Our Broncos vs 49ers prediction closes Channel 5’s free-to-air Sunday, and it is the most one-sided call of the round. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The San Francisco 49ers are 3-0 with a 133.1 passer rating and 13 touchdowns. The Denver Broncos have allowed 431 rushing yards at 5.1 a carry. Levi’s Stadium hosts the league’s most accomplished team against one that cannot stop the run.
Broncos vs 49ers: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Broncos vs 49ers: 2026 form so far
The most efficient offence in the league against a defence leaking on the ground. The table weighs each attack against the yardage the other side has been giving up.
Broncos attack against the 49ers defence
| Per game | Broncos offence | 49ers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 194.0 | 207.3 |
| Rushing yards | 81.0 | 105.7 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Passer rating | 80.3 | 89.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.1% | 42.9% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.7 | 2.0 |
49ers attack against the Broncos defence
| Per game | 49ers offence | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 263.0 | 237.0 |
| Rushing yards | 136.3 | 143.7 |
| Yards per carry | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Passer rating | 133.1 | 74.3 |
| Touchdowns | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 63.0% | 47.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 90.0% | 45.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 0.0 | 2.7 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
San Francisco convert 63% on third down and 90% in the red zone. No other team is above 58% or 89%, which is why this is the only 5/5 call this week.
Broncos vs 49ers quarterback matchup
Brock Purdy has nine touchdown passes to one interception. Bo Nix has four to three.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | Bo Nix | 17/34, 186 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 73.9 rtg | 56/93, 605 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT, 80.3 rtg (3 games) |
| 49ers | Brock Purdy | 15/27, 297 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 133.8 rtg | 60/83, 789 yds, 9 TD, 1 INT, 133.1 rtg (3 games) |
Broncos vs 49ers injury report and team news
San Francisco have not conceded a sack in three games, the only offensive line in the league with a clean sheet.
Jonathon Cooper is on the exempt list for Denver, a year after recording eight sacks.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Broncos vs 49ers is decided
No sacks conceded in three games. Purdy has been hit but never brought down, and from that pocket has thrown nine touchdowns to one interception.
The efficiency follows: 63% on third down and 90% in the red zone are both league highs, and the 49ers have scored 13 touchdowns while conceding five.
Denver are not poor. They are 2-1 and beat the Rams 30-26 with eight sacks and four interceptions of their own. But 431 rushing yards allowed at 5.1 a carry is the flaw San Francisco are built to punish.
Players to watch
- Bo Nix (DEN, QB): 186 yards and two touchdowns against the Rams.
- Courtland Sutton (DEN, WR): Three catches for 46 yards in Week 3.
- Brock Purdy (SF, QB): 297 yards and four touchdowns against Arizona.
- George Kittle (SF, TE): Six catches for 82 yards and two touchdowns in Week 3.
How to watch Broncos vs 49ers
Kickoff is 9.25pm BST on Sunday 4 October at Levi’s Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET. Channel 5 has it free to air from 9pm, and it also streams on Channel 5 Sport’s YouTube channel. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Broncos vs 49ers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.25pm BST / 4:25 PM ET, Sunday 4 October |
| Venue | Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA |
| TV | Channel 5 |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Broncos vs 49ers prediction and score projection
Our Broncos vs 49ers prediction is a San Francisco win, 31-17. The 49ers lead the league in third-down and red-zone conversion and have conceded no sacks.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | You are here |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Broncos vs 49ers FAQ
Yes. Channel 5 has it from 9pm ahead of a 9.25pm BST kickoff, and it also streams free on Channel 5 Sport’s YouTube channel. Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
9.25pm BST on Sunday 4 October at Levi’s Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET.
No. Channel 5 games are not affected by the blackout, which applies only to Sky’s two Sunday exclusive picks.
Not one in three games. They are the only team in the league yet to concede a sack this season.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change