Two 0-4 teams, and somebody has to win. Our Texans vs Titans prediction covers the only game this week that guarantees a first victory.
The Houston Texans have been outscored by 25 points, the Tennessee Titans by 28. Neither has found an offence. Kickoff is 6pm BST.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Houston TexansWin prob77%
Tennessee TitansWin prob23%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Texans vs Titans: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Texans vs Titans: 2026 form so far
Two winless teams whose problems sit at opposite ends. The table sets each attack against what the other defence has conceded.
Texans attack against the Titans defence
| Per game | Texans offence | Titans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 264.8 | 209.8 |
| Rushing yards | 79.0 | 122.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Passer rating | 95.3 | 100.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.2% | 35.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.1% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Titans attack against the Texans defence
| Per game | Titans offence | Texans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 172.2 | 260.0 |
| Rushing yards | 89.0 | 83.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Passer rating | 81.4 | 102.9 |
| Touchdowns | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.4% | 37.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 63.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.5 | 3.5 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Houston moves the ball through the air and stops nothing, conceding 1,040 passing yards at a 102.9 rating. Tennessee cannot move it at all.
Texans vs Titans quarterback matchup
Houston’s passing game rates 95.3 to Tennessee’s 81.4, and the Texans have thrown for 370 more yards across the same four games.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | C.J. Stroud | 16/27, 167 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 89.6 rtg | 93/151, 1141 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 95.9 rtg (4 games) |
| Titans | Cam Ward | 23/36, 181 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 74.0 rtg | 75/119, 726 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 81.4 rtg (4 games) |
Texans vs Titans injury report and team news
Will Anderson Jr. has four sacks for Houston, joint third in the NFL.
Carnell Tate has 268 receiving yards as a rookie, more than any other Tennessee receiver.
David Montgomery has joined the Houston backfield and shares carries with Woody Marks.
Houston TexansTennessee TitansThe first win is here for one of them
Houston’s problem is not the offence. It has thrown for 1,059 yards at a 95.3 rating and converted 57.1% of red-zone trips. It has also conceded 1,040 passing yards.
Tennessee’s problem is the opposite and worse: 55 points in four games, six touchdowns, an 81.4 passer rating.
Both run defences are solid, so neither side will grind it out. It comes down to whether Tennessee’s secondary can hold Houston’s passing game for four quarters.
Players to watch
- Nico Collins (HOU, WR): The main target in a passing game with 1,059 yards.
- Woody Marks (HOU, RB): Shares a backfield against a defence allowing 3.66 a carry.
- Tony Pollard (TEN, RB): 221 rushing yards, Tennessee’s most dependable source of gains.
- Carnell Tate (TEN, WR): 268 receiving yards as a rookie on a team that has scored 55 points.
How to watch Texans vs Titans
Kickoff is 6pm BST on Sunday 11 October at Nissan Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week, so Sky Sports or NFL Game Pass on DAZN is the route to it. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Texans vs Titans |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6pm BST Sun 11 Oct / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Texans vs Titans prediction and score projection
Our Texans vs Titans prediction is Houston 19-16. The Texans have the better passing game and the better run defence, and that is usually enough here.
The live spread and the model’s number for this one are worth checking again on Friday.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Texans vs Titans FAQ
6pm BST on Sunday 11 October at Nissan Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
No. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week.
Houston cannot stop the pass, conceding a 102.9 rating. Tennessee cannot score, with 55 points in four games.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change