Dallas Cowboys Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Cowboys game this season, plus NFC East standings and Super Bowl odds.
Cowboys 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys Super Bowl oddsFull odds | 0.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | -2.2 | Fair |
| Cowboys NFC Championship oddsFull odds | 0.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | -4.5 | Lay |
| Cowboys NFC East odds | 14.8% | Signal read | |||
Moneyline
Against the spread
Signal read
Strong laySquawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.
NFC East standings and division odds
Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win NFC East | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 New York Giants | 4-2 | 46.1% | 49.1% |
 Philadelphia Eagles | 2-4 | 37.6% | 40.0% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 2-4 | 14.8% | 16.8% |
 Washington Commanders | 1-5 | 1.6% | 1.9% |
Dallas Cowboys schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.
Baltimore Ravens Neutral siteSun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET33%win prob+4.8proj lineL 31–34FinalRead preview
Cowboys injury report
Out long-term
| Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Devin Moore | CB | IR |
| Jonathan Bullard | DT | IR |
| Kelvin Gilliam | DT | IR |
| Matt Hennessy | OL | IR |
| Marist Liufau | OLB | IR |
| Malik Davis | RB | IR |
| Jalen Thompson | SAF | IR |
| P.J. Locke | SAF | IR |
| DJ Rogers | TE | IR |
| Princeton Fant | TE | IR |
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79 players · tap to open
Offense 37
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sam Howell | QB | 5 | North Carolina |
| 4 | Dak Prescott | QB | 11 | Mississippi State |
| 10 | Kyle Trask | QB | 5 | Florida |
| 25 | Israel Abanikanda | RB | 3 | Pittsburgh |
| 20 | Malik Davis | RB | 3 | Florida |
| 31 | Emari Demercado | RB | 4 | TCU |
| 32 | Tyler Goodson | RB | 4 | Iowa |
| 33 | Javonte Williams | RB | 6 | North Carolina |
| 30 | Hunter Luepke | FB | 4 | North Dakota State |
| 80 | Camden Brown | WR | Georgia Southern | |
| 19 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | 3 | Southeast Missouri State |
| 81 | Jordan Hudson | WR | SMU | |
| 88 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | 7 | Oklahoma |
| 18 | Jonathan Mingo | WR | 4 | Ole Miss |
| 3 | George Pickens | WR | 5 | Georgia |
| 83 | Anthony Smith | WR | East Carolina | |
| 9 | KaVontae Turpin | WR | 5 | TCU |
| 85 | Princeton Fant | TE | 2 | Tennessee |
| 87 | Jake Ferguson | TE | 5 | Wisconsin |
| 84 | James Mitchell | TE | 4 | Virginia Tech |
| 49 | DJ Rogers | TE | TCU | |
| 86 | Luke Schoonmaker | TE | 4 | Michigan |
| 89 | Brevyn Spann-Ford | TE | 3 | Minnesota |
| 46 | Michael Trigg | TE | Baylor | |
| 56 | Cooper Beebe | C | 3 | Kansas State |
| 66 | T.J. Bass | G | 4 | Oregon |
| 52 | Tyler Booker | G | 2 | Alabama |
| 73 | Tyler Smith | G | 5 | Tulsa |
| 64 | Wanya Morris | OT | 4 | Oklahoma |
| 67 | Drew Shelton | OT | Penn State | |
| 65 | Ajani Cornelius | T | 2 | Oregon |
| 60 | Tyler Guyton | T | 3 | Oklahoma |
| 79 | Marcellus Johnson | T | 1 | Missouri |
| 77 | Broderick Jones | T | 4 | Georgia |
| 78 | Terence Steele | T | 7 | Texas Tech |
| 72 | Matt Hennessy | OL | 7 | Temple |
| 51 | Nick Leverett | OL | 5 | Rice |
Defense 39
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | Jonathan Bullard | DT | 11 | Florida |
| 97 | Kenny Clark | DT | 11 | UCLA |
| 95 | Tommy Dunn | DT | Kansas | |
| 93 | Elijah Garcia | DT | 4 | Rice |
| 94 | Kelvin Gilliam | DT | Virginia Tech | |
| 96 | Adedayo Odeleye | DT | 1 | |
| 91 | Otito Ogbonnia | DT | 5 | UCLA |
| 99 | LT Overton | DT | Alabama | |
| 92 | Quinnen Williams | DT | 8 | Alabama |
| 55 | Jaishawn Barham | LB | Michigan | |
| 45 | Justin Barron | LB | 1 | Syracuse |
| 50 | Shemar James | LB | 2 | Florida |
| 0 | DeMarvion Overshown | LB | 4 | Texas |
| 42 | Curtis Robinson | LB | 5 | Stanford |
| 53 | Dee Winters | LB | 4 | TCU |
| 6 | Donovan Ezeiruaku | OLB | 2 | Boston College |
| 7 | Rashan Gary | OLB | 8 | Michigan |
| 41 | James Houston | OLB | 5 | Jackson State |
| 58 | Isaiah Land | OLB | 3 | Florida A&M |
| 57 | Malachi Lawrence | OLB | UCF | |
| 35 | Marist Liufau | OLB | 3 | Notre Dame |
| 40 | Von Miller | OLB | 16 | Texas A&M |
| 59 | Tyrus Wheat | OLB | 4 | Mississippi State |
| 26 | DaRon Bland | CB | 5 | Fresno State |
| 2 | Cobie Durant | CB | 5 | South Carolina State |
| 39 | Tyrek Funderburk | CB | 2 | Appalachian State |
| 25 | Joey Porter Jr. | CB | 4 | Penn State |
| 28 | Shavon Revel Jr. | CB | 2 | East Carolina |
| 15 | Derion Kendrick | CB | 5 | Georgia |
| 29 | Devin Moore | CB | Florida | |
| 23 | Ameer Speed | CB | 3 | Michigan State |
| 27 | Reddy Steward | CB | 2 | Troy |
| 14 | Markquese Bell | SAF | 5 | Florida A&M |
| 11 | Alijah Clark | SAF | 2 | Syracuse |
| 24 | Malik Hooker | SAF | 10 | Ohio State |
| 1 | P.J. Locke | SAF | 7 | Texas |
| 43 | Juanyeh Thomas | SAF | 4 | Georgia Tech |
| 34 | Jalen Thompson | SAF | 8 | Washington State |
| 13 | Caleb Downs | DB | Ohio State |
Special teams 3
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Brandon Aubrey | K | 4 | Notre Dame |
| 5 | Bryan Anger | P | 15 | California |
| 44 | Trent Sieg | LS | 9 | Colorado State |
Dallas Cowboys FAQ
What are the Cowboys’ Super Bowl odds?
Squawka Signal gives the Cowboys a 0.1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 2.4%, so the model reads them as fair. See the full Super Bowl odds.
Can the Cowboys win the NFC East?
The model makes them 14.8% to win the NFC East. The New York Giants are favoured at 46.1%.
Will the Cowboys make the playoffs?
Signal has them at 16.8% to reach the postseason, and 0.0% to take the No.1 seed in the NFC.
Who do the Cowboys play next?
Week 7, away at Philadelphia Eagles on Mon Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET. Signal makes the Cowboys 37% with a projected line of DAL +3.5. Read our full preview.
Who is the Cowboys’ starting quarterback?
Dak Prescott. That is the projected starter our model rates the Cowboys on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.
What record are the Cowboys projected to finish with?
Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 8-9 (7.7 wins).
When is the Cowboys’ bye week?
Week 14 of the 2026 season.
What is the Cowboys’ power ranking?
Signal ranks them #19 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.
Where do the Cowboys play?
Dallas Cowboys play their home games at AT&T Stadium.