A 70.0 passer rating is the lowest in the NFL, and it belongs to a team with Justin Herbert at quarterback. Our Broncos vs Chargers prediction tries to work out how that happened.
The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-4 and have scored 67 points. The Denver Broncos arrive 2-2, outscored by 20 themselves, with a defence that has conceded an 81.3 opponent rating but 571 rushing yards.
Broncos vs Chargers: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Broncos vs Chargers: 2026 form so far
An 0-4 team that cannot throw, against a .500 team that cannot stop the run. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has conceded.
Broncos attack against the Chargers defence
| Per game | Broncos offence | Chargers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 199.0 | 211.8 |
| Rushing yards | 81.2 | 121.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 80.4 | 92.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.6% | 36.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 63.6% | 56.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 2.5 |
Chargers attack against the Broncos defence
| Per game | Chargers offence | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 185.2 | 232.2 |
| Rushing yards | 121.5 | 142.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 70.0 | 81.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.6% | 47.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 58.3% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Denver’s 571 rushing yards conceded at 4.76 a carry is the obvious way into this game, and it is the one thing Los Angeles has done competently all season.
Broncos vs Chargers quarterback matchup
Denver rates 80.4 through the air to the Chargers’ 70.0. Both are team figures, and the Los Angeles number is the lowest of any team this season.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | Bo Nix | 17/34, 186 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 73.9 rtg | 81/135, 819 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 80.4 rtg (4 games) |
| Chargers | Justin Herbert | 20/34, 226 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 76.3 rtg | 71/119, 816 yds, 4 TD, 6 INT, 70.6 rtg (4 games) |
Broncos vs Chargers injury report and team news
David Njoku is on injured reserve for the Chargers, thinning a receiving group already short of production.
Talanoa Hufanga has two interceptions for Denver, a share of third-most in the NFL.
Los Angeles has conceded 12 sacks, and its 70.0 passer rating is the lowest in the league.
How an 0-4 start happened at SoFi
Seventy. That is the Chargers’ team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, from a team that has conceded 12 sacks and thrown for 741 yards in four games.
Running the ball has kept them in games. Omarion Hampton has 238 rushing yards and the team averages 4.3 a carry, which against Denver’s 4.76 conceded is the matchup they will keep going back to.
Denver is not a convincing favourite. It has scored 74 points, converts 63.6% in the red zone, and has taken five sacks of its own.
Players to watch
- Courtland Sutton (DEN, WR): The senior target in a Denver attack rating 80.4.
- RJ Harvey (DEN, RB): Shares carries into a front conceding 3.77 a rush.
- Omarion Hampton (LAC, RB): 238 yards, and the only part of the Chargers that works.
- Ladd McConkey (LAC, WR): A target in the league’s lowest-rated passing game.
How to watch Broncos vs Chargers
Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, October 11 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood. CTV’s Sunday afternoon pick varies by region, so your local listings decide whether this is the game you get. RDS carries the French-language broadcast. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Broncos vs Chargers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:05 PM ET / 3:05 PM CT / 1:05 PM PT |
| Venue | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 5, 2026 NFL season |
Broncos vs Chargers prediction and score projection
Our Broncos vs Chargers prediction is Denver 23-17. Neither team is convincing, but the Chargers have scored 67 points in four games and that is the harder number to overcome.
The live spread and Signal’s projected margin update through the week.
Every Week 5 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Eagles @ Jaguars | Jaguars 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Packers | Bears 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Jets | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Titans | Texans 19-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Steelers | Steelers 21-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Raiders @ Patriots | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Commanders | Giants 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos 23-17 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens 26-20 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Bills @ Rams | Bills 27-23 | Read |
Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 5 game on the same model. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.
Broncos vs Chargers FAQ
Denver. The Broncos are 2-2; Los Angeles is 0-4 with a -39 point differential.
4:05 PM ET on Sunday, October 11, which is 3:05 PM CT and 1:05 PM PT, at SoFi Stadium.
A 70.0 team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, 12 sacks conceded and 67 points scored in four games.
Run defence. It has allowed 571 rushing yards at 4.76 a carry.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change