Kansas City runs at 5.08 yards a carry, the best average in the NFL, and concedes 1.5 touchdowns a game. Atlanta rates 76.4 through the air, 29th. Our Chiefs vs Falcons prediction has a 6-2 club against a 3-6 one.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 6-2 at +59. The Atlanta Falcons are 3-6 and have given up 223 points in nine games.
Chiefs vs Falcons: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Chiefs vs Falcons: 2026 form so far
A 6-2 club that runs it better than anyone, visiting a 3-6 one that cannot throw. The table weighs what each team produces against what the other keeps giving up.
Chiefs attack against the Falcons defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Falcons allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 246.4 | 228.0 |
| Rushing yards | 137.8 | 118.8 |
| Yards per carry | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| Passer rating | 101.8 | 96.3 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.7% | 42.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 63.3% | 64.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.4 | 2.2 |
Falcons attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Falcons offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 185.4 | 210.4 |
| Rushing yards | 137.2 | 97.5 |
| Yards per carry | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 76.4 | 79.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.9% | 36.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 61.5% | 36.8% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.7 | 1.8 |
The Chiefs concede 36.8% in the red zone, second in the NFL, and 1.5 touchdowns a game.
Kansas City Chiefs 6-2 · average margin +7.4
Atlanta Falcons 3-6 · average margin -3.9
Chiefs vs Falcons quarterback matchup
Patrick Mahomes threw for 242 yards and two scores at a 117.9 rating in a 35-12 win. Michael Penix Jr. completed 20 of 31 for 162 at 74.9.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 23/31, 242 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 117.9 rtg | 177/263, 2037 yds, 14 TD, 4 INT, 101.8 rtg (8 games) |
| Falcons | Michael Penix Jr. | 20/31, 162 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 74.9 rtg | 124/199, 1444 yds, 10 TD, 6 INT, 88.4 rtg (7 games) |
Chiefs vs Falcons injury report and team news
Kansas City averages 5.08 yards a carry, the best figure in the NFL.
The Chiefs concede 36.8% of red-zone trips, second in the league.
Atlanta rates 76.4 through the air, 29th in the NFL.
The best run game in football against a club that has to throw
The Chiefs are 6-2 and the ground game is the understated half: 5.08 a carry leads the league and 138 yards a game is fifth.
The defence carries more of it. Opponents manage 1.5 touchdowns a game, convert 36.8% in the red zone and rate 79.4.
Atlanta runs it well at 4.79 a carry, fourth in the NFL. The throw game is the trouble at 185 yards and a 76.4 rating, and Kansas City removes exactly that.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): Threw for 242 yards and two scores at 117.9 last week.
- Rashee Rice (KC, WR): Primary target in an attack scoring 3.0 touchdowns a game.
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): Fronts a run game at 4.79 a carry, fourth in the NFL.
- Drake London (ATL, WR): Led the Falcons receivers in the loss to Cincinnati.
How to watch Chiefs vs Falcons in Canada
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, so check your local listings for this one, and RDS has the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Falcons |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Falcons prediction and score projection
Our Chiefs vs Falcons prediction is Kansas City by 27-16. The Falcons’ run game holds up; their passing does not, and the Chiefs are built to force the issue.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
The rest of the week is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 10 game the same way. This one crosses the conferences, so the AFC Championship odds and the NFC Championship odds are both worth a look as the season develops.
Chiefs vs Falcons FAQ
Kansas City. The Chiefs are 6-2 at +59 against a 3-6 Atlanta club. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Kansas City, at 5.08 yards a carry — the best average in the NFL.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change