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Seahawks vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders prediction, picks and odds for Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season

Our Seahawks vs Commanders prediction sets one of the two meanest defenses in football against the one that has stopped nothing at all. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.

The Seattle Seahawks have conceded two touchdowns in two games and forced four interceptions, holding opposing quarterbacks to a 59.0 rating. The Washington Commanders have conceded seven touchdown passes at a 137.1 rating and recorded one sack.

Squawka Signal · Model vs market

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders

Week 3 · Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Seattle Seahawks favorites by about 7 points, a 76% win probability.

SEASeattle SeahawksSquawka76%Market73%▬ Fair
WASWashington CommandersSquawka24%Market27%▬ Fair
Projected lineSeattle Seahawks -7

Squawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.

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Week 3 · Editorial pick

Seahawks vs Commanders: our editor’s props

Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.

Seahawks AT Commanders

Our props

Player propJaxon Smith-Njigba 1+ receiving touchdownSmith-Njigba caught nine for 155 and three touchdowns at Arizona. Washington have conceded seven touchdown passes and generated one sack all season.
★★★★4/5 confidence
Team totalWashington under 20.5 pointsSeattle have allowed two touchdowns in two games and a 59.0 passer rating. Washington did score 22 at Philadelphia, so this is not free.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Seahawks vs Commanders: 2026 form so far

A two-and-oh record built on defense against an oh-and-two record built on the lack of one. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has allowed.

Seahawks attack against the Commanders defense

Per gameSeahawks offenseCommanders allow
Passing yards203.5224.0
Rushing yards129.5101.0
Yards per carry4.24.4
Passer rating125.0137.1
Touchdowns2.53.5
Third-down conversion33.3%52.0%
Red-zone conversion42.9%71.4%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.52.5

Commanders attack against the Seahawks defense

Per gameCommanders offenseSeahawks allow
Passing yards185.0124.5
Rushing yards157.089.5
Yards per carry4.93.7
Passer rating93.359.0
Touchdowns2.51.0
Third-down conversion44.8%28.6%
Red-zone conversion66.7%66.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded0.52.5

Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.

Seattle have taken four interceptions and conceded 17 points, one more than league-leading New England. Washington have allowed a 137.1 passer rating, the sort of number that does not usually survive a third week.

Seahawks vs Commanders injury report and team news

Drew Lock completed 19 of 26 for 235 yards and three touchdowns at Arizona at a 139.1 rating, and Seattle held the ball for 36:33.

Washington have recorded one sack in two games while conceding seven touchdown passes.

This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.

Injury report · Week 3Official game-status report — updates through the week
SEASeattle Seahawks
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Terrion ArnoldCBExempt
Robbie OuztsFBIR
Power EcholsLBIR
Mason RichmanOLIR
Bud ClarkSAFIR
Amari KightTIR
Irv CharlesWRIR
Jake BoboWRIR
Zach CharbonnetRBPUP
WASWashington Commanders
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Trey AmosCBIR
Jer’Zhan NewtonDTIR
Jordan MageeLBIR
Jeremy McNicholsRBIR
Laremy TunsilTIR
Deatrich Wise Jr.DEPUP

Where Seahawks vs Commanders is decided

Seattle control games without needing to score heavily. Forty rushing attempts at Arizona, 36 and a half minutes of possession, and a defense holding opposing quarterbacks to a 59.0 rating.

Washington can move the ball on the ground, with 314 rushing yards at 4.9 a carry, but have been unable to get anybody off the field. Opponents are converting 52% on third down.

Consequently the pass rush is the thing to watch. One sack in two games against a quarterback who has thrown four touchdowns and no interceptions is a difficult combination to defend.

Players to watch

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): Nine catches for 155 yards and three touchdowns at Arizona.
  • Drew Lock (SEA, QB): Three touchdown passes at a 139.1 rating in Week 2.
  • Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): Four touchdown passes and no interceptions across two games.
  • Washington ground game (WAS, RB): 314 rushing yards at 4.9 a carry, the one thing working.

How to watch Seahawks vs Commanders

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27 at Northwest Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.

DetailSeahawks vs Commanders
DateSunday, September 27, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueNorthwest Stadium, Landover, MD
TVFOX
Live streamNFL+ / Fox One
WeekWeek 3, 2026 NFL season

Seahawks vs Commanders prediction and score projection

Our Seahawks vs Commanders prediction is a Seattle win, 27-17. The Seahawks defense is the best unit on the field by a distance, and Washington have no way of slowing the game down.

The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.

Every Week 3 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMFalcons @ PackersPackers 23-10Read
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ BrownsPanthers 24-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMBengals @ SteelersBengals 20-13Read
Sun 1:00 PMTexans @ ColtsColts 26-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMChiefs @ DolphinsChiefs 31-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMChargers @ BillsBills 31-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMPatriots @ JaguarsPatriots 20-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMJets @ LionsLions 27-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMSeahawks @ CommandersSeahawks 27-17You are here
Sun 1:00 PMTitans @ GiantsTitans 20-17Read
Sun 4:05 PMCardinals @ 49ers49ers 30-13Read
Sun 4:05 PMVikings @ BuccaneersVikings 20-17Read
Sun 4:25 PMRavens @ CowboysRavens 30-24Read
Sun 4:25 PMRaiders @ SaintsRaiders 24-20Read
Sun 8:20 PMRams @ BroncosRams 26-17Read
Mon 8:15 PMEagles @ BearsEagles 24-20Read

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.

Seahawks vs Commanders FAQ

Who is favored to win, the Seahawks or the Commanders?

Seattle, despite playing away. The Seahawks are 2-0 and have conceded two touchdowns; Washington are 0-2 and have conceded seven through the air.

What time is Seahawks vs Commanders?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, at Northwest Stadium.

How good has the Seattle defense been?

Four interceptions, two touchdowns conceded and a 59.0 passer rating allowed across two games. Only New England have given up fewer points.

How did each side do in Week 2?

Seattle beat Arizona 31-7. Washington lost 37-20 at Dallas.

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change