- Full Time
- 89'
- 87'F. Bilbija
- 84'
- 78'
- 78'O. Fraulo on for R. Brewster
- 78'F. Bilbija on for S. Szmodics
- 78'L. Salvesen on for C. Morris
- A. Doughty on for K. Lisbie74'
- 74'
- 71'
- M. Ivanović on for L. Dykes68'
- R. Leonard on for T. Crama67'
- 57'M. Fuseini on for H. Meister
- Half Time
- 45 + 1'
- 37'
- 32'
- 24'
- 17'
- 10'
- 3'
- Kick Off
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1 Kyrell Lisbie 2
- 2 Jake Cooper 1
- 3 Luke Cundle 1
- 1 Kyrell Lisbie 5
- 2 Carlton Morris 4
- 3 Lyndon Dykes 3
- 1 Ryan Hedges 3
- 2 Jenson Metcalfe 2
- 3 Luke Cundle 2
- 1 Caleb Taylor 1
- 2 Camiel Neghli 1
- 3 Mihailo Ivanovic 1
- 1 Camiel Neghli 5
- 2 Mihailo Ivanovic 3
- 3 Sam Szmodics 3
- 1 Jenson Metcalfe 58
- 2 Luke Cundle 56
- 3 Jake Cooper 54
- 1 Camiel Neghli 2
- 2 Mihailo Ivanovic 2
- 3 Mark Sykes 2
- 1 Ryan Hedges 5
- 2 Jake Cooper 3
- 3 Jack Robinson 3
Our Millwall vs Derby County predictions for today’s 3pm (UK time) kick-off back Over 10.5 total corners at 8/11 (Betfred), with our score prediction Millwall 2-1 Derby County. Millwall vs Derby County closes the Championship card at The Den on Saturday 31 October, a 3.00pm kick-off that throws the mid-table Lions together with a Derby side rooted in the relegation zone.
The Lions go in 13th and looking to steady themselves at home, while Derby arrive second from bottom with just one win to their name. Our Millwall vs Derby County predictions and best bets are below, with Anthony Eadson talking through two value picks and the stats behind them.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson has gone through the Millwall vs Derby County odds and landed on two selections at a fair price.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 total corners | 8/11 (Betfred) | Both these sides play on the front foot and invite plenty of dead-ball situations. Millwall are physical and cross early at The Den, while Derby have conceded 21 goals already and spend long spells defending deep, which naturally pushes the corner count up. As 4/6 favourites, Millwall will do most of the pressing, and a side chasing goals against stubborn opponents tends to win a steady stream of flag-kicks. Millwall’s league games have averaged 11.9 corners and Derby’s 11.3, so at 8/11 with Betfred over 10.5 makes plenty of sense. |
| Jenson Metcalfe to assist | 6/1 (Ladbrokes) | Jenson Metcalfe has started all 12 league games for Millwall and is their dead-ball specialist, with two assists and 20 chances created so far. Derby have shipped 21 goals in 12 games and 11 in six on the road, and they have kept just one clean sheet all season, so there should be openings for Millwall’s set-piece delivery to exploit. The Lions are favourites at home and Metcalfe has created more chances than anyone else in their squad, which makes 6/1 with Ladbrokes for an assist a bold but well-backed play. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Millwall go into the game
Millwall sit 13th after 12 matches, with 15 points on the board from four wins, three draws and five defeats. The Lions arrive on the back of a 2-1 defeat at Portsmouth, a loss that came straight after a 2-2 home draw with Lincoln City. Rewind further and they fell 1-0 at home to Swansea City, won 1-0 at Preston North End and shared a 2-2 draw with West Ham United at The Den.
At home the Lions have won two, drawn two and lost two of six, scoring 11 and conceding eight. They have scored in two of their last three at The Den and been breached in all three, so a tight, open game looks on the cards against a Derby side that will fancy their chances of a goal.
How Derby County go into the game
Derby County travel to south London 23rd in the Championship and deep in trouble, with just seven points from a single win, four draws and seven defeats. The Rams have taken one point from their last two, drawing 1-1 at Sheffield United after a 1-0 home loss to Stoke City. That followed a 4-1 defeat at Queens Park Rangers, a 1-1 home draw with Wrexham and a 1-1 draw at Burnley.
On the road Derby have managed one win, two draws and three defeats from six, scoring six and shipping 11, and their minus-11 goal difference is among the worst in the division. They have at least found the net in eight of their 12 games, so the goals are not drying up completely, but the defending has cost them badly.
Millwall vs Derby County head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 | Millwall | 1-0 | Derby County |
| 10/12/25 | Derby County | 1-1 | Millwall |
| 22/02/25 | Derby County | 0-1 | Millwall |
| 19/10/24 | Millwall | 1-1 | Derby County |
| 23/02/22 | Derby County | 1-2 | Millwall |
Recent history makes for grim reading if you are a Derby fan. The Lions are unbeaten in the last five league meetings with the Rams, winning three and drawing two, and ran out 1-0 winners at The Den in March 2026. Derby’s last victory in this fixture came back in December 2020.
Millwall vs Derby County predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 4/6 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Millwall are unbeaten in their last five league meetings with Derby, who have won just once all season. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 4/5 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Derby have scored in four of their last five, while Millwall have conceded in each of their last three at The Den. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Derby have conceded 21 goals in 12 games, the sort of leaky defending that fuels higher-scoring afternoons. |
| Millwall 2-1 | 15/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | Millwall have the firepower to win at home, but Derby have found the net in eight of their 12 games. |
Millwall vs Derby County score prediction
Derby’s defensive frailties should hand Millwall enough at The Den, yet the Rams have found the net in four of their last five and lost by a single goal in four of their seven defeats. We expect the hosts to edge a tight one. Score prediction: Millwall 2-1 Derby County.
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