Our Commanders vs Eagles prediction backs Philadelphia. Washington travels to Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, September 13 for the late window. FOX has the 4:25 PM ET kickoff, one of four games in that slot. Both sides open the 2026 NFL season here. Squawka Signal’s live read, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Moreover, Signal rates all 16 Week 1 games the same way.
Notably, this fixture pairs two extremes. Philadelphia converted 70.5% of their red-zone trips in 2025, the best rate of any team playing this weekend, and held opponents to a 75.4 passer rating, also the best.
Washington, by contrast, sits at the other end of both. Opponents converted 67.7% of their red-zone trips and posted a 104.0 passer rating against them, the weakest pairing on the slate. Consequently the Eagles should not need many possessions.
Commanders vs Eagles: our editor’s prop
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Commanders vs Eagles: 2025 season form
Philadelphia went 11-6 and won the NFC East; Washington went 5-12 and conceded 451 points, more than any team playing this weekend bar Dallas.
| 2025 regular season | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-12 | 11-6 |
| Points for | 356 | 379 |
| Points against | 451 | 325 |
| Point differential | -95 | +54 |
| Sacks recorded | 42 | 42 |
| Sacks allowed | 37 | 35 |
| Interceptions made | 8 | 12 |
| Third-down offense | 37.6% | 37.1% |
| Red-zone offense | 65.2% | 70.5% |
| Red zone allowed | 67.7% | 53.1% |
| Opponent passer rating | 104.0 | 75.4 |
The red-zone rows are the story. Philadelphia converted 70.5% and allowed 53.1%; Washington converted 65.2% but allowed 67.7%. Notably, Washington’s own rushing was genuinely good at 2,290 yards and 4.73 a carry, so the defense is where this is lost.
Commanders vs Eagles injury report and team news
Both sides expect their first-choice quarterbacks. The live Out, Doubtful and Questionable designations appear in the table below, and they update as the official report lands through the week.
Jayden Daniels starts for Washington, and Stefon Diggs has arrived from New England to work opposite Terry McLaurin. Luke McCaffrey fills in behind them, meanwhile, with Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Rachaad White and Jerome Ford sharing a rebuilt backfield.
Jalen Hurts starts for Philadelphia. DeVonta Smith leads the receivers after 1,008 yards, while Saquon Barkley returns behind him after 1,140 rushing yards and Dallas Goedert remains at tight end.
The matchup that decides it: the best red-zone offense against the leakiest red-zone defense
Philadelphia converted 70.5% of their red-zone trips in 2025. No team playing this weekend was better; moreover the Eagles managed it while throwing only seven interceptions all season.
The Commanders concede at almost exactly the rate the Eagles score. Opponents converted 67.7% inside the twenty against them and posted a 104.0 passer rating, both the worst figures in this round of fixtures. Therefore the Eagles’ trips should turn into touchdowns rather than field goals.
Washington’s counter, meanwhile, is the ground. They ran for 2,290 yards at 4.73 a carry, better than Philadelphia’s 4.16, and Daniels gives them a second dimension. Still, Philadelphia’s 75.4 opponent passer rating suggests the passing game will be harder work.
Players to watch
- Jalen Hurts (PHI, QB): Led the best red-zone offense on the slate at 70.5%, against the weakest red-zone defense.
- Saquon Barkley (PHI, RB): 1,140 rushing yards in 2025, tenth in the league.
- Terry McLaurin (WAS, WR): Washington’s senior receiver, now working opposite Stefon Diggs.
- Stefon Diggs (WAS, WR): Arrives from New England after 1,013 receiving yards last season.
- DeVonta Smith (PHI, WR): 1,008 receiving yards, and the steadiest target in an efficient offense.
How to watch Commanders vs Eagles
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. FOX has the broadcast, meanwhile, with NFL+ carrying it on mobile. Because this is a late-afternoon regional window, check your local listings.
| Detail | Commanders vs Eagles |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 2:25 PM MT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | FOX / NFL+ |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Commanders vs Eagles prediction and score projection
Our Commanders vs Eagles prediction is a clear Philadelphia win. Indeed, the best red-zone offense on the slate meeting the weakest red-zone defense is the most one-sided pairing of the weekend.
Washington will move the ball, though. Indeed, their run game is a genuine strength. Their 2,290 rushing yards at 4.73 a carry is a genuine strength, and Diggs alongside McLaurin gives Daniels more than he had.
So we will take the Eagles to win, 26-19. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Commanders vs Eagles FAQ
The Eagles. Philadelphia went 11-6 and won the NFC East, whereas Washington went 5-12. Furthermore, the Eagles held opponents to a 75.4 passer rating against Washington’s 104.0. The live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week, so both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide to the gap: Philadelphia finished at plus 54, Washington at minus 95.
FOX has the broadcast and NFL+ carries it on mobile. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026 from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
He is on the roster, having arrived from New England, where he recorded 1,013 receiving yards in 2025. He works opposite Terry McLaurin. Live game-status designations appear in the injury table above.
Eagles 26-19. Philadelphia’s 70.5% red-zone conversion against Washington’s 67.7% allowed is the decisive edge, though Washington’s 4.73 yards a carry should keep them scoring.
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