Our Chargers vs Seahawks prediction sends a winless team to the defense that has allowed fewer passing yards than any other. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-3 and Justin Herbert has thrown three touchdowns to four interceptions. The Seattle Seahawks have allowed 425 passing yards in three games, the lowest total in the league. Lumen Field is a hard place to arrive needing a first win.
Chargers vs Seahawks: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chargers vs Seahawks: 2026 form so far
A winless offense against the meanest passing defense in the league by yardage. The table puts each attack against what the opposite side has allowed.
Chargers attack against the Seahawks defense
| Per game | Chargers offense | Seahawks allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 195.7 | 141.7 |
| Rushing yards | 113.0 | 87.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| Passer rating | 73.4 | 76.2 |
| Touchdowns | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.1% | 26.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 55.6% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.7 | 2.3 |
Seahawks attack against the Chargers defense
| Per game | Seahawks offense | Chargers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 266.7 | 233.0 |
| Rushing yards | 101.0 | 116.3 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 116.1 | 92.4 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 58.3% | 58.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.0 | 2.3 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Seattle have allowed 425 passing yards in three games and conceded only three sacks of their own quarterback. The Chargers have managed 44 points across three defeats.
Chargers vs Seahawks quarterback matchup
Sam Darnold has thrown one more touchdown pass than Justin Herbert from 41 fewer attempts, and four fewer interceptions.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | Justin Herbert | 20/34, 226 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 76.3 rtg | 52/88, 627 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT, 73.4 rtg (3 games) |
| Seahawks | Sam Darnold | 31/45, 379 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT, 105.7 rtg | 32/47, 392 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT, 104.2 rtg (2 games) |
Chargers vs Seahawks injury report and team news
Justin Herbert has thrown three touchdowns to four interceptions in three games at a 73.4 rating, down from 94.1 across 16 games last season.
Sam Darnold threw four touchdown passes at Washington in a 33-31 defeat, one of three quarterbacks to manage four in Week 3.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Chargers vs Seahawks is decided
Seattle have allowed 425 passing yards in three games. New England are next at 510, and no other defense is under 500. Add a 76.2 opponent rating and four interceptions and this is the most difficult secondary the Chargers have faced.
Los Angeles have not been able to answer that sort of thing. Forty-four points in three games, four interceptions thrown, and a 35.1% third-down conversion rate that has kept their defense on the field.
Seattle’s own weakness is the run game, at 3.8 a carry for 303 yards, and they did concede 33 points at Washington. That is the case for a Chargers cover rather than a Chargers win.
Players to watch
- Justin Herbert (LAC, QB): 226 yards, one touchdown and one interception at Buffalo.
- Omarion Hampton (LAC, RB): 15 carries for 56 yards in Week 3.
- Sam Darnold (SEA, QB): 31 of 45 for 379 yards and four touchdowns at Washington.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): 405 receiving yards and six touchdowns this season, both league highs.
How to watch Chargers vs Seahawks
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 4 at Lumen Field, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Chargers vs Seahawks |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Lumen Field, Seattle, WA |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Chargers vs Seahawks prediction and score projection
Our Chargers vs Seahawks prediction is a Seattle win, 27-17. The Seahawks have the best passing defense in the league by yardage and the Chargers have not scored more than 16 in a game.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | You are here |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.
Chargers vs Seahawks FAQ
Seattle, comfortably, at home. The Seahawks are 2-1; the Chargers are 0-3 with 44 points in three games.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 4, at Lumen Field.
Justin Herbert has thrown four interceptions to three touchdowns, and Los Angeles have scored 44 points across three defeats.
Los Angeles lost 24-16 at Buffalo. Seattle lost 33-31 at Washington.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change