Minnesota has allowed 51 points in four games. Our Vikings vs Saints prediction takes the best defence in football into the noisiest stadium it will visit.
The New Orleans Saints are 1-3 and have conceded 128 points, more than anyone. The Minnesota Vikings are unbeaten. Kickoff is 6pm BST, and the Saints are without Travis Etienne Jr.
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Minnesota VikingsWin prob76%
New Orleans SaintsWin prob24%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Vikings vs Saints: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Vikings vs Saints: 2026 form so far
The best defence in football against an offence that moves the ball and then concedes. The table puts each attack against what the opposite side has allowed.
Vikings attack against the Saints defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Saints allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 156.0 | 212.5 |
| Rushing yards | 106.8 | 147.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| Passer rating | 85.0 | 105.5 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 4.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.4% | 47.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.2 | 2.0 |
Saints attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Saints offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 278.5 | 194.8 |
| Rushing yards | 88.5 | 94.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 95.7 | 67.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 50.0% | 22.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 80.0% | 18.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 4.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Four touchdowns conceded in four games is Minnesota’s record, and the next best in the league is Jacksonville on five.
Vikings vs Saints quarterback matchup
New Orleans rates 95.7 through the air to Minnesota’s 85.0, the rare case of an unbeaten side arriving as the lesser passing team.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 15/29, 168 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 66.5 rtg | 45/71, 433 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 73.3 rtg (3 games) |
| Saints | Tyler Shough | 29/42, 255 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, 106.7 rtg | 121/180, 1203 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 95.7 rtg (4 games) |
Vikings vs Saints injury report and team news
Travis Etienne Jr. is on injured reserve for New Orleans, taking out the back who ran for 1,107 yards last season.
Minnesota has recorded 16 sacks, the most in the NFL, with Dallas Turner on five.
Tyler Shough has nine touchdown passes for the Saints.
Minnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsCan anyone score on Minnesota
Fifty-one points in four games. Minnesota has conceded four touchdowns, allows a 67.6 opponent passer rating and stops 81.8% of red-zone trips short of the end zone.
New Orleans will test it differently to most. The Saints convert 50% on third down and 80% in the red zone, and Chris Olave’s 491 receiving yards rank second in the NFL.
The Superdome is the sort of away day that flatters a defence rather than an offence, and at 6pm BST it is one of the more watchable 1pm Eastern kickoffs.
Players to watch
- Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN, RB): 297 rushing yards against a defence conceding 5.05 a carry.
- T.J. Hockenson (MIN, TE): A central target for an offence with 624 passing yards.
- Chris Olave (NO, WR): 491 receiving yards, second in the NFL, from 35 receptions.
- Alvin Kamara (NO, RB): Leads the New Orleans ground game with Etienne unavailable.
How to watch Vikings vs Saints
Kickoff is 6pm BST on Sunday 11 October at the Caesars Superdome, which is 1:00 PM ET. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week, so Sky Sports or NFL Game Pass on DAZN is the route to it. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Vikings vs Saints |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6pm BST Sun 11 Oct / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Vikings vs Saints prediction and score projection
Our Vikings vs Saints prediction is Minnesota 26-17. New Orleans will move the ball and still find the end zone hard to reach.
Signal tracks the live probability for this game from now until kickoff.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Vikings vs Saints FAQ
6pm BST on Sunday 11 October at the Caesars Superdome, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
No. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week.
The best in the league. It has conceded 51 points and four touchdowns, and allows an 18.2% red-zone conversion rate.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change