Kansas City Chiefs Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Chiefs game this season, plus AFC West standings and Super Bowl odds.
Chiefs 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | |
|---|---|---|
| Chiefs Super Bowl oddsFull odds | 0.8% | Signal read |
| Chiefs AFC Championship oddsFull odds | 2.1% | Signal read |
| Chiefs AFC West odds | 11.1% | Signal read |
Moneyline
Against the spread
Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
AFC West standings and division odds
Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win AFC West | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 Denver Broncos | – | 69.2% | 87.1% |
 Los Angeles Chargers | – | 19.5% | 49.7% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | – | 11.1% | 35.4% |
 Las Vegas Raiders | – | 0.3% | 1.5% |
Kansas City Chiefs schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line.
Chiefs injury report
Latest Chiefs coverage
Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · TodayKansas City Chiefs roster
74 players · tap to open
Offense 36
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Justin Fields | QB | 6 | Ohio State |
| 15 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | 10 | Texas Tech |
| 14 | Garrett Nussmeier | QB | LSU | |
| 9 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | 5 | Michigan State |
| 10 | Emmett Johnson | RB | Nebraska | |
| 39 | Jaydn Ott | RB | Oklahoma | |
| 24 | Brashard Smith | RB | 2 | SMU |
| 47 | Ben VanSumeren | FB | 4 | Michigan State |
| 13 | Cyrus Allen | WR | Cincinnati | |
| 85 | Andrew Armstrong | WR | 1 | Arkansas |
| 8 | Jeff Caldwell | WR | Cincinnati | |
| 80 | Omari Evans | WR | Washington | |
| 82 | Jimmy Holiday | WR | 1 | Louisiana Tech |
| 81 | Nikko Remigio | WR | 2 | Fresno State |
| 4 | Rashee Rice | WR | 4 | SMU |
| 11 | Jalen Royals | WR | 2 | Utah State |
| 2 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | 5 | Baylor |
| 1 | Xavier Worthy | WR | 3 | Texas |
| 88 | Jake Briningstool | TE | 2 | Clemson |
| 83 | Noah Gray | TE | 6 | Duke |
| 84 | John Michael Gyllenborg | TE | Wyoming | |
| 87 | Travis Kelce | TE | 14 | Cincinnati |
| Thomas Odukoya | TE | 2 | Eastern Michigan | |
| 12 | Jared Wiley | TE | 3 | TCU |
| 52 | Creed Humphrey | C | 6 | Oklahoma |
| 50 | Pete Nygra | C | Louisville | |
| 65 | Trey Smith | G | 6 | Tennessee |
| 73 | Joshua Ezeudu | OG | 5 | North Carolina |
| 61 | Diego Pounds | OT | Ole Miss | |
| 71 | Josh Simmons | OT | 2 | Ohio State |
| 70 | Kahlil Benson | T | Indiana | |
| 75 | Ethan Driskell | T | 2 | Marshall |
| 76 | Kingsley Suamataia | T | 3 | BYU |
| 66 | Mike Caliendo | OL | 4 | Western Michigan |
| 77 | Jaylon Moore | OL | 6 | Western Michigan |
| 64 | Hunter Nourzad | OL | 3 | Penn State |
Defense 35
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | Felix Anudike-Uzomah | DE | 4 | Kansas State |
| 97 | Ashton Gillotte | DE | 2 | Louisville |
| 56 | George Karlaftis | DE | 5 | Purdue |
| 90 | Emmanuel Ogbah | DE | 11 | Oklahoma State |
| 57 | Tyreke Smith | DE | 3 | Ohio State |
| 51 | R Mason Thomas | DE | Oklahoma | |
| 68 | Marcus Harris | DT | 1 | Auburn |
| 95 | Chris Jones | DT | 11 | Mississippi State |
| 55 | Omarr Norman-Lott | DT | 2 | Tennessee |
| 99 | Peter Woods | DT | Clemson | |
| 94 | Bryson Eason | DL | Tennessee | |
| 92 | Khyiris Tonga | NT | 6 | BYU |
| 31 | Jeffrey Bassa | LB | 2 | Oregon |
| 32 | Nick Bolton | LB | 6 | Missouri |
| 48 | Cole Christiansen | LB | 2 | Army |
| 43 | Jack Cochrane | LB | 5 | South Dakota |
| 45 | Cam Jones | LB | 3 | Indiana |
| 44 | Cooper McDonald | LB | 2 | TCU |
| 23 | Drue Tranquill | LB | 8 | Notre Dame |
| 40 | Ethan Downs | OLB | 1 | Oklahoma |
| 54 | Jack Pyburn | OLB | LSU | |
| 22 | Jadon Canady | CB | Oregon | |
| 5 | Mansoor Delane | CB | LSU | |
| 8 | Kristian Fulton | CB | 6 | LSU |
| 26 | Kader Kohou | CB | 5 | East Texas A&M |
| 46 | D'Arco Perkins-McAllister | CB | Louisiana-Monroe | |
| 30 | Chris Roland-Wallace | CB | 3 | USC |
| 38 | L'Jarius Sneed | CB | 7 | Louisiana Tech |
| 17 | Alohi Gilman | SAF | 7 | Notre Dame |
| 34 | Tanner McCalister | SAF | 1 | Ohio State |
| 29 | Xavier Nwankpa | SAF | Iowa | |
| 25 | DeShon Singleton | SAF | Nebraska | |
| 27 | Chamarri Conner | DB | 4 | Virginia Tech |
| 21 | Jaden Hicks | DB | 3 | Washington State |
| 20 | Nohl Williams | DB | 2 | California |
Special teams 3
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Harrison Butker | K | 10 | Georgia Tech |
| 14 | Matt Araiza | P | 3 | San Diego State |
| 41 | James Winchester | LS | 12 | Oklahoma |
Kansas City Chiefs FAQ
What are the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds?
Squawka Signal gives the Chiefs a 0.8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. See the full Super Bowl odds.
Can the Chiefs win the AFC West?
The model makes them 11.1% to win the AFC West. The Denver Broncos are favoured at 69.2%.
Will the Chiefs make the playoffs?
Signal has them at 35.4% to reach the postseason, and 1.3% to take the No.1 seed in the AFC.
Who do the Chiefs play next?
Week 1, at home to Denver Broncos on Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET. Signal makes the Chiefs 37% with a projected line of KC +3.4. Read our full preview.
Who is the Chiefs’ starting quarterback?
Patrick Mahomes. That is the projected starter our model rates the Chiefs on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.
What record are the Chiefs projected to finish with?
Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 8-9 (8.5 wins).
When is the Chiefs’ bye week?
Week 5 of the 2026 season.
What is the Chiefs’ power ranking?
Signal ranks them #16 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.
Where do the Chiefs play?
Kansas City Chiefs play their home games at Arrowhead Stadium.