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Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons Odds & Predictions

NFCNFC SouthPower rank #21 of 32
2-42026 record

Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Falcons game this season, plus NFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.

Squawka SignalSignal read

Falcons 2026 outlook

17.6%Make playoffs
16.0%Win NFC South
0.0%No.1 seed
0.4%Win NFC
0.1%Win Super Bowl
MarketSquawka
Falcons Super Bowl oddsFull odds0.1%Signal read
Falcons NFC Championship oddsFull odds0.4%Signal read
Falcons NFC South odds16.0%Signal read
Next game · Week 7SFvs San Francisco 49ersRead the previewSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET

Moneyline

Squawka27% (+270)

Against the spread

ProjectedATL +6.5
bet365

Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).

NFC South standings and division odds

Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

TeamRecordWin NFC SouthPlayoffs
CARCarolina Panthers3-258.9%60.7%
NONew Orleans Saints2-416.8%18.5%
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-416.0%17.6%
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-58.3%8.8%
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Atlanta Falcons schedule, results and lines

Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line.

WK 1@PITPittsburgh SteelersSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET29%win prob+5.8proj lineL 13–20FinalRead preview
WK 2vsCARCarolina PanthersSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj lineL 3–34FinalRead preview
WK 3@GBGreen Bay PackersThu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET30%win prob+5.6proj lineW 35–14FinalRead preview
WK 4@NONew Orleans SaintsMon Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET48%win prob+0.6proj lineW 45–24FinalRead preview
WK 5vsBALBaltimore RavensSun Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET35%win prob+4.0proj lineL 23–30FinalRead preview
WK 6vsCHIChicago BearsSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET39%win prob+3.0proj lineL 23–31FinalRead preview
WK 7vsSFSan Francisco 49ersSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET27%win prob+6.5proj lineRead preview
WK 8@TBTampa Bay BuccaneersSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET48%win prob+0.5proj line
WK 9vsCINCincinnati Bengals Neutral siteSun Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET34%win prob+4.4proj line
WK 10vsKCKansas City ChiefsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET31%win prob+5.1proj line
WK 11Bye week
WK 12@MINMinnesota VikingsSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET19%win prob+9.5proj line
WK 13vsDETDetroit LionsSun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET36%win prob+3.7proj line
WK 14@CLECleveland BrownsSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET52%win prob-0.6proj line
WK 15@WASWashington CommandersSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj line
WK 16vsTBTampa Bay Buccaneers FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET58%win prob-2.1proj line
WK 17vsNONew Orleans SaintsSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET58%win prob-2.0proj line
WK 18@CARCarolina Panthers FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET41%win prob+2.4proj line

Falcons injury report

No weekly designations filed yet for Week 7.

Out long-term

PlayerPosStatus
A.J. Terrell Jr.CBIR
Da'Shawn HandDTIR
JD BertrandLBIR
Yasir AbdullahLBIR
Jalon WalkerOLBIR
Cameron WilliamsOTIR
Trey SermonRBIR
Beaux CollinsWRIR
Storm NortonOLPUP
DeAngelo MaloneOLBPUP
James Pearce Jr.DESusp

Atlanta Falcons roster

81 players · tap to open

Offense 38

#PlayerPosExpCollege
13Andy DaltonQB16TCU
9Michael Penix Jr.QB3Washington
18Jack StrandQBMinnesota State Moorhead
1Tua TagovailoaQB7Alabama
25Khalil HerbertRB6Virginia Tech
15Brian Robinson Jr.RB5Alabama
38Jam MillerRBAlabama
7Bijan RobinsonRB4Texas
44Trey SermonRB5Ohio State
19Chris BlairWR2Alcorn State
17Zachariah BranchWRGeorgia
88Beaux CollinsWR2Notre Dame
4Jahan DotsonWR5Penn State
80Dylan DrummondWR2Eastern Michigan
86Vinny Anthony IIWRWisconsin
82Juice Wells Jr.WR1Ole Miss
5Drake LondonWR5USC
14Olamide ZaccheausWR8Virginia
81Austin HooperTE11Stanford
87Nick MuseTE3South Carolina
8Kyle Pitts Sr.TE5Florida
84Jack VellingTEMichigan State
89Charlie WoernerTE7Georgia
61Kam DewberryGAlabama
63Chris LindstromG8Boston College
76Riley MahlmanOTWisconsin
71Jawaan TaylorOT8Florida
73Cameron WilliamsOT2Texas
70Jake MatthewsT13Texas A&M
75Ethan OnianwaTOhio State
65Matthew BergeronOL4Syracuse
68Kyle HintonOL4Washburn
72Michael JerrellOL3Findlay
62Corey LevinOL8Chattanooga
64Ryan NeuzilOL5Appalachian State
77Storm NortonOL7Toledo
74Colby SorsdalOL4William & Mary
67Josh ThompsonOLLSU

Defense 40

#PlayerPosExpCollege
52Samson EbukamDE10Eastern Washington
91Drake JacksonDE4USC
27James Pearce Jr.DE2Tennessee
55Za'Darius SmithDE11Kentucky
99Cameron ThomasDE5San Diego State
90Da'Shawn HandDT9Alabama
94LaCale LondonDT3Western Illinois
93Zacch PickensDT3South Carolina
95Gervon Dexter Sr.DT4Florida
98Anterio ThompsonDTWashington
54Brandon DorlusDL3Oregon
96Zach HarrisonDL4Ohio State
92Maason SmithDL3LSU
22Yasir AbdullahLB4Louisville
40JD BertrandLB3Notre Dame
53Kendal DanielsLBOklahoma
0Divine DeabloLB6Virginia Tech
45Christian HarrisLB5Alabama
41Brian Asamoah IILB4Oklahoma
51Jared IveyLB2Ole Miss
56Harold Perkins Jr.LBLSU
43TJ QuinnLBLouisville
46Josh WoodsLB7Maryland
50DeAngelo MaloneOLB5Western Kentucky
Charles SnowdenOLB3Virginia
11Jalon WalkerOLB2Georgia
26C.J. HendersonCB6Florida
30Darnay HolmesCB7UCLA
21Mike HughesCB9UCF
36Malcolm DeWalt IVCBAkron
24A.J. Terrell Jr.CB7Clemson
33Billy Bowman Jr.CB2Oklahoma
28Mike Ford Jr.CB9Southeast Missouri State
37Robert LongerbeamCB2Rutgers
12Avieon TerrellCBClemson
23DeMarcco HellamsSAF4Alabama
3Jessie Bates IIISAF9Wake Forest
34Jammie RobinsonSAF4Florida State
31Xavier WattsSAF2Notre Dame
29Sydney BrownDB4Illinois

Special teams 3

#PlayerPosExpCollege
6Nick FolkK19Arizona
16Jake BaileyP8Stanford
49Liam McCulloughLS5Ohio State

Atlanta Falcons FAQ

What are the Falcons’ Super Bowl odds?

Squawka Signal gives the Falcons a 0.1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. See the full Super Bowl odds.

Can the Falcons win the NFC South?

The model makes them 16.0% to win the NFC South. The Carolina Panthers are favoured at 58.9%.

Will the Falcons make the playoffs?

Signal has them at 17.6% to reach the postseason, and 0.0% to take the No.1 seed in the NFC.

Who do the Falcons play next?

Week 7, at home to San Francisco 49ers on Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET. Signal makes the Falcons 27% with a projected line of ATL +6.5. Read our full preview.

Who is the Falcons’ starting quarterback?

Michael Penix Jr. That is the projected starter our model rates the Falcons on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.

What record are the Falcons projected to finish with?

Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 7-10 (6.9 wins).

When is the Falcons’ bye week?

Week 11 of the 2026 season.

What is the Falcons’ power ranking?

Signal ranks them #21 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.

Where do the Falcons play?

Atlanta Falcons play their home games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.