Atlanta Falcons Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Falcons game this season, plus NFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.
Falcons 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | |
|---|---|---|
| Falcons Super Bowl odds | 0.4% | Model read |
| Falcons NFC Championship odds | 1.5% | Model read |
| Falcons NFC South odds | 30.8% | Model read |
at Pittsburgh SteelersSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETMoneyline
Against the spread
Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
NFC South standings and division odds
Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win NFC South | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers | – | 31.9% | 38.6% |
| Atlanta Falcons | – | 30.8% | 36.8% |
 New Orleans Saints | – | 28.0% | 34.5% |
 Carolina Panthers | – | 9.3% | 11.8% |
Atlanta Falcons schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line.
Carolina PanthersSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET60%win prob-2.7proj line
Green Bay PackersThu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET36%win prob+3.8proj lineNew Orleans SaintsMon Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET50%win prob+0.1proj line
Baltimore RavensSun Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET45%win prob+1.4proj line
Chicago BearsSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET47%win prob+0.8proj line
San Francisco 49ersSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET43%win prob+1.8proj lineTampa Bay BuccaneersSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET44%win prob+1.6proj line
Cincinnati Bengals Neutral siteSun Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET49%win prob+0.4proj line
Kansas City ChiefsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line
Minnesota VikingsSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET33%win prob+4.5proj line
Detroit LionsSun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET43%win prob+2.0proj line
Cleveland BrownsSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET52%win prob-0.4proj line
Washington CommandersSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET47%win prob+0.7proj lineTampa Bay Buccaneers FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET54%win prob-1.0proj lineNew Orleans SaintsSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET60%win prob-2.6proj lineCarolina Panthers FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET50%win prob-0.1proj lineFalcons injury report
Latest Falcons coverage
Falcons vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · TodayAtlanta Falcons (ATL) play in the NFC South and host their home games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This is our reference record for the 2026 season: the club facts, the schedule markers, and where our model sits against the Canadian market.
Atlanta Falcons club facts
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Conference | NFC |
| Division | NFC South |
| Abbreviation | ATL |
| Home venue | Mercedes-Benz Stadium |
2026 season markers
| Marker | Detail |
|---|---|
| Regular season win total | 7.5 at BetMGM |
| Bye week | Week 11 |
| Week 1 | at PIT, Sun 13 Sep, 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX |
Win totals close when the season kicks off on Wednesday 9 September and do not reopen. The bye is the one week this team does not play, which matters for anyone tracking a season-long position.
Atlanta Falcons roster
The Atlanta Falcons roster below comes from our data provider, pulled on 2 September 2026. That is 78 players, which is the club’s full file as filed with the league rather than a game-day 53, and it does not separate the active roster from the practice squad. Two notes on reading it. Experience counts completed NFL seasons, so a 0 marks a rookie. A dash in the number column means no jersey has been assigned.
The Status column flags anyone the league currently lists as unavailable. IR is injured reserve; PUP is the physically unable to perform list; Suspended is a league suspension; Unavailable covers the remaining designations, which our data provider supplies as codes we would rather pass over than guess at. A blank cell means no such designation was found, which is not the same as a confirmed place on the active roster: practice-squad players sit in this list too and are not marked separately.
Offence (37)
| No. | Player | Pos | Status | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | 7 | Alabama | |
| 9 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 3 | Washington | |
| 13 | Cooper Rush | QB | 9 | Central Michigan | |
| 18 | Jack Strand | QB | 0 | Minnesota State Moorhead | |
| 7 | Bijan Robinson | RB | 4 | Texas | |
| 15 | Brian Robinson | RB | 5 | Alabama | |
| 44 | Trey Sermon | RB | IR | 5 | Ohio State |
| – | Cash Jones | RB | 0 | Georgia | |
| – | Tyler Goodson | RB | 4 | Iowa | |
| 4 | Jahan Dotson | WR | 5 | Penn State | |
| 5 | Drake London | WR | 5 | USC | |
| 14 | Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | 8 | Virginia | |
| 17 | Zachariah Branch | WR | 0 | Georgia | |
| 19 | Chris Blair | WR | 2 | Alcorn State | |
| – | Beaux Collins | WR | IR | 2 | Notre Dame |
| – | Dylan Drummond | WR | 2 | Eastern Michigan | |
| – | Juice Wells Jr. | WR | 1 | Ole Miss | |
| – | Vinny Anthony II | WR | 0 | Wisconsin | |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | TE | 5 | Florida | |
| 81 | Austin Hooper | TE | 11 | Stanford | |
| 89 | Charlie Woerner | TE | 7 | Georgia | |
| – | Jack Velling | TE | 0 | Michigan State | |
| – | Nick Muse | TE | 3 | South Carolina | |
| – | James Brockermeyer | C | 0 | Miami (FL) | |
| 63 | Chris Lindstrom | G | 8 | Boston College | |
| – | Kam Dewberry | OG | 0 | Alabama | |
| 70 | Jake Matthews | T | 13 | Texas A&M | |
| 71 | Jawaan Taylor | T | 8 | Florida | |
| 73 | Cameron Williams | OT | 2 | Texas | |
| 75 | Ethan Onianwa | OT | 0 | Ohio State | |
| – | Riley Mahlman | OT | 0 | Wisconsin | |
| 62 | Corey Levin | OL | 8 | Chattanooga | |
| 64 | Ryan Neuzil | OL | 5 | Appalachian State | |
| 65 | Matthew Bergeron | OL | 4 | Syracuse | |
| 68 | Kyle Hinton | OL | 4 | Washburn | |
| 72 | Michael Jerrell | OL | 3 | Findlay | |
| 77 | Storm Norton | OL | 7 | Toledo |
Defence (38)
| No. | Player | Pos | Status | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Gervon Dexter Sr. | DL | 4 | Florida | |
| 27 | James Pearce Jr. | DE | Suspended | 2 | Tennessee |
| 52 | Samson Ebukam | DE | 10 | Eastern Washington | |
| 91 | Za’Darius Smith | DE | 11 | Kentucky | |
| 99 | Cameron Thomas | DE | 5 | San Diego State | |
| – | Cameron Sample | DE | 5 | Tulane | |
| – | Keshawn Banks | DE | IR | 1 | San Diego State |
| 54 | Brandon Dorlus | DT | 3 | Oregon | |
| 90 | Da’Shawn Hand | DT | 9 | Alabama | |
| 92 | Maason Smith | DT | 3 | LSU | |
| 94 | LaCale London | DT | 3 | Western Illinois | |
| 98 | Anterio Thompson | DT | Unavailable | 0 | Washington |
| – | Carlos Allen Jr. | DT | 0 | Houston | |
| 11 | Jalon Walker | OLB | IR | 2 | Georgia |
| 50 | DeAngelo Malone | OLB | PUP | 5 | Western Kentucky |
| 0 | Divine Deablo | LB | 6 | Virginia Tech | |
| 22 | Yasir Abdullah | LB | 4 | Louisville | |
| 40 | JD Bertrand | LB | IR | 3 | Notre Dame |
| 42 | Josh Woods | LB | 7 | Maryland | |
| 43 | Malik Verdon | LB | IR | 1 | Iowa State |
| 45 | Christian Harris | LB | 5 | Alabama | |
| 51 | Jared Ivey | LB | 2 | Ole Miss | |
| 53 | Kendal Daniels | LB | 0 | Oklahoma | |
| 56 | Harold Perkins Jr. | LB | 0 | LSU | |
| 12 | Avieon Terrell | CB | 0 | Clemson | |
| 21 | Mike Hughes | CB | 9 | UCF | |
| 24 | A.J. Terrell Jr. | CB | 7 | Clemson | |
| 26 | C.J. Henderson | CB | 6 | Florida | |
| 28 | Mike Ford Jr. | CB | 9 | Southeast Missouri State | |
| 33 | Billy Bowman Jr. | CB | PUP | 2 | Oklahoma |
| 36 | Malcolm DeWalt IV | CB | 0 | Akron | |
| 41 | Darren Hall | CB | IR | 5 | San Diego State |
| – | Cobee Bryant | CB | 2 | Kansas | |
| – | Darnay Holmes | CB | 7 | UCLA | |
| 3 | Jessie Bates III | SAF | 9 | Wake Forest | |
| 23 | DeMarcco Hellams | SAF | 4 | Alabama | |
| 29 | Sydney Brown | SAF | 4 | Illinois | |
| 31 | Xavier Watts | SAF | 2 | Notre Dame |
Special teams (3)
| No. | Player | Pos | Status | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nick Folk | K | 19 | Arizona | |
| 16 | Jake Bailey | P | 8 | Stanford | |
| 49 | Liam McCullough | LS | 5 | Ohio State |
Rosters move constantly at this time of year, with practice-squad elevations, injury designations and waiver claims all in play. We refresh this list through the season, and the date above is the one that matters. For how the squad translates into a season-long price, the Super Bowl odds board tracks the market and our model methodology explains the projection.
Model against the market
Atlanta Falcons odds sit in two places: the season-long markets below, which are priced now and settle in February, and the weekly lines that open once the schedule starts. These are the season-long ones.
| Measure | Squawka Signal | Market (DraftKings, de-vigged) | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win the Super Bowl | 0.4% | 0.6% (+13000) | Overpriced |
| Win the NFC | 1.4% | 1.5% (+5500) | Fair |
| Reach the playoffs | 36% | not priced as a standalone market | |
| Squawka Rating | 48 of 100 (ranked 22 of 32) |
Signal figures are our model. Market figures are the DraftKings price with the book margin removed so the two are comparable. Super Bowl prices checked 27 August 2026, NFC Championship prices last published 21 July 2026. Full workings in our model methodology and the Super Bowl odds board.
The NFC South.
7.5 regular season wins at BetMGM, checked 28 August 2026. The market closes at kickoff on 9 September.
Week 11 of the 2026 season.
There are 78 on the club’s full player file as of 2 September 2026. That figure covers the active roster and the practice squad together, not the game-day 53.
19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON), see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere. Odds shown at the time of writing and subject to change. Model figures are estimates, not predictions.