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Bengals vs Falcons Prediction, Picks & Odds

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, picks and odds for Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season

Cincinnati rates 111.6 through the air and converts 52.9% of its third downs. Both are the best figures in the NFL. Our Bengals vs Falcons prediction takes the league to Madrid.

The Atlanta Falcons are 3-5 and Michael Penix Jr. threw four interceptions last week at a 12.0 rating. The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-2 at +48.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET. Our Signal model makes the Cincinnati Bengals favourites by about 6 points, a 70% win probability (neutral site).

CINCincinnati BengalsWin prob70%
ATLAtlanta FalconsWin prob30%
Projected lineCincinnati Bengals -6

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.

Week 9 · Editorial pick

Bengals vs Falcons: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Bengals AT Falcons

Our props

Player propJoe Burrow 2+ passing touchdownsBurrow has 20 touchdown passes in seven games and threw five last week. Atlanta allows a 91.5 opponent rating.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propBijan Robinson 75+ rushing yardsAtlanta has 1,078 rushing yards at 4.61 a carry. Cincinnati gives up 4.84, the softest part of its defence.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Bengals vs Falcons: 2026 form so far

A morning kickoff from Spain, with the league’s most efficient passing attack involved. Each attack in the table is measured against the defence it meets, not against the league.

Bengals attack against the Falcons defence

Per gameBengals offenceFalcons allow
Passing yards288.4223.4
Rushing yards80.3118.2
Yards per carry3.74.3
Passer rating111.691.5
Touchdowns3.62.8
Third-down conversion52.9%41.1%
Red-zone conversion67.9%63.3%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.92.2

Falcons attack against the Bengals defence

Per gameFalcons offenceBengals allow
Passing yards188.4237.7
Rushing yards134.8122.3
Yards per carry4.64.8
Passer rating76.690.7
Touchdowns2.42.3
Third-down conversion33.3%47.3%
Red-zone conversion63.6%41.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.93.3

Cincinnati has 23 sacks and holds opponents to 41.7% in the red zone. Atlanta rates 76.6 through the air.

Bengals vs Falcons quarterback matchup

Joe Burrow has 20 touchdown passes to six interceptions at 111.6 and threw for 462 yards last week. Michael Penix Jr. has nine to five at 90.9.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
BengalsJoe Burrow38/48, 462 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 115.5 rtg195/267, 2115 yds, 20 TD, 6 INT, 111.6 rtg (7 games)
FalconsMichael Penix Jr.8/24, 125 yds, 0 TD, 4 INT, 12.0 rtg104/168, 1282 yds, 9 TD, 5 INT, 90.9 rtg (6 games)
Last game is Week 8. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Bengals vs Falcons injury report and team news

The game is at the Bernabéu in Madrid, with Atlanta the designated home team.

Cincinnati converts 52.9% of its third downs, the best rate in the NFL.

Michael Penix Jr. threw four interceptions last week at a 12.0 passer rating.

Injury report · Week 9Official game-status report — updates through the week
CINCincinnati Bengals
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Ja’Sir TaylorCBIR
Jalen DavisCBIR
Brian Parker IIGIR
Swayze BozemanLBIR
Erick All Jr.TEIR
Tanner HudsonTEIR
Andrei IosivasWRIR
ATLAtlanta Falcons
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Da’Shawn HandDTIR
JD BertrandLBIR
Yasir AbdullahLBIR
Michael JerrellOLIR
Jalon WalkerOLBIR
Cameron WilliamsOTIR
Trey SermonRBIR
Beaux CollinsWRIR
Storm NortonOLPUP
DeAngelo MaloneOLBPUP
James Pearce Jr.DESusp

The best passing offence in football lands in Spain

A 111.6 team passer rating and 52.9% on third down, both league-leading, with Burrow on 2,019 yards and 20 touchdowns.

Atlanta counters on the ground, where 1,078 rushing yards at 4.61 a carry meets a Bengals front conceding 4.84 — the one soft spot on that side of the ball.

The Falcons cannot afford another afternoon like the last one. Four interceptions at a 12.0 rating is close to the floor.

Players to watch

  • Joe Burrow (CIN, QB): 2,115 yards and 20 scores at a 111.6 rating.
  • Ja’Marr Chase (CIN, WR): First read in the best third-down attack going.
  • Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): 1,078 on the ground at 4.61 a carry.
  • Drake London (ATL, WR): A primary target in an attack rating 76.6 through the air.

How to watch Bengals vs Falcons in Canada

Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 8 at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid. This one kicks off in the morning Eastern time, outside the usual Sunday afternoon window, so check your local listings for the Canadian broadcaster. RDS carries the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailBengals vs Falcons
DateSunday, November 8, 2026
Kickoff9:30 AM ET / 8:30 AM CT / 6:30 AM PT
VenueSantiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid, Spain
TVCTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass)
WeekWeek 9, 2026 NFL season

Bengals vs Falcons prediction and score projection

Our Bengals vs Falcons prediction is Cincinnati by 27-17. Atlanta runs the ball well and the neutral stadium removes any home edge, but the Bengals lead the NFL in passer rating and third-down rate.

Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.

Every Week 9 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 9:15 PMJaguars @ RavensJaguars 27-20Read
Sun 10:30 AMBengals @ FalconsBengals 27-17You are here
Sun 2:00 PMBrowns @ SaintsSaints 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMCowboys @ ColtsCowboys 26-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMBroncos @ PanthersBroncos 26-16Read
Sun 2:00 PMLions @ DolphinsLions 30-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMRams @ CommandersRams 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMGiants @ EaglesGiants 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMJets @ ChiefsChiefs 30-13Read
Sun 5:05 PMTexans @ ChargersTexans 23-17Read
Sun 5:25 PMCardinals @ SeahawksSeahawks 30-16Read
Sun 5:25 PMPackers @ PatriotsPatriots 24-20Read
Sun 5:25 PMRaiders @ 49ers49ers 30-17Read
Sun 9:20 PMBuccaneers @ BearsBears 27-20Read
Mon 9:15 PMBills @ VikingsBills 27-24Read

Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 9 game on the same model. An inter-conference game, which means the AFC Championship odds and the NFC Championship odds are each in play rather than just one of them.

Bengals vs Falcons FAQ

Who is favoured, the Bengals or the Falcons?

Cincinnati. Our Signal model has the Bengals as clear favourites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page. Cincinnati is 5-2 at +48; Atlanta is 3-5.

What time is Bengals vs Falcons in Canada?

9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 8, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT, at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium.

How can I watch Bengals vs Falcons in Canada?

It kicks off in the morning Eastern time, outside the usual Sunday afternoon window, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.

Where is Bengals vs Falcons being played?

The Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, with Atlanta as the designated home team.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change