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Squawka / NFL News / Eagles vs Jaguars Prediction & Tips: Week 5

Eagles vs Jaguars Prediction & Tips: Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction, picks and odds for Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season

The NFL is back at Tottenham, and our Eagles vs Jaguars prediction covers the one Week 5 game British viewers can watch for free at a civilised hour.

The Jacksonville Jaguars arrive 3-1 with a +51 point differential. The Philadelphia Eagles are 2-2 and have been outscored by 18. Kickoff is 2.30pm BST, and Channel 5 has it free-to-air.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 5 · Sun Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET. Our Signal model makes the Jacksonville Jaguars favourites by about 3 points, a 62% win probability (neutral site).

PHIPhiladelphia EaglesWin prob38%
JACJacksonville JaguarsWin prob62%
Projected lineJacksonville Jaguars -3

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.

Week 5 · Editorial pick

Eagles vs Jaguars: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Eagles AT Jaguars

Our props

TotalUnder 43.5 pointsJacksonville allows a 28.6% red-zone conversion rate, second only to Minnesota, and Philadelphia converts 35.8% on third down. The Eagles have nine touchdowns in four games.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
Player propBhayshul Tuten 65+ rushing yardsTuten has 277 rushing yards at 4.15 a carry. Philadelphia concedes 4.03 a carry and 488 rushing yards, and a lead on the road is when Jacksonville lean on him.
★★☆☆☆2/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Eagles vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far

A one-sided table that hides a strange split. The figures set each attack against what the opposing defence has actually conceded.

Eagles attack against the Jaguars defence

Per gameEagles offenceJaguars allow
Passing yards160.8280.2
Rushing yards109.074.2
Yards per carry4.23.3
Passer rating83.083.8
Touchdowns2.21.2
Third-down conversion35.8%32.6%
Red-zone conversion61.5%28.6%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.02.5

Jaguars attack against the Eagles defence

Per gameJaguars offenceEagles allow
Passing yards199.2222.0
Rushing yards117.2122.0
Yards per carry4.24.0
Passer rating111.285.1
Touchdowns3.02.8
Third-down conversion51.1%40.4%
Red-zone conversion81.8%58.8%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.01.0

Figures are season to date, across 4 games.

Jacksonville have allowed 1,121 passing yards, more than any side playing this week, and five touchdowns. Yards between the 20s cost them nothing.

Eagles vs Jaguars quarterback matchup

Trevor Lawrence’s 111.2 rating is 28 points clear of Jalen Hurts’s 83.0. Both are team figures, which include every attempt rather than just the starter’s.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
EaglesJalen Hurts16/25, 153 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 64.3 rtg68/114, 713 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT, 87.4 rtg (4 games)
JaguarsTrevor Lawrence19/29, 182 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 102.9 rtg72/104, 843 yds, 8 TD, 2 INT, 111.2 rtg (4 games)
Last game is Week 3. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Eagles vs Jaguars injury report and team news

Trevor Lawrence has eight touchdown passes, his best four-game start in a Jacksonville shirt.

Philadelphia’s receiving room is thin and Friday’s designations will decide how thin. The Eagles have nine touchdowns in four games.

Saquon Barkley has 182 rushing yards, well off the pace he set last year.

Injury report · Week 5Official game-status report — updates through the week
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Jakorian BennettCBIR
Landon DickersonGIR
Tank BigsbyRBIR
Andre’ SamSAFIR
Eli StowersTEIR
Grant CalcaterraTEIR
Johnny WilsonWRIR
JACJacksonville Jaguars
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Christian BraswellCBIR
B.J. Green IIDEIR
Zach DurfeeDEIR
Jared BartlettLBIR
Parker HughesLBIR
Garrett DiGiorgioOLIR
Patrick MekariOLIR
Sam MustipherOLIR
Caleb RansawSAFIR

The red-zone number that decides Eagles vs Jaguars

Jacksonville concede yardage happily and then concede almost nothing once the field shortens. A 28.6% red-zone conversion rate against is the second-best mark in the NFL.

Philadelphia were built to exploit exactly that. They convert 61.5% of their own red-zone trips, but have managed 75 points in four games.

A 9:30 AM Eastern kickoff is unusual for the players and routine for anyone watching in Britain, which is the rare week the UK audience gets the better end of it.

Players to watch

  • Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB): Eight touchdown passes at a 111.2 team rating.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC, WR): Jacksonville’s main target in an offence scoring 26 a game.
  • Saquon Barkley (PHI, RB): 182 rushing yards against a defence allowing 3.26 a carry.
  • Jalen Hurts (PHI, QB): Seven touchdown passes, an 83.0 rating, 12 sacks taken.

How to watch Eagles vs Jaguars

Kickoff is 2.30pm BST on Sunday 11 October at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, which is 9:30 AM ET. This one is free-to-air on Channel 5, with coverage from 2:00pm, and it also streams on Channel 5 Sport on YouTube. Free-to-air games are not affected by the Sky blackout. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailEagles vs Jaguars
DateSunday, October 11, 2026
Kickoff2.30pm BST Sun 11 Oct / 9:30 AM ET
VenueTottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
TVChannel 5
Live streamNFL Game Pass (DAZN)
WeekWeek 5, 2026 NFL season

Eagles vs Jaguars prediction and score projection

Our Eagles vs Jaguars prediction is a Jacksonville win, 24-17. The Jaguars have the better record, the better differential and the defence that has stopped people where it counts.

Signal’s read on this one moves as the week’s team news lands.

Every Week 5 game, previewed

Kickoff (BST)GameOur predictionPreview
Fri 1:15 AMBuccaneers @ CowboysCowboys 27-20Read
Sun 2:30 PMEagles @ JaguarsJaguars 24-17You are here
Sun 6:00 PMBears @ PackersBears 24-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMBengals @ DolphinsBengals 27-16Read
Sun 6:00 PMBrowns @ JetsBrowns 20-17Read
Sun 6:00 PMTexans @ TitansTexans 19-16Read
Sun 6:00 PMColts @ SteelersSteelers 21-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMRaiders @ PatriotsRaiders 23-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMVikings @ SaintsVikings 26-17Read
Sun 6:00 PMGiants @ CommandersGiants 24-17Read
Sun 9:05 PMBroncos @ ChargersBroncos 23-17Read
Sun 9:25 PMLions @ CardinalsLions 27-20Read
Sun 9:25 PM49ers @ SeahawksSeahawks 24-21Read
Mon 1:20 AMRavens @ FalconsRavens 26-20Read
Tue 1:15 AMBills @ RamsBills 27-23Read

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.

Eagles vs Jaguars FAQ

What time is Eagles vs Jaguars in the UK?

2.30pm BST on Sunday 11 October at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, which is 9:30 AM ET.

Is Eagles vs Jaguars free-to-air?

Yes. Channel 5 has it from 2:00pm, and it also streams on Channel 5 Sport on YouTube.

How can I watch Eagles vs Jaguars in the UK?

Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.

Who is favoured to win?

Jacksonville. They are 3-1 with a +51 point differential against Philadelphia’s 2-2 and -18.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change