The World Cup outright odds are set for the knockout crunch: and teams are starting to book their places in the quarter-finals.
France remain the team the bookmakers cannot see past, and the gap between Didier Deschamps’ side and the rest is widening. Behind them, Argentina survived the fright of the tournament against Cape Verde and were cut to 9/2 anyway, while Colombia are the market’s big movers after completing the lineup.
Below, we have ranked all 12 remaining teams by their latest outright price — from the favourites to the longest of long shots — with a verdict on each.
World Cup 2026 outright odds: every team left
| Rank | Team | Odds (bet365) | Next up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 7/4 | Morocco (9th July) |
| 2 | Argentina | 9/2 | Egypt (7th July) |
| 3 | England | 11/2 | Norway (11th July) |
| 4 | Spain | 6/1 | Portugal (6th July) |
| 5 | Portugal | 12/1 | Spain (6th July) |
| 6 | Norway | 16/1 | England (11th July) |
| 7 | Colombia | 25/1 | Switzerland (7th July) |
| 8 | USA | 28/1 | Belgium (6th July) |
| 9 | Morocco | 33/1 | France (9th July) |
| 10 | Belgium | 50/1 | USA (6th July) |
| 11 | Switzerland | 80/1 | Colombia (7th July) |
| 12 | Egypt | 300/1 | Argentina (7th July) |
Odds via bet365, correct at the time of writing on 6th July and subject to change.
Every remaining team ranked
1. France — 7/4
France are the favourites, and it is not hard to see why. Didier Deschamps’ side swatted Sweden aside 3-0 without leaving second gear, and navigated a war against Paraguay — thanks to Kylian Mbappe’s second-half penalty — to reach the quarter-finals. Short price, few arguments.
2. Argentina — 9/2
The holders survived a massive scare from Cape Verde in the round-of-32, needing extra time to win 3-2 after things looked hairy on more than one occasion. Isn’t that what champions do? The market clearly thinks so — Argentina have shortened to 9/2 regardless, and Egypt await in Atlanta on Tuesday.
3. England — 11/2
England have answered some questions in the knockout stages so far. They’ve proven that they can overcome adversity. First, the Three Lions came from a goal down to beat DR Congo — showing they can recover fro setbacks. England then beat Mexico 3-2 at the Estadio Azteca despite playing 40 minutes with 10 men. That result has seen England’s chances increase.
4. Spain — 6/1
Spain have been the tournament’s most complete side and the 3-0 win over Austria barely tested them. The problem is the draw: Portugal in the last-16 is the tie of the round, and the winner will fancy themselves against anyone. Genuine contenders with the hardest route.
5. Portugal — 12/1
Nobody left in the draw has suffered more for their progress. Portugal went 113 minutes with Croatia before winning 2-1 in Toronto, and their reward is Spain. Win that and the price halves; the market is waiting to see it first.
6. Norway — 16/1
A first World Cup knockout campaign since 1998 continues, and the place in the quarter-finals is thoroughly deserved. Norway have the tournament’s most-feared centre-forward and he helped them dispatch five-time world champions Brazil to reach a first-ever World Cup quarter-final.
7. Colombia — 25/1
The market’s biggest mover. Colombia beat Ghana 1-0 to complete the last-16 line-up and were promptly cut from 33/1 to 25/1 — a nod to a draw that has opened up kindly. Switzerland in Vancouver is as gentle as knockout football gets at this stage.
8. USA — 28/1
The co-hosts have quietly done everything asked of them, and the 2-0 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina was their most controlled performance yet. The USA also landed the kindest tie of the round among the contenders: Belgium, the competition’s great escapologists. A home quarter-final is genuinely on.
9. Morocco — 33/1
The 2022 semi-finalists did it again, holding their nerve to beat the Netherlands on penalties. Morocco were the first team to reach the quarter-finals, beating co-hosts Canada. Of all the prices in this list, 33/1 for a side who know exactly how to navigate knockout football looks the most generous.
10. Belgium — 50/1
Nobody has flirted with elimination more enthusiastically. Belgium needed extra time and a 3-2 thriller to shake off Senegal, and now meet a USA side with the crowd behind them. Entertaining, fragile, and priced accordingly.
11. Switzerland — 80/1
The quiet men of the tournament. Switzerland dispatched Algeria 2-0 without fuss and now meet Colombia, the market’s form team, in Vancouver. They will not win the World Cup, but they have made a career of outlasting sides above them in lists like this.
12. Egypt — 300/1
Egypt overcame Australia on penalties in the round of 32, and it was not an inspiring performance. The hoped-for favour from Cape Verde never came, so the Pharaohs’ reward is Argentina. The price tells you what the market makes of their chances.
Who will win the 2026 World Cup?
France are worthy favourites: the deepest squad, the calmest knockout pedigree and the kindest route to the semi-finals. Spain are the best team in the tournament on the evidence so far, but tonight’s meeting with Portugal is a minefield all of its own.
All in all, the value sits in the middle of the market. Colombia at 25/1, with Switzerland standing between them and a quarter-final, is the standout price, while a USA side with home advantage and Belgium in front of them is a bigger number than their draw deserves. For the latest prices on every market, see our World Cup top goalscorer odds, and if you are watching the knockouts, our World Cup live streaming guide and the latest free bet offers have every game covered.
