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Squawka / News / Brentford vs Sunderland predictions and betting tips: Bees’ shot count the standout number

Brentford vs Sunderland predictions and betting tips: Bees’ shot count the standout number

Sat 5 September, 15:00 Brentford Community Stadium
V. Janelt   57'
E. Le Fée (P)   82'
  1. Full Time
  2. 88'
  3. 86'
  4. 82'
  5. 74'
  6. 69'
  7. 64'
  8. 64'
  9. 62'
  10. 57'
  11. 46'
  12. 46'
  13. 46'
  14. Half Time
  15. 30'
  16. 17'
  17. 14'
  18. 9'
    D. Ballard Goal disallowed
  19. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
49.2% Possession 50.8%
1 Goals 1
12 Shots 14
2 Shots On Target 5
4 Corners Won 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1.39 xG 2.08
Shooting
1 Goals 1
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots On Target 5
Defending
1 Goals Conceded 1
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
371 Total Passes 384
287 Accurate Passes 290
Possession
49.2% Possession 50.8%
4 Corners 3
Discipline
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
19 Fouls 9

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Brentford vs Sunderland is a Premier League Gameweek 3 clash at the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday, with the hosts fancied against in-form Sunderland.

Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this Premier League clash below.

Premium Tips

Andy is with Brentford, whose home form should tell despite Sunderland’s bright start.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Brentford to win and under 2.5 goals3/1Brentford have started well and look solid at home, scoring four and conceding just one across their opening two games, and they beat Sunderland 3-0 at this ground in the sides’ most recent meeting here. Sunderland have been modest by comparison, with two goals scored and two conceded in their two outings, the profile of a cautious promoted team on the road. That combination, Brentford’s control and tight back line against Sunderland’s low output, points towards a measured home win that stays on the lower side of the goals line.
Igor Thiago to score anytime and Noah Sadiki to be booked6/1Thiago is the standout leg. He leads the Brentford line and takes their penalties, and across the sample he has racked up 22 goals from 91 shots and 14.37 expected goals, finishing above his xG, exactly the striker to back at home against a newly promoted defence. Sadiki supplies the disciplinary angle: a combative Sunderland defensive midfielder with a heavy booking record, 19 yellow cards across his recent football, and the kind of tackle-and-cover role that draws cautions, here against Brentford’s aggressive, direct attack.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Brentford go into the game

Brentford drew 1-1 at Leeds last time out, a fair point on the road. The Gtech is a tough venue where they must build their season.

The Bees are well-organised and dangerous at home. Three points against Sunderland is the aim.

How Sunderland go into the game

Sunderland won 1-0 against Fulham last time out, a fine result on their top-flight return. Confidence will be high.

Newly promoted, Sunderland are spirited and organised, but away days at established sides are tough. Backing up that win is the challenge.

Brentford vs Sunderland: 2025-26 by the numbers

Brentford vs Sunderland head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
07/01/26Brentford3-0Sunderland
30/08/25Sunderland2-1Brentford
17/02/18Sunderland0-2Brentford
21/10/17Brentford3-3Sunderland

Brentford have won two of the last four meetings, including a 3-0 home win in January 2026.

Brentford vs Sunderland stats to look out for

Brentford have taken 48 shots in two games, comfortably the most in the division, and worked 79 touches into the opposition box.

2026/27, opening two league gamesBrentfordSunderland
Goals scored42
Expected goals (xG)5.581.93
Shots4823
Shot accuracy34.6%40.0%
Chances created3518
Touches in the opposition box7937
Big chances missed55

For all that volume they have four goals from 5.58 xG, so they are running behind where the chances say they should be. Five big chances missed is part of it.

Sunderland have created half as much, with 23 shots and 1.93 xG, and have two goals. If the Bees start converting at their expected rate this could get away from the visitors.

Brentford vs Sunderland predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Brentford to win4/7⭐⭐⭐Home edge, quality gap.
Under 2.5 goals1/1⭐⭐Tight game expected at the Gtech.
Brentford or draw (Double Chance)2/15⭐⭐⭐Cover on the hosts.
Both teams to score – No10/11⭐⭐Sunderland could struggle.
Brentford to win 2-015/2⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Brentford vs Sunderland score prediction

Sunderland arrive in confidence, but Brentford’s home form should tell. Expect the Bees to edge it. Score prediction: Brentford 2-0 Sunderland.

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