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    Washington Commanders

    Washington Commanders Odds & Predictions

    NFCNFC EastElo 1481.7 · #23 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Commanders game this season, plus NFC East standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Commanders 2026 outlook

    16.1%Make playoffs
    6.8%Win NFC East
    0.5%No.1 seed
    0.6%Win NFC
    0.2%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Commanders Super Bowl odds0.2%1.4%0.8%-1.2Fair
    Commanders NFC Championship odds0.6%2.4%2.2%-1.8Fair
    Commanders NFC East odds6.8%Model read
    Next game · Week 1PHIat Philadelphia EaglesSun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka31% (+223)
    Market32% (+212)
    Gap-0.4 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedWAS +5.2
    MarketWAS +5.0
    Total44.0

    Signal read

    Fair
    Spread 
    No edge
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    NFC East standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin NFC EastPlayoffs
    PHIPhiladelphia Eagles–72.9%82.9%
    DALDallas Cowboys–13.1%27.5%
    NYGNew York Giants–7.2%16.4%
    WASWashington Commanders–6.8%16.1%
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    Washington Commanders schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1@PHIPhiladelphia EaglesSun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET31%win prob+5.2proj line+5.0market lineRead preview
    WK 2@DALDallas CowboysSun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET45%win prob+1.4proj line+178market price
    WK 3vsSEASeattle SeahawksSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET30%win prob+5.5proj line–market
    WK 4vsINDIndianapolis Colts Neutral siteSun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET48%win prob+0.5proj line–market
    WK 5vsNYGNew York GiantsSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET59%win prob-2.5proj line–market
    WK 6@SFSan Francisco 49ersMon Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET31%win prob+5.1proj line–market
    WK 7Bye week
    WK 8vsPHIPhiladelphia EaglesSun Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET40%win prob+2.6proj line+5.0market line
    WK 9vsLALos Angeles RamsSun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET35%win prob+4.1proj line–market
    WK 10@NYGNew York GiantsThu Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET49%win prob+0.2proj line–market
    WK 11vsCINCincinnati BengalsMon Nov 23, 8:15 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj line–market
    WK 12@ARIArizona CardinalsSun Nov 29, 4:25 PM ET54%win prob-1.1proj line–market
    WK 13@TENTennessee TitansSun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET59%win prob-2.3proj line–market
    WK 14vsHOUHouston TexansSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET34%win prob+4.2proj line–market
    WK 15vsATLAtlanta FalconsSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET53%win prob-0.7proj line–market
    WK 16@MINMinnesota Vikings FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET31%win prob+5.2proj line–market
    WK 17@JACJacksonville Jaguars FlexSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET28%win prob+6.0proj line–market
    WK 18vsDALDallas Cowboys FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET55%win prob-1.2proj line+178market price

    Commanders injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Commanders coverage

    Commanders vs Eagles Prediction: Picks, Odds & Week 1 PreviewMatch preview · Today

    Washington Commanders roster

    78 players · tap to open

    Offense 39

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    5Jayden DanielsQB3LSU
    15Sam HartmanQB1Notre Dame
    16Athan KaliakmanisQBRutgers
    8Marcus MariotaQB12Oregon
    31Kaytron AllenRBPenn State
    22Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB2Arizona
    34Jerome FordRB5Cincinnati
    30Robert Henry Jr.RBUTSA
    26Jeremy McNicholsRB6Boise State
    24Craig ReynoldsRB7Kutztown
    1Rachaad WhiteRB5Arizona State
    44Terrelle SmithFBArizona State
    86Jaden BradleyWRUNLV
    6Dyami BrownWR6North Carolina
    13Treylon BurksWR5Arkansas
    3Stefon DiggsWR12Maryland
    12Van JeffersonWR7Florida
    83Jaylin LaneWR2Virginia Tech
    11Luke McCaffreyWR3Rice
    17Terry McLaurinWR8Ohio State
    14Antonio WilliamsWRClemson
    87John BatesTE6Boise State
    85Chig OkonkwoTE5Maryland
    82Ben SinnottTE3Kansas State
    89Jack WestoverTE2Washington
    80Colson YankoffTE3UCLA
    66Matt GulbinCMichigan State
    67Nick AllegrettiG8Illinois
    61Julian Good-JonesG2Iowa State
    75Chris PaulG5Tulsa
    62Tanoa TogiaiGUtah
    74Brandon ColemanOG3TCU
    76Sam CosmiOG6Texas
    72Josh Conerly Jr.OT2Oregon
    79D.J. HumphriesT12Florida
    77Esa PoleT2Washington State
    73Trent ScottT9Grambling State
    78Laremy TunsilT11Ole Miss
    71Andrew WylieOL9Eastern Michigan

    Defense 36

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    92Dorance ArmstrongDE9Kansas
    91Deatrich Wise Jr.DE9Arkansas
    90Charles OmenihuDE8Texas
    50Ricky BarberDT1UCF
    55Byron CowartDT6Maryland
    99Javon KinlawDT7South Carolina
    60Jeffrey M'baDTSMU
    95Jer'Zhan NewtonDT3Illinois
    94Daron PayneDT9Alabama
    97Tim SettleDT9Virginia Tech
    96Shy TuttleDT8Tennessee
    51Ale KahoLB2UCLA
    4Frankie LuvuLB9Washington State
    58Jordan MageeLB3Temple
    56Kain MedranoLB2UCLA
    52Sonny StylesLBOhio State
    45K'Lavon ChaissonOLB7LSU
    54Leo ChenalOLB5Wisconsin
    41Javontae Jean-BaptisteOLB3Notre Dame
    53D.J. JohnsonOLB4Oregon
    48Joshua JosephsOLBTennessee
    98Odafe OwehOLB6Penn State
    23Trey AmosCB2Ole Miss
    31Rasul DouglasCB9West Virginia
    38Fred Davis IICBNorthwestern
    24Fabian MoreauCB10UCLA
    2Amik RobertsonCB7Louisiana Tech
    29Darius RushCB2South Carolina
    0Mike SainristilCB3Michigan
    47Terell SmithCB4Minnesota
    37Isaac YiadomCB9Boston College
    35Percy ButlerSAF5Louisiana
    25Nick CrossSAF5Maryland
    20Quan MartinSAF4Illinois
    18Tyler OwensSAF3Texas Tech
    39Jeremy ReavesSAF7South Alabama

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    19Drew StevensKIowa
    10Tress WayP13Oklahoma
    69Tyler OttLS12Harvard