A 70.0 passer rating is the lowest in the NFL, and it belongs to a team with Justin Herbert at quarterback. Our Broncos vs Chargers prediction tries to work out how.
The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-4 and have scored 67 points. The Denver Broncos arrive 2-2, outscored by 20 themselves. Kickoff is 9.05pm BST.
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Denver BroncosWin prob66%
Los Angeles ChargersWin prob34%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Broncos vs Chargers: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Broncos vs Chargers: 2026 form so far
An 0-4 team that cannot throw against a .500 team that cannot stop the run. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has conceded.
Broncos attack against the Chargers defence
| Per game | Broncos offence | Chargers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 199.0 | 211.8 |
| Rushing yards | 81.2 | 121.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 80.4 | 92.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.6% | 36.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 63.6% | 56.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 2.5 |
Chargers attack against the Broncos defence
| Per game | Chargers offence | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 185.2 | 232.2 |
| Rushing yards | 121.5 | 142.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 70.0 | 81.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.6% | 47.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 58.3% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Denver’s 571 rushing yards conceded at 4.76 a carry is the obvious way into this game, and running is the one thing Los Angeles has done competently.
Broncos vs Chargers quarterback matchup
Denver rates 80.4 through the air to the Chargers’ 70.0. Both are below league average and the Los Angeles figure is the lowest of any team this season.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | Bo Nix | 17/34, 186 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 73.9 rtg | 81/135, 819 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 80.4 rtg (4 games) |
| Chargers | Justin Herbert | 20/34, 226 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 76.3 rtg | 71/119, 816 yds, 4 TD, 6 INT, 70.6 rtg (4 games) |
Broncos vs Chargers injury report and team news
David Njoku is on injured reserve for the Chargers, thinning a receiving group already short of production.
Talanoa Hufanga has two interceptions for Denver.
Los Angeles has conceded 12 sacks and rates 70.0 through the air.
Denver BroncosLos Angeles ChargersHow an 0-4 start happened at SoFi
Seventy is the Chargers’ team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, from a team that has conceded 12 sacks and thrown for 741 yards in four games.
Running the ball has kept them in games. Omarion Hampton has 238 rushing yards against Denver’s 4.76 conceded, which is the matchup they will keep going back to.
At 9.05pm BST this is the better of the two late-afternoon Eastern kickoffs for a UK audience, though neither offence promises much.
Players to watch
- Courtland Sutton (DEN, WR): The senior target in a Denver passing game rating 80.4.
- RJ Harvey (DEN, RB): Shares a backfield against a defence conceding 3.77 a carry.
- Omarion Hampton (LAC, RB): 238 rushing yards in the Chargers’ one productive phase.
- Ladd McConkey (LAC, WR): A target in an offence with the NFL’s lowest passer rating.
How to watch Broncos vs Chargers
Kickoff is 9.05pm BST on Sunday 11 October at SoFi Stadium, which is 4:05 PM ET. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week, so Sky Sports or NFL Game Pass on DAZN is the route to it. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Broncos vs Chargers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.05pm BST Sun 11 Oct / 4:05 PM ET |
| Venue | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Broncos vs Chargers prediction and score projection
Our Broncos vs Chargers prediction is Denver 23-17. Neither team is convincing, but 67 points in four games is the harder number to overcome.
The live spread and Signal’s projected margin for this one update through the week.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | You are here |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Broncos vs Chargers FAQ
9.05pm BST on Sunday 11 October at SoFi Stadium, which is 4:05 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
No. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week.
A 70.0 team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, 12 sacks conceded and 67 points scored in four games.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change