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Squawka / NFL Teams / Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears Odds & Predictions

NFCNFC NorthPower rank #11 of 32
3-12026 record

Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Bears game this season, plus NFC North standings and Super Bowl odds.

Squawka SignalSignal read

Bears 2026 outlook

62.3%Make playoffs
9.8%Win NFC North
3.5%No.1 seed
7.0%Win NFC
3.2%Win Super Bowl
MarketSquawka
Bears Super Bowl oddsFull odds3.2%Signal read
Bears NFC Championship oddsFull odds7.0%Signal read
Bears NFC North odds9.8%Signal read
Next game · Week 5GBat Green Bay PackersSun Oct 11, 6:00 PM BST

Moneyline

Squawka55% (1.82)

Against the spread

ProjectedCHI -1.4

Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly.

NFC North standings and division odds

Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

TeamRecordWin NFC NorthPlayoffs
MINMinnesota Vikings4-081.0%97.5%
CHIChicago Bears3-19.8%62.3%
DETDetroit Lions2-27.7%46.6%
GBGreen Bay Packers2-21.5%17.4%
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Chicago Bears schedule, results and lines

Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line.

WK 1@CARCarolina PanthersSun Sep 13, 6:00 PM BST64%win prob-3.9proj lineW 59–37FinalRead preview
WK 2vsMINMinnesota VikingsSun Sep 20, 6:00 PM BST45%win prob+1.4proj lineL 3–9FinalRead preview
WK 3vsPHIPhiladelphia EaglesTue Sep 29, 1:15 AM BST58%win prob-2.2proj lineW 27–7FinalRead preview
WK 4vsNYJNew York JetsSun Oct 4, 6:00 PM BST82%win prob-10.0proj lineW 23–12FinalRead preview
WK 5@GBGreen Bay PackersSun Oct 11, 6:00 PM BST55%win prob-1.4proj line
WK 6@ATLAtlanta FalconsSun Oct 18, 6:00 PM BST58%win prob-2.2proj line
WK 7vsNENew England PatriotsFri Oct 23, 1:15 AM BST50%win prob-0.0proj line
WK 8@SEASeattle SeahawksTue Nov 3, 1:15 AM GMT36%win prob+3.7proj line
WK 9vsTBTampa Bay BuccaneersMon Nov 9, 1:20 AM GMT76%win prob-7.6proj line
WK 10Bye week
WK 11vsNONew Orleans SaintsSun Nov 22, 6:00 PM GMT76%win prob-7.6proj line
WK 12@DETDetroit LionsThu Nov 26, 6:00 PM GMT48%win prob+0.5proj line
WK 13vsJACJacksonville JaguarsSun Dec 6, 6:00 PM GMT46%win prob+1.0proj line
WK 14@MIAMiami DolphinsSun Dec 13, 6:00 PM GMT73%win prob-6.6proj line
WK 15@BUFBuffalo BillsSun Dec 20, 1:20 AM GMT31%win prob+5.3proj line
WK 16vsGBGreen Bay PackersFri Dec 25, 6:00 PM GMT65%win prob-4.0proj line
WK 17vsDETDetroit LionsSun Jan 3, 9:25 PM GMT58%win prob-2.2proj line
WK 18@MINMinnesota Vikings FlexSun Jan 10, 6:00 PM GMT35%win prob+4.1proj line

Bears injury report

No weekly designations filed yet for Week 5.

Out long-term

PlayerPosStatus
Coby BryantDBIR
Kyler GordonDBIR
Shemar TurnerDLIR
Nephi SewellLBIR
Noah SewellLBIR
Tony Fields IILBIR
Braxton JonesOLIR
Brittain BrownRBIR
Hayden LargeTEIR
Nikola KalinicTEIR

Chicago Bears roster

79 players · tap to open

Offense 37

#PlayerPosExpCollege
17Tyson BagentQB4Shepherd (WV)
11Case KeenumQB14Houston
Miller MossQBLouisville
18Caleb WilliamsQB3USC
36Salvon AhmedRB5Washington
38Brittain BrownRB3UCLA
23Roschon JohnsonRB4Texas
25Kyle MonangaiRB2Rutgers
30Zavier ScottRB2Maine
4D'Andre SwiftRB7Georgia
81Kaden DavisWR1Northwest Missouri State
10Luther Burden IIIWR2Missouri
Scotty MillerWR8Bowling Green
15Rome OdunzeWR3Washington
14Kalif RaymondWR10Holy Cross
83JP RichardsonWR1TCU
13Zavion ThomasWRLSU
9Jahdae WalkerWR2Texas A&M
88Stephen CarlsonTE4Princeton
Qadir IsmailTE1Samford
86Nikola KalinicTE2York (CAN)
85Cole KmetTE7Notre Dame
43Hayden LargeTEIowa
84Colston LovelandTE2Michigan
87Sam RoushTEStanford
62Joe ThuneyG11NC State
76Caden BarnettOLWyoming
79Theo BenedetOL2
67Garrett BradburyOL8NC State
73Jonah JacksonOL7Ohio State
70Braxton JonesOL5Southern Utah
72Christian JonesOL3Texas
54Logan JonesOLIowa
74Jordan McFaddenOL4Clemson
65Luke NewmanOL2Michigan State
75Ozzy TrapiloOL2Boston College
58Darnell WrightOL4Tennessee

Defense 38

#PlayerPosExpCollege
91Jayden LovingDTWake Forest
96Jordan van den BergDLGeorgia Tech
94Austin BookerDL3Kansas
90Neville GallimoreDL7Oklahoma
92Daniel HardyDL4Montana State
50Grady JarrettDL12Clemson
59Jamree KromahDL1James Madison
97James LynchDL7Baylor
55Dayo OdeyingboDL6Vanderbilt
93Kentavius StreetDL8NC State
98Montez SweatDL8Mississippi State
95Shemar TurnerDL2Texas A&M
12Devin BushLB8Michigan
53T.J. EdwardsLB8Wisconsin
49Keyshaun ElliottLBArizona State
43Tony Fields IILB6West Virginia
35Wayne Matthews IIILBMichigan State
48D'Marco JacksonLB5Appalachian State
47Buddy JohnsonLB5Texas A&M
57Jack SanbornLB5Wisconsin
46Nephi SewellLB3Utah
44Noah SewellLB4Oregon
37Elijah JonesCB4Boston College
26Nick McCloudCB6Notre Dame
27Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF3Iowa State
39Josh BlackwellDB5Duke
2Coby BryantDB5Cincinnati
6Kyler GordonDB5Washington
22Elijah HicksDB5California
24Malik Muhammad IIDBTexas
20Clark Phillips IIIDB4Utah
1Jaylon JohnsonDB7Utah
21Cam LewisDB7Buffalo
Keidron SmithDB2Kentucky
29Tyrique Stevenson Sr.DB4Miami (FL)
31Dillon ThienemanDBOregon
38Skyler ThomasDBOregon State
32Xavier WoodsDB10Louisiana Tech

Special teams 4

#PlayerPosExpCollege
8Cairo SantosK13Tulane
19Tory TaylorP3Iowa
46Scott DalyLS6Notre Dame
Beau GardnerLSGeorgia

Chicago Bears FAQ

What are the Bears’ Super Bowl odds?

Squawka Signal gives the Bears a 3.2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. See the full Super Bowl odds.

Can the Bears win the NFC North?

The model makes them 9.8% to win the NFC North. The Minnesota Vikings are favoured at 81.0%.

Will the Bears make the playoffs?

Signal has them at 62.3% to reach the postseason, and 3.5% to take the No.1 seed in the NFC.

Who do the Bears play next?

Week 5, away at Green Bay Packers on Sun Oct 11, 6:00 PM BST. Signal makes the Bears 55% with a projected line of CHI -1.4.

Who is the Bears’ starting quarterback?

Caleb Williams. That is the projected starter our model rates the Bears on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.

What record are the Bears projected to finish with?

Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 10-7 (9.6 wins).

When is the Bears’ bye week?

Week 10 of the 2026 season.

What is the Bears’ power ranking?

Signal ranks them #11 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.

Where do the Bears play?

Chicago Bears play their home games at Soldier Field.