage

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    Pittsburgh Steelers roster

    75 players · tap to open

    Offense 35

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    16Drew AllarQBPenn State
    18Will HowardQB2Ohio State
    8Aaron RodgersQB21California
    2Mason RudolphQB9Oklahoma State
    13Rico DowdleRB7South Carolina
    29Eli HeidenreichRBNavy
    21Travis HomerRB8Miami (FL)
    31Lew NicholsRB1Central Michigan
    30Jaylen WarrenRB5Oklahoma State
    37Riley NowakowskiFBIndiana
    17Germie BernardWRAlabama
    84Max HurlemanWR1Notre Dame
    89Brandon JohnsonWR3UCF
    11Michael Pittman Jr.WR7USC
    4DK MetcalfWR8Ole Miss
    15Ben SkowronekWR6Notre Dame
    72Brandon SmithWR1Iowa
    10Kaden WetjenWRIowa
    14Roman WilsonWR3Michigan
    88Pat FreiermuthTE6Penn State
    81Lake McReeTEUSC
    85Robert TonyanTE8Indiana State
    80Darnell WashingtonTE4Georgia
    54Zach FrazierC3West Virginia
    62Ryan McCollumC4Texas A&M
    66Mason McCormickG3South Dakota State
    73Gennings DunkerOGIowa
    67Brock HoffmanOG5Virginia Tech
    60Dylan CookOT3Montana
    68Jack DriscollOT6Auburn
    76Troy FautanuOT3Washington
    71Max IheanachorOTArizona State
    74Spencer AndersonOL4Maryland
    79Steven JonesOL1Oregon
    72Doug NesterOL1West Virginia

    Defense 37

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    96Gabriel RubioDENotre Dame
    65Kyler BaughDT1Minnesota
    95Keeanu BentonDT4Wisconsin
    99Derrick HarmonDT2Oregon
    97Cameron HeywardDT16Ohio State
    69Sebastian Joseph-DayDT8Rutgers
    91Logan LeeDT3Iowa
    93Esezi OtomewoDT4Minnesota
    94Yahya BlackDL2Iowa
    92Kevin Jobity Jr.DLSyracuse
    44Carson BruenerLB2Washington
    51Nick HerbigLB4Wisconsin
    56Alex HighsmithLB7Charlotte
    55Cole HolcombLB8North Carolina
    6Patrick QueenLB7LSU
    57Bradyn SwinsonLB2LSU
    90T.J. WattLB10Wisconsin
    45Julius WelschofLB1Charlotte
    41Payton WilsonLB3North Carolina State
    53Jacoby WindmonLB2Michigan State
    33Jack SawyerOLB2Ohio State
    35Jamel DeanCB8Auburn
    26Brandin EcholsCB6Kentucky
    23Daylen EveretteCBGeorgia
    22Asante Samuel Jr.CB6Florida State
    24Joey Porter Jr.CB4Penn State
    34Donte KentCB2Central Michigan
    5Jalen RamseyCB11Florida State
    42Car'lin VigersCB1Louisiana-Monroe
    3Jaquan BriskerSAF5Penn State
    49Sebastian CastroSAF2Iowa
    25DeShon ElliottSAF9Texas
    38Bishop FitzgeraldSAFUSC
    31Rayshawn JenkinsSAF10Miami (FL)
    28Robert Spears-JenningsSAFOklahoma
    31Daequan HardyDB1Penn State
    40Doneiko SlaughterDB1Arkansas

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    9Chris BoswellK12Rice
    19Cameron JohnstonP9Ohio State
    46Christian KuntzLS6Duquesne