Detroit has conceded 17 touchdowns, more than any team in the NFL, and allows opponents 52.8% on third down, also the worst mark in the league. Our Lions vs Cardinals prediction explains how it is still 2-2.
It scores. The Detroit Lions have 119 points and a 108.6 passer rating, and have been outscoring the damage. The Arizona Cardinals are 1-3, have conceded 15 touchdowns of their own, and allow a 114.9 opponent rating.
Lions vs Cardinals: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Lions vs Cardinals: 2026 form so far
Two defences that have stopped very little, and one offence considerably better than the other. The table puts each attack against what the opposite team allows.
Lions attack against the Cardinals defence
| Per game | Lions offence | Cardinals allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 287.2 | 233.8 |
| Rushing yards | 102.0 | 117.5 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 108.6 | 114.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.1% | 45.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 72.2% | 69.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Cardinals attack against the Lions defence
| Per game | Cardinals offence | Lions allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 194.2 | 304.0 |
| Rushing yards | 100.5 | 119.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Passer rating | 83.2 | 110.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.3% | 52.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.1% | 82.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.8 | 3.8 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Seventeen touchdowns conceded is the most in the league, and a 52.8% third-down conversion rate against is also the worst. Detroit has covered it with points.
Lions vs Cardinals quarterback matchup
Detroit rates 108.6 through the air to Arizona’s 83.2, a 25.4-point gap. Both are team figures rather than the starters’ own numbers.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | Jared Goff | 25/32, 269 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 122.5 rtg | 109/161, 1214 yds, 9 TD, 0 INT, 108.6 rtg (4 games) |
| Cardinals | Jacoby Brissett | 38/52, 280 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 98.2 rtg | 103/152, 818 yds, 6 TD, 4 INT, 83.2 rtg (4 games) |
Lions vs Cardinals injury report and team news
James Conner is on injured reserve for Arizona, as is Trey Benson, leaving Jeremiyah Love to carry the backfield.
Aidan Hutchinson has three sacks in a Detroit front that has recorded 15, second-most in the NFL.
Trey McBride has 33 receptions for Arizona, third-most of any player in the league.
Two defences that cannot get off the field
Detroit’s offence is genuine. A 108.6 team passer rating, 1,149 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and a 72.2% red-zone conversion rate make it one of the better attacks in football, and Jahmyr Gibbs has 353 rushing yards on top.
Its defence has been the opposite. Seventeen touchdowns and 1,216 passing yards conceded, a 52.8% third-down rate against, 82.4% of opponent red-zone trips finished.
Arizona is not equipped to punish that as much as it should be. It rates 83.2 through the air and has conceded 15 touchdowns itself, so this becomes a question of which poor defence faces the better offence.
Players to watch
- Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): 353 yards, tied for fifth in the league.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET, WR): 303 yards from 31 catches.
- Trey McBride (ARI, TE): 33 receptions, third-most of anyone in football.
- Michael Wilson (ARI, WR): 258 yards from 25 catches.
How to watch Lions vs Cardinals
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 11 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. CTV carries one Sunday afternoon game per region and the selection is local, so confirm it in your own listings. The French-language broadcast is on RDS. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Lions vs Cardinals |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Lions vs Cardinals prediction and score projection
Our Lions vs Cardinals prediction is Detroit 27-20. The Lions concede more than anyone, but they also score more than Arizona can.
Signal’s live win probability will move once the designations land.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
You can find the other games on our NFL hub, with Signal’s read on all of Week 5 alongside them. Both these teams are chasing the NFC Championship odds, with the AFC Championship odds tracked alongside them through the season.
Lions vs Cardinals FAQ
Detroit. The Lions are 2-2 with 119 points scored; Arizona is 1-3 and has been outscored by 30.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 11, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT, at State Farm Stadium.
It has conceded 17 touchdowns and allows 52.8% on third down, both the worst marks in the NFL.
No. Conner is on injured reserve, as is Trey Benson.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change