Our Ravens vs Cowboys prediction comes from Rio de Janeiro, where the NFL plays at the Maracana for the first time. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Dallas Cowboys are the designated home team but are 4,700 miles from Arlington. They convert 68.2% of their third downs and concede 68.0%, which is the most Dallas set of numbers imaginable. The Baltimore Ravens run for 5.3 a carry and have five rushing touchdowns in two games.
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys
Baltimore RavensSquawka61%Market60%▬ Fair
Dallas CowboysSquawka39%Market40%▬ FairSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Ravens vs Cowboys: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT Our props
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Ravens vs Cowboys: 2026 form so far
Two 1-1 sides who score freely and defend loosely, meeting on neutral ground. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has actually allowed.
Ravens attack against the Cowboys defense
| Per game | Ravens offense | Cowboys allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 254.0 | 218.0 |
| Rushing yards | 155.0 | 173.5 |
| Yards per carry | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Passer rating | 104.7 | 116.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.9% | 68.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 71.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.5 | 1.0 |
Cowboys attack against the Ravens defense
| Per game | Cowboys offense | Ravens allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 220.5 | 191.0 |
| Rushing yards | 67.5 | 83.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 117.1 | 91.7 |
| Touchdowns | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 68.2% | 44.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 85.7% | 80.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.0 | 2.5 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Dallas are converting 68.2% on third down and allowing 68.0%, which is not a typing error. Baltimore’s ground game, at 5.3 a carry, is the most reliable thing in the fixture.
Ravens vs Cowboys injury report and team news
This game is at the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro, not in Arlington. Dallas are the designated home team on a neutral field.
The league has acknowledged concerns about the Maracana playing surface and said a plan is in place to ensure a high-quality surface for kickoff.
Baltimore lost 24-17 at home to New Orleans after opening with a 41-23 win over Indianapolis.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Baltimore RavensDallas CowboysWhere Ravens vs Cowboys is decided
Baltimore’s running game against the Dallas front is the game. The Ravens average 5.3 a carry with five rushing touchdowns; the Cowboys have conceded 347 rushing yards at 5.0 and have two sacks all season.
Dallas answer with the most efficient passing offense either team has faced. Six touchdown passes, a 117.1 rating and 85.7% in the red zone.
Consequently the surface matters more than usual. A newly laid pitch at a stadium hosting its first NFL game tends to favor the side less dependent on sharp footing, which here is Baltimore.
Players to watch
- Derrick Henry (BAL, RB): Part of a ground game averaging 5.3 a carry with five rushing scores.
- Lamar Jackson (BAL, QB): 508 passing yards and a 104.7 rating across two games.
- Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): Six touchdown passes in two games at a 117.1 rating.
- CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): Dallas’ primary target in an offense converting 85.7% in the red zone.
How to watch Ravens vs Cowboys
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 27 from the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. CBS has the broadcast, with Paramount+ streaming it.
| Detail | Ravens vs Cowboys |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
| TV | CBS/Paramount+ |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 3, 2026 NFL season |
Ravens vs Cowboys prediction and score projection
Our Ravens vs Cowboys prediction is a Baltimore win, 30-24. The Ravens can run at a defense that has stopped nobody, and neutral ground removes what little home advantage Dallas would have had.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.
Ravens vs Cowboys FAQ
Baltimore, narrowly. Both are 1-1, but the Ravens run for 5.3 a carry and Dallas have conceded 5.0.
At the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Dallas are the designated home team but the game is on neutral ground, not at AT&T Stadium.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, live from Rio de Janeiro.
Baltimore lost 24-17 at home to New Orleans. Dallas beat Washington 37-20.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change