Spain host England at the Estadio Metropolitano on Sunday 15 November, a 7.45pm kick-off (UK time) in the Nations League, with the world champions out to sign off their group with a perfect record against a Three Lions side they have already beaten once this autumn.
Spain have won all five of their Group A3 games and sit top on 15 points, three clear of a second-placed England who are themselves assured of a quarter-final spot. With both sides already through, Sunday is a battle for top spot and seeding, and a chance for England to avenge September’s 3-2 defeat at Wembley. We have worked through the Spain vs England odds for our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson expects another open, high-quality contest between the group’s top two, with Spain’s firepower and home advantage just edging a game in which England carry enough to find the net.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 21/20 (bet365) | The reverse fixture at Wembley produced five goals in a 3-2 Spain win, and these are comfortably the two strongest attacks in the group. Spain have scored in every one of their five games on the way to a maximum haul, while England have been prolific themselves, racking up goals for fun with Harry Kane in red-hot form. With both sides set up to attack and nothing riding on a cagey approach, over 2.5 goals at 21/20 looks a sound way into a game that should be stocked with chances. |
| Spain 2-1 England | 15/2 (bet365) | Spain have been near-flawless, winning all five group games and stretching a remarkable unbeaten run, and at home in Madrid they will fancy themselves to see off an England side chasing a response. Thomas Tuchel’s men carry a real threat through Kane and Jude Bellingham, though, and should get on the scoresheet, so a narrow home win with a goal in it for the visitors makes plenty of sense. At 15/2, Spain 2-1 is a tempting correct-score angle on the night. |
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How Spain go into the game
Spain go into the final round top of Group A3 with a maximum 15 points from five games, already assured of first or second place and a Nations League quarter-final. Luis de la Fuente‘s world champions have been relentless, winning every group game to extend one of the longest unbeaten runs international football has seen, and they beat England 3-2 at Wembley back in September.
Form could hardly be better. They came through in Prague on Thursday to maintain their perfect record, having earlier swept past Croatia and the Czech Republic home and away. Lamine Yamal is named in the squad again, with Mikel Merino and Mikel Oyarzabal among the goals during a flawless campaign. With top spot in their own hands, de la Fuente’s side will want to finish the job in front of their own supporters.
How England go into the game
England arrive second in Group A3 on 12 points and already certain of a top-two finish and a place in the knockout rounds. Thomas Tuchel‘s side have won four of their five group games, the only blemish that 3-2 defeat at home to Spain, and they have been devastating going forward, including a 7-0 rout of Croatia in Rijeka.
They go into this one in buoyant mood after seeing off Croatia again on Thursday. Harry Kane has been scoring freely and moved past Peter Shilton’s England appearance record during this window, with Jude Bellingham, Bukayo Saka, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers all contributing to a rampant autumn. With qualification secured, Tuchel may freshen things up, but England will relish the chance to put one over the world champions on their own patch.
Spain vs England head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 | England | 2-3 | Spain |
| 14/07/24 | Spain | 2-1 | England |
| 15/10/18 | Spain | 2-3 | England |
| 08/09/18 | England | 1-2 | Spain |
These two have met in some huge games of late, and the honours are close. Spain won the most recent meeting 3-2 at Wembley in September, having also edged the Euro 2024 final 2-1 in Berlin. England can point to their own 3-2 win in Seville in the 2018 Nations League, though, so there is little between them on recent evidence.
Spain vs England predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain to win | 4/6 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Spain have won all five group games and already beat England at Wembley, and now have home advantage in Madrid. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 8/13 (Betway) | ⭐⭐ | The reverse fixture finished 3-2 and both sides carry plenty of threat, with England prolific going forward. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21/20 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The group’s two best attacks served up five goals at Wembley and neither side has reason to sit back here. |
| Spain 2-1 England | 15/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | A narrow home win with a Kane-inspired England consolation fits the pattern of a tight, high-class tie. |
Spain vs England score prediction
There is little to separate these two, but Spain’s perfect record, relentless attack and home advantage tip the balance their way. Luis de la Fuente’s world champions have scored in every group game and already have England’s number from September’s Wembley win, while Tuchel’s side, for all their firepower through Kane and Bellingham, may find this a step too far on the road. We expect Spain to edge a high-quality contest with England grabbing a goal of their own. Score prediction: Spain 2-1 England.
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