Minnesota has allowed 51 points, four touchdowns and an 18.2% red-zone conversion rate. All three are the best marks in the NFL, and our Vikings vs Saints prediction puts that defence in the loudest building it will visit.
The New Orleans Saints are 1-3 and have conceded 128 points, more than any other team. They can score, but they have been giving it straight back, and they are without Travis Etienne Jr., who is on injured reserve.
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Minnesota VikingsWin prob76%
New Orleans SaintsWin prob24%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Vikings vs Saints: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Vikings vs Saints: 2026 form so far
The best defence in football against an offence that moves the ball and then concedes. The table puts each attack against what the other team has allowed.
Vikings attack against the Saints defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Saints allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 156.0 | 212.5 |
| Rushing yards | 106.8 | 147.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| Passer rating | 85.0 | 105.5 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 4.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.4% | 47.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.2 | 2.0 |
Saints attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Saints offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 278.5 | 194.8 |
| Rushing yards | 88.5 | 94.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 95.7 | 67.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 50.0% | 22.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 80.0% | 18.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 4.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Four touchdowns conceded in four games. That is Minnesota’s record, and the next best in the league is Jacksonville on five. A 67.6 opponent passer rating completes it.
Vikings vs Saints quarterback matchup
New Orleans rates 95.7 through the air to Minnesota’s 85.0. Both are team figures, and it is rare for an unbeaten team to be the lesser passing team.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 15/29, 168 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 66.5 rtg | 45/71, 433 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 73.3 rtg (3 games) |
| Saints | Tyler Shough | 29/42, 255 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, 106.7 rtg | 121/180, 1203 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 95.7 rtg (4 games) |
Vikings vs Saints injury report and team news
Travis Etienne Jr. is on injured reserve for New Orleans, taking out the back who ran for 1,107 yards last season.
Minnesota has recorded 16 sacks, the most in the NFL, with Dallas Turner on five of them.
Tyler Shough has nine touchdown passes for the Saints, a share of third-most in the league.
Minnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsCan anyone score on Minnesota
Fifty-one points in four games. Minnesota has conceded four touchdowns, allows opponents a 67.6 passer rating, and stops 81.8% of red-zone trips short of the end zone. No other team is close on any of the three.
New Orleans will test it differently to most. It converts 50% on third down and 80% in the red zone, and Chris Olave’s 491 receiving yards rank second in the NFL.
The defence has cost it. Sixteen touchdowns conceded, 128 points, and 5.05 yards a carry allowed.
Players to watch
- Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN, RB): 297 yards, into a front conceding 5.05 a carry.
- T.J. Hockenson (MIN, TE): A reliable outlet for an attack with 624 passing yards.
- Chris Olave (NO, WR): 491 yards from 35 catches, second in the league.
- Alvin Kamara (NO, RB): Carries the load with Etienne on injured reserve.
How to watch Vikings vs Saints
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 11 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. CTV’s Sunday afternoon pick varies by region, so your local listings decide whether this is the game you get. RDS carries the French-language broadcast. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Vikings vs Saints |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Vikings vs Saints prediction and score projection
Our Vikings vs Saints prediction is Minnesota 26-17. The Saints will move the ball and still find the end zone hard to reach.
Signal’s live probability for this game updates through to kickoff.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
The rest of the week is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 5 game the same way. Both these teams are chasing the NFC Championship odds, with the AFC Championship odds tracked alongside them through the season.
Vikings vs Saints FAQ
Minnesota. The Vikings are 4-0 with a +35 differential; New Orleans is 1-3 at -23.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 11, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Caesars Superdome.
The best in the league. It has conceded 51 points and four touchdowns, and allows an 18.2% red-zone conversion rate.
No. Etienne is on injured reserve for New Orleans.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change