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Squawka / Outright markets / Chelsea odds to win the Premier League: Outright odds and predictions

Chelsea odds to win the Premier League: Outright odds and predictions

Chelsea seek a major reset in the 2026/27 Premier League season under the promising stewardship of new manager Xabi Alonso.

Below you’ll find a host of outright odds ahead of the new campaign, from the Blues’ title chances to their most likely candidate to win this season’s Golden Boot.

Chelsea odds to win the 2026/27 Premier League: Outright odds and predictions

It’s been 10 years since Chelsea last lifted the Premier League trophy under Antonio Conte.

The Blues have had quite a few turbulent seasons since then, especially under their current ownership, Clearlake Capital, co-owner Behdad Eghbali, and chairman Todd Boehly.

Having finished 10th last season while working through three different figures in the dugout, the lack of European football this term may benefit the Blues massively.

They sit out at 8/1 to win the 2026/27 Premier League, fifth in the betting behind Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool, and Man Utd.

TeamBOYLE Sports oddsImplied probability
Arsenal6/440%
Man City11/426.7%
Liverpool11/416.7%
Man Utd6/114.3%
Chelsea8/111.1%
Tottenham20/14.8%

Chelsea odds to finish in the 2026/27 Premier League top four: Outright odds and predictions

Finishing in the top four would guarantee Chelsea a place in the Champions League next term.

The pressure is on to deliver progress after racking up a £240million bill on transfers this summer, leaving them as the league’s biggest spenders.

At the time of writing, Chelsea are a shade under evens to finish inside the top four at 10/11. That could be seen as a superb price come the end of the season given the pedigree of new boss Xabi Alonso.

TeamBOYLE Sports oddsImplied probability
Arsenal1/888.9%
Man City2/777.8%
Liverpool4/969.2%
Man Utd4/763.6%
Chelsea10/1152.4%
Tottenham3/125%

Chelsea odds to finish in the 2026/27 Premier League top six: Outright odds and predictions

Chelsea have finished outside of the top six three times in the 21st century: 10th in 2015/16, 12th in 2022/23 and 10th again last term.

Finishing in the top six confirms European football for Chelsea, and must be the absolute minimum remit within this season’s objectives.

The Blues are expected to finish somewhere within those six places, with an implied probability of 75%.

TeamBOYLE Sports oddsImplied probability
Arsenal1/2095.2%
Man City1/787.5%
Liverpool1/583.3%
Man Utd1/480%
Chelsea1/375%
Tottenham11/1047.6%

Chelsea Golden Boot odds: Outright odds and predictions

It’s been 16 years since a Chelsea player last won the Golden Boot, when Didier Drogba took the crown in 2009/10 with 29 goals.

Cole Palmer has been their top scorer in two of the three last seasons, with Joao Pedro snatching that honour last campaign after netting 15.

That being said, any contender’s numbers will have to improve to pip odds-on market frontrunner Erling Haaland to the prize. The Man City forward scored 12 more goals than Joao Pedro across the 2025/26 Premier League season.

PlayerBOYLE Sports oddsImplied probability
Erling Haaland4/660%
Alexander Isak9/110%
Igor Thiago10/19.1%
Ollie Watkins14/16.7%
Joao Pedro16/15.9%

Chelsea PFA Player of the Year odds: Outright odds and predictions

Cole Palmer most recently made it into the top-six shortlist for the 2024/25 PFA Player of the Year award. He stood a good chance of winning it, but lost out to former Man City teammate Phil Foden on that occasion.

N’Golo Kante was the last Chelsea player to win the PFA Player of the Year, doing so in 2016/17.

No Chelsea player is present in the 2026 edition shortlist, which is dominated by individuals from Arsenal and Man City. The winner will be announced on 25th August.

Chelsea Golden Glove odds: Outright odds and predictions

Goalkeeper remains an unsettled position for Chelsea as it has been for a number of seasons now.

Currently, Robert Sanchez is Alonso’s No.1, although a late addition in this department cannot be ruled out before the transfer window closes.

Thibaut Courtois was the most recent Chelsea goalkeeper to claim the Golden Glove during the 2016/17 campaign having recorded 16 clean sheets in their title-winning season.

PlayerBOYLE Sports oddsImplied probability
David Raya11/1047.6%
Gianluigi Donnarumma2/133.3%
Alisson7/222.2%
Senne Lammens12/17.7%
Robert Sanchez14/16.7%
Emiliano Martinez16/15.9%

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