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    Atlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons Odds & Predictions

    NFCNFC SouthElo 1493.9 · #22 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Falcons game this season, plus NFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Falcons 2026 outlook

    36.8%Make playoffs
    30.8%Win NFC South
    1.2%No.1 seed
    1.5%Win NFC
    0.4%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Falcons Super Bowl odds0.4%0.5%0.4%-0.1Fair
    Falcons NFC Championship odds1.5%1.5%0.9%+0.1Fair
    Falcons NFC South odds30.8%Model read
    Next game · Week 1PITat Pittsburgh SteelersSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka37% (+170)
    Market37% (+170)
    Gap+0.3 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedATL +3.5
    MarketATL +3.5
    Total42.0

    Signal read

    Fair
    Spread 
    No edge
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    NFC South standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin NFC SouthPlayoffs
    TBTampa Bay Buccaneers–31.9%38.6%
    ATLAtlanta Falcons–30.8%36.8%
    NONew Orleans Saints–28.0%34.5%
    CARCarolina Panthers–9.3%11.8%
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    Atlanta Falcons schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1@PITPittsburgh SteelersSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET37%win prob+3.5proj line+3.5market lineRead preview
    WK 2vsCARCarolina PanthersSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET60%win prob-2.7proj line-117market price
    WK 3@GBGreen Bay PackersThu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET36%win prob+3.8proj line–market
    WK 4@NONew Orleans SaintsMon Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET50%win prob+0.1proj line–market
    WK 5vsBALBaltimore RavensSun Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET45%win prob+1.4proj line–market
    WK 6vsCHIChicago BearsSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET47%win prob+0.8proj line–market
    WK 7vsSFSan Francisco 49ersSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET43%win prob+1.8proj line–market
    WK 8@TBTampa Bay BuccaneersSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET44%win prob+1.6proj line–market
    WK 9vsCINCincinnati Bengals Neutral siteSun Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET49%win prob+0.4proj line–market
    WK 10vsKCKansas City ChiefsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line–market
    WK 11Bye week
    WK 12@MINMinnesota VikingsSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET33%win prob+4.5proj line–market
    WK 13vsDETDetroit LionsSun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET43%win prob+2.0proj line–market
    WK 14@CLECleveland BrownsSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET52%win prob-0.4proj line–market
    WK 15@WASWashington CommandersSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET47%win prob+0.7proj line–market
    WK 16vsTBTampa Bay Buccaneers FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET54%win prob-1.0proj line–market
    WK 17vsNONew Orleans SaintsSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET60%win prob-2.6proj line–market
    WK 18@CARCarolina Panthers FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET50%win prob-0.1proj line-117market price

    Falcons injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Falcons coverage

    Falcons vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · Today

    Atlanta Falcons roster

    80 players · tap to open

    Offense 38

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    9Michael Penix Jr.QB3Washington
    13Cooper RushQB9Central Michigan
    18Jack StrandQBMinnesota State Moorhead
    1Tua TagovailoaQB7Alabama
    Tyler GoodsonRB4Iowa
    Cash JonesRBGeorgia
    7Bijan RobinsonRB4Texas
    15Brian RobinsonRB5Alabama
    44Trey SermonRB5Ohio State
    19Chris BlairWR2Alcorn State
    17Zachariah BranchWRGeorgia
    Beaux CollinsWR2Notre Dame
    4Jahan DotsonWR5Penn State
    Dylan DrummondWR2Eastern Michigan
    Vinny Anthony IIWRWisconsin
    Juice Wells Jr.WR1Ole Miss
    5Drake LondonWR5USC
    14Olamide ZaccheausWR8Virginia
    81Austin HooperTE11Stanford
    Nick MuseTE3South Carolina
    8Kyle Pitts Sr.TE5Florida
    Jack VellingTEMichigan State
    89Charlie WoernerTE7Georgia
    James BrockermeyerCMiami (FL)
    63Chris LindstromG8Boston College
    Kam DewberryOGAlabama
    Riley MahlmanOTWisconsin
    75Ethan OnianwaOTOhio State
    73Cameron WilliamsOT2Texas
    70Jake MatthewsT13Texas A&M
    71Jawaan TaylorT8Florida
    65Matthew BergeronOL4Syracuse
    68Kyle HintonOL4Washburn
    72Michael JerrellOL3Findlay
    62Corey LevinOL8Chattanooga
    64Ryan NeuzilOL5Appalachian State
    77Storm NortonOL7Toledo
    Josh ThompsonOLLSU

    Defense 39

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    Keshawn BanksDE1San Diego State
    52Samson EbukamDE10Eastern Washington
    27James Pearce Jr.DE2Tennessee
    55Za'Darius SmithDE11Kentucky
    99Cameron ThomasDE5San Diego State
    Bralen TriceDE3Washington
    54Brandon DorlusDT3Oregon
    90Da'Shawn HandDT9Alabama
    Carlos Allen Jr.DTHouston
    94LaCale LondonDT3Western Illinois
    92Maason SmithDT3LSU
    98Anterio ThompsonDTWashington
    Zach HarrisonDL4Ohio State
    Gervon Dexter Sr.DL4Florida
    22Yasir AbdullahLB4Louisville
    40JD BertrandLB3Notre Dame
    53Kendal DanielsLBOklahoma
    0Divine DeabloLB6Virginia Tech
    45Christian HarrisLB5Alabama
    51Jared IveyLB2Ole Miss
    56Harold Perkins Jr.LBLSU
    43Malik VerdonLB1Iowa State
    42Josh WoodsLB7Maryland
    50DeAngelo MaloneOLB5Western Kentucky
    11Jalon WalkerOLB2Georgia
    41Darren HallCB5San Diego State
    26C.J. HendersonCB6Florida
    Darnay HolmesCB7UCLA
    21Mike HughesCB9UCF
    36Malcolm DeWalt IVCBAkron
    24A.J. Terrell Jr.CB7Clemson
    33Billy Bowman Jr.CB2Oklahoma
    28Mike Ford Jr.CB9Southeast Missouri State
    12Avieon TerrellCBClemson
    29Sydney BrownSAF4Illinois
    23DeMarcco HellamsSAF4Alabama
    3Jessie Bates IIISAF9Wake Forest
    Jammie RobinsonSAF4Florida State
    31Xavier WattsSAF2Notre Dame

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    6Nick FolkK19Arizona
    16Jake BaileyP8Stanford
    49Liam McCulloughLS5Ohio State