Somebody has to win this. Houston and Tennessee are both 0-4, and our Texans vs Titans prediction covers the only game this week that guarantees a first victory.
The margins are thin. The Houston Texans have been outscored by 25 points, the Tennessee Titans by 28. Tennessee has scored 55 points, the second-fewest in the league, and Houston has 84 despite throwing for 1,059 yards.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Houston TexansWin prob77%
Tennessee TitansWin prob23%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Texans vs Titans: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Texans vs Titans: 2026 form so far
Two winless teams whose problems are at opposite ends. The table sets each attack against what the other defence has actually conceded.
Texans attack against the Titans defence
| Per game | Texans offence | Titans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 264.8 | 209.8 |
| Rushing yards | 79.0 | 122.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Passer rating | 95.3 | 100.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.2% | 35.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.1% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Titans attack against the Texans defence
| Per game | Titans offence | Texans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 172.2 | 260.0 |
| Rushing yards | 89.0 | 83.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Passer rating | 81.4 | 102.9 |
| Touchdowns | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.4% | 37.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 63.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.5 | 3.5 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Houston moves the ball through the air and stops nothing: 1,040 passing yards conceded at a 102.9 rating. Tennessee cannot move it at all, with six touchdowns from four games.
Texans vs Titans quarterback matchup
Houston rates 95.3 through the air and Tennessee 81.4. Both are team numbers, and the Texans have thrown for 370 more yards in the same four games.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | C.J. Stroud | 16/27, 167 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 89.6 rtg | 93/151, 1141 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 95.9 rtg (4 games) |
| Titans | Cam Ward | 23/36, 181 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 74.0 rtg | 75/119, 726 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 81.4 rtg (4 games) |
Texans vs Titans injury report and team news
Will Anderson Jr. has four sacks for Houston, joint third in the NFL, and the Texans have 14 as a team.
Carnell Tate has 268 receiving yards as a rookie, more than any other Tennessee receiver.
David Montgomery has joined the Houston backfield and shares carries with Woody Marks.
Houston TexansTennessee TitansThe first win is here for one of them
Houston’s problem is not the offence. It has thrown for 1,059 yards at a 95.3 rating and converted 57.1% of red-zone trips. It has also conceded 1,040 passing yards at 102.9, which is how a team scoring 21 a game ends up 0-4.
Tennessee’s problem is the opposite and worse. Fifty-five points in four games, six touchdowns, an 81.4 passer rating. Tony Pollard’s 221 rushing yards are the most reliable thing it has.
Both run defences are genuinely solid. Houston allows 3.35 a carry and Tennessee 3.66, so neither team will grind it out.
Players to watch
- Nico Collins (HOU, WR): Top target in a passing game worth 1,059 yards.
- Woody Marks (HOU, RB): Splits carries against a front conceding 3.66 a rush.
- Tony Pollard (TEN, RB): 221 yards, and the steadiest gain Tennessee has.
- Carnell Tate (TEN, WR): 268 yards as a rookie on a team with 55 points.
How to watch Texans vs Titans
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 11 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Which Sunday afternoon game CTV shows depends on where you are watching, so check locally. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Texans vs Titans |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Texans vs Titans prediction and score projection
Our Texans vs Titans prediction is Houston 19-16. The Texans have the better passing game and the better run defence, and in a game between winless teams that is usually enough.
The live spread and our projected margin are worth checking again on Friday.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 5 game on the same model. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.
Texans vs Titans FAQ
Houston, narrowly. Both are 0-4, but the Texans have the smaller deficit at -25 against Tennessee’s -28.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 11, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Nissan Stadium.
Houston cannot stop the pass, conceding a 102.9 rating. Tennessee cannot score, with 55 points and six touchdowns in four games.
Tony Pollard on the ground with 221 rushing yards, and Carnell Tate through the air with 268 receiving yards.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change