France host Turkey at the Stade Bordeaux-Atlantique on Sunday 15 November, a 7.45pm kick-off (UK time) in the Nations League, and Zinedine Zidane‘s side know a win would book their place in the quarter-finals after a chastening defeat in Milan.
Les Bleus slipped to a first defeat under Zidane at Italy on Thursday, going down 3-1 at the San Siro to sit second in Group A1, level on points with the leaders but behind on head-to-head. Turkey, by contrast, arrive rock bottom and already relegated to League B after a fifth straight loss. We have worked through the France vs Turkey odds for our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson expects France to prove too strong for a Turkey side with nothing but pride to play for, though the visitors should carry enough through Arda Guler to grab a goal in Bordeaux.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Olise to score anytime | 6/5 (bet365) | Michael Olise opened the scoring at the San Siro on Thursday and has been France’s standout performer this window from the Bayern Munich forward line. Even with captain Kylian Mbappe back to lead the attack, Olise is in the kind of form that should find joy against the group’s leakiest defence, and he has the pace and the eye for goal to punish a Turkey side already relegated and short on confidence at the back. At 6/5 with bet365, Michael Olise to score anytime is our headline pick in Bordeaux. |
| France 2-1 Turkey | 10/1 (Sky Bet) | France edged the reverse 1-0, but a repeat clean sheet is far from certain here. Turkey have scored in each of their last two games, with Arda Guler on a hot streak after his free-kick against Belgium, so we expect the hosts to win with a goal in it for the visitors. France have more than enough firepower to come out on top at home, but with the game as good as a dead rubber for Turkey, their forwards may well find a way through at least once. At 10/1 with Sky Bet, France 2-1 is a value correct-score angle on a controlled home win. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How France go into the game
France go into the final round second in Group A1 on 10 points, level with leaders Italy but behind them on head-to-head, after a 3-1 defeat at the San Siro on Thursday handed Zinedine Zidane his first loss as Les Bleus manager. Michael Olise did find the net in Milan, and a win over Turkey here would guarantee France a Nations League quarter-final place, with top spot back on if Italy slip at Belgium.
Captain Kylian Mbappe is back to lead the attack after shaking off the knee problem he picked up in September, and Zidane can also call on the recalled Marcus Thuram and Aurelien Tchouameni, with Ousmane Dembele and the injured Pierre Kalulu the notable absentees. Alongside Olise, Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola and Rayan Cherki, France carry plenty of firepower, and they edged the reverse 1-0 in Kocaeli in September through a Mbappe strike.
How Turkey go into the game
Turkey arrive bottom of Group A1 without a point, their relegation to League B already confirmed after a fifth straight defeat. Sergen Yalcin, appointed in October following Vincenzo Montella‘s sacking, saw his first game in charge end in a 2-1 home loss to Belgium on Thursday, and only pride is left to play for in Bordeaux.
There is still danger in the side, with Arda Guler in superb form after a stunning free-kick against Belgium earned him man-of-the-match plaudits, and Baris Yilmaz another to watch. Turkey have struggled badly at the back throughout the group, however, and tightening up against a France attack playing at home will be a tall order for Yalcin’s rebuild.
France vs Turkey head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/26 | Turkey | 0-1 | France |
| 14/10/19 | France | 1-1 | Turkey |
| 08/06/19 | Turkey | 2-0 | France |
| 05/06/09 | France | 1-0 | Turkey |
| 26/06/03 | France | 3-2 | Turkey |
France hold a commanding edge in this fixture, winning five of the seven meetings between the sides, and they edged the reverse 1-0 in Kocaeli in September through a Kylian Mbappe strike. Turkey’s lone victory came in a Euro 2020 qualifier in Konya in 2019, and France have scored freely across the rivalry. The recent record points firmly the hosts’ way.
France vs Turkey predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| France to win | 1/4 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | France won the reverse 1-0 and have taken five of the seven meetings between the sides. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 5/6 (Paddy Power) | ⭐⭐ | Turkey have found the net against both Italy and Belgium in this window, with Arda Guler in fine form. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Turkey’s last two games both produced at least three goals, and France should add to that at home. |
| France 2-1 Turkey | 10/1 (Sky Bet) | ⭐⭐ | With several first-choice attackers missing, a controlled France win rather than a rout looks likeliest. |
France vs Turkey score prediction
Les Bleus were well below their best in Milan but remain a class above Turkey, and with a quarter-final place on the line Zidane’s men should respond at home. France carry too much for the group’s bottom side, though Turkey have scored in each of their last two outings and Arda Guler is in the mood, so we expect the hosts to win with a visitors’ goal in it. Score prediction: France 2-1 Turkey.
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