Detroit has conceded 17 touchdowns, more than any team in the NFL, and is somehow 2-2. Our Lions vs Cardinals prediction explains how.
They score. The Detroit Lions have 119 points and a 108.6 passer rating. The Arizona Cardinals are 1-3 and allow a 114.9 opponent rating. Kickoff is 9.25pm BST.
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
Detroit LionsWin prob69%
Arizona CardinalsWin prob31%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Lions vs Cardinals: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Lions vs Cardinals: 2026 form so far
Two defences that have stopped very little, and one offence considerably better than the other. The table puts each attack against what the opposite side allows.
Lions attack against the Cardinals defence
| Per game | Lions offence | Cardinals allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 287.2 | 233.8 |
| Rushing yards | 102.0 | 117.5 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 108.6 | 114.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.1% | 45.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 72.2% | 69.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Cardinals attack against the Lions defence
| Per game | Cardinals offence | Lions allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 194.2 | 304.0 |
| Rushing yards | 100.5 | 119.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Passer rating | 83.2 | 110.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.3% | 52.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.1% | 82.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.8 | 3.8 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Seventeen touchdowns conceded is the most in the league, and a 52.8% third-down rate against is also the worst. Detroit has covered it with points.
Lions vs Cardinals quarterback matchup
Detroit rates 108.6 through the air to Arizona’s 83.2, a 25.4-point gap between two team figures.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | Jared Goff | 25/32, 269 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 122.5 rtg | 109/161, 1214 yds, 9 TD, 0 INT, 108.6 rtg (4 games) |
| Cardinals | Jacoby Brissett | 38/52, 280 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 98.2 rtg | 103/152, 818 yds, 6 TD, 4 INT, 83.2 rtg (4 games) |
Lions vs Cardinals injury report and team news
James Conner is on injured reserve for Arizona, as is Trey Benson, leaving Jeremiyah Love to carry the backfield.
Aidan Hutchinson has three sacks in a Detroit front that has recorded 15.
Trey McBride has 33 receptions for Arizona, third-most of any player in the league.
Detroit LionsArizona CardinalsTwo defences that cannot get off the field
Detroit’s offence is genuine: a 108.6 team passer rating, 1,149 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and a 72.2% red-zone conversion rate.
Its defence has been the opposite. Seventeen touchdowns and 1,216 passing yards conceded, with 82.4% of opponent red-zone trips finished.
Arizona is not equipped to punish that as much as it should be, rating 83.2 through the air and having conceded 15 touchdowns itself.
Players to watch
- Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): 353 rushing yards, joint fifth in the NFL.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET, WR): 303 receiving yards from 31 catches.
- Trey McBride (ARI, TE): 33 receptions, third-most of any player in the NFL.
- Michael Wilson (ARI, WR): 258 receiving yards from 25 catches.
How to watch Lions vs Cardinals
Kickoff is 9.25pm BST on Sunday 11 October at State Farm Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week, so Sky Sports or NFL Game Pass on DAZN is the route to it. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Lions vs Cardinals |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.25pm BST Sun 11 Oct / 4:25 PM ET |
| Venue | State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Lions vs Cardinals prediction and score projection
Our Lions vs Cardinals prediction is Detroit 27-20. The Lions concede more than anyone, but they also score more than Arizona can.
Signal’s live win probability for this game will move once the designations land.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | You are here |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Lions vs Cardinals FAQ
9.25pm BST on Sunday 11 October at State Farm Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
No. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week.
It has conceded 17 touchdowns and allows 52.8% on third down, both the worst marks in the NFL.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change