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Liverpool vs Chelsea predictions for tonight’s 8pm (UK time) kick-off at Anfield back over 3.5 goals at 11/10, with our score prediction Liverpool 3-1 Chelsea. It is the standout tie of the EFL Cup last 16.
A repeat of the 2024 final, this is the tie of the round alongside the Etihad clash. Liverpool have been a different animal home and away this season, while Chelsea blow hot and cold but score plenty.
With two attacking sides meeting, Anthony Eadson expects goals, and all of the prices on this tie are taken from William Hill.
Premium Tips
Two Premium Tips for Liverpool vs Chelsea, priced up with William Hill, as Anthony Eadson eyes an open, high-scoring Anfield tie.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11/10 (William Hill) | This has the makings of an open, goal-laden tie. Liverpool have been far from watertight at Anfield, where they have conceded five goals in four home league games, while Chelsea are among the division’s most unpredictable sides, scoring 17 but conceding 15 in eight games. Chelsea have been involved in a 5-1, a 3-0 and a 2-2 already this season, so goals follow them around. Both sides can be expected to attack, and with five of Chelsea’s 10 games in all competitions this season producing four or more goals, more than three goals at 11/10 looks a strong play. |
| Liverpool and both teams to score | 5/2 (William Hill) | Liverpool look the likeliest winners at Anfield, and backing that alongside both teams scoring offers value at 5/2. The hosts have real quality and beat Brighton 2-0 last time out, but their home defence has looked vulnerable, shipping five in four at Anfield, and Chelsea have the attacking talent to make their mark. Chelsea have scored 25 goals in all competitions this season, and five of Liverpool’s eight wins in all competitions have come with both teams scoring. With both sides likely to find the net and Liverpool fancied to edge it, this combination captures the shape of the tie nicely. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware: gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Liverpool go into the game
Liverpool go into this fourth in the Premier League on 15 points, with four wins, three draws and one defeat. They have kept four clean sheets, but curiously have been far better away, winning three and drawing one on the road while taking just five points at home.
The Reds come in off a 2-0 home win over Brighton, their only defeat in the last five a 3-0 home loss to Manchester City. That home loss, alongside a 0-0 draw with Fulham at Anfield, underlines a home record that has not matched their travels this season.
How Chelsea go into the game
Chelsea arrive fifth in the Premier League on 13 points, with four wins, one draw and three defeats from eight. They are box-office in both boxes, having scored 17 and conceded 15, and have kept just one league clean sheet all season.
The Blues are coming off a 2-0 home defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, but their last five also features a 5-1 win over Bournemouth and a 2-0 victory at Everton. A 3-0 loss at Brentford in that run shows how quickly things can swing for a side that is rarely involved in quiet games.
Liverpool vs Chelsea head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Chelsea |
| 04/10/25 | Chelsea | 2-1 | Liverpool |
| 04/05/25 | Chelsea | 3-1 | Liverpool |
| 20/10/24 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Chelsea |
| 25/02/24 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Liverpool |
These sides have served up some classics, and recent meetings have been close. Chelsea won both league meetings at Stamford Bridge in this run, 2-1 and 3-1, but Liverpool won 2-1 at Anfield in October 2024 and famously beat Chelsea 1-0 after extra time in the 2024 League Cup final. The most recent clash, at Anfield in May 2026, finished 1-1.
Liverpool vs Chelsea predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11/10 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Five of Chelsea’s 10 games and five of Liverpool’s 12 have had four or more goals. |
| Liverpool and both teams to score | 5/2 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Chelsea have scored in eight of their 10 games this season. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 2/5 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool have conceded five at home in four league games and Chelsea have netted 25 in all competitions this season. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Neither defence is convincing, and Chelsea’s games in particular have been full of goals. |
| Liverpool 3-1 Chelsea | 12/1 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐ | A high-scoring home win reflects both sides’ attacking quality and leaky recent defending. |
Liverpool vs Chelsea score prediction
This should be a fitting tie of the round, with both sides committed to attacking. Liverpool’s quality at Anfield should just about see them through, but Chelsea’s firepower means the Reds are unlikely to have it all their own way in a high-scoring contest. Score prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Chelsea.
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