Kirk Cousins has eleven touchdown passes, level with Brock Purdy for the most in the NFL. Our Raiders vs Patriots prediction sends him to a stadium where the home team rates 71.9 through the air.
The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-1 and have scored 115 points. The New England Patriots are 2-2 and have scored 65. New England is also without A.J. Brown and Harold Landry III, both on reserve lists.
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
Las Vegas RaidersWin prob24%
New England PatriotsWin prob76%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Raiders vs Patriots: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Raiders vs Patriots: 2026 form so far
A visiting offence that scores and a home one that does not. The table measures each attack against what the opposite defence has conceded.
Raiders attack against the Patriots defence
| Per game | Raiders offence | Patriots allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 250.0 | 189.8 |
| Rushing yards | 93.0 | 104.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| Passer rating | 99.5 | 86.8 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.6% | 38.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 53.3% | 58.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 2.0 |
Patriots attack against the Raiders defence
| Per game | Patriots offence | Raiders allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 213.8 | 202.8 |
| Rushing yards | 117.8 | 134.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Passer rating | 71.9 | 85.8 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.6% | 40.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 44.4% | 76.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.5 | 3.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Las Vegas has taken 23 penalties for 120 yards, a total only Indianapolis betters. On the road in a tight game, that discipline is worth more than it looks.
Raiders vs Patriots quarterback matchup
Las Vegas rates 99.5 through the air against New England’s 71.9, a 27.6-point gap between two team figures.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | Kirk Cousins | 22/33, 248 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 119.3 rtg | 93/144, 1026 yds, 11 TD, 4 INT, 99.5 rtg (4 games) |
| Patriots | Drake Maye | 14/25, 199 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 48.6 rtg | 73/117, 854 yds, 4 TD, 7 INT, 71.0 rtg (4 games) |
| Tommy DeVito | 3/5, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 77.1 rtg | 3/5, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 77.1 rtg (1 game) |
Raiders vs Patriots injury report and team news
A.J. Brown is on injured reserve for New England, and Harold Landry III is on the physically unable to perform list.
Brock Bowers is the central target in a Las Vegas passing game with 1,000 yards and twelve touchdowns.
New England’s 71.9 passer rating is the third-lowest in the NFL, ahead of only the Chargers and Tampa Bay.
Las Vegas RaidersNew England PatriotsWhere Raiders vs Patriots turns
Las Vegas throws it well and stops nobody on the ground. Opponents average 5.17 yards a carry against it, a figure only Carolina has exceeded.
New England should be built to punish that. It runs for 471 yards at 3.92 a carry with Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson sharing the load.
So the game is a race between Cousins scoring early and the Patriots keeping it on the ground. Las Vegas has conceded eleven touchdowns itself, so this is not a shutout waiting to happen.
Players to watch
- Kirk Cousins (LV, QB): Eleven scores through the air, tied with Brock Purdy for the lead.
- Brock Bowers (LV, TE): The first read in an attack with 1,000 yards and twelve touchdowns.
- TreVeyon Henderson (NE, RB): Splits carries into a front giving up 5.17 a rush.
- Hunter Henry (NE, TE): A steady outlet for an offence rating 71.9 passing.
How to watch Raiders vs Patriots
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 11 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, so check your local listings for this one, and RDS has the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Raiders vs Patriots |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Raiders vs Patriots prediction and score projection
Our Raiders vs Patriots prediction is Las Vegas 23-20. The Raiders have the quarterback and the points; a soft run defence keeps New England close.
Signal’s projected margin and the live number update through the week.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
You can find the other games on our NFL hub, with Signal’s read on all of Week 5 alongside them. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.
Raiders vs Patriots FAQ
Las Vegas. The Raiders are 3-1 with a +31 differential; New England is 2-2 at -12.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 11, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Gillette Stadium.
No. Brown is on injured reserve, as is Harold Landry III, who is on the PUP list.
Eleven in four games, level with Brock Purdy for the most in the NFL.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change