Our Chiefs vs Raiders prediction covers the only game this week between two unbeaten teams, and the AFC West has both. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have forced 10 fumbles and taken four interceptions. The Kansas City Chiefs have run 92 times for 460 yards at 5.0 a carry. Allegiant Stadium hosts the best fixture of the round.
Chiefs vs Raiders: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Chiefs vs Raiders: 2026 form so far
Two 3-0 teams who have got there differently. The table puts each attack against what the opposite defence allows.
Chiefs attack against the Raiders defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Raiders allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 263.0 | 200.3 |
| Rushing yards | 153.3 | 116.3 |
| Yards per carry | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Passer rating | 108.9 | 82.2 |
| Touchdowns | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 45.9% | 41.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 77.8% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.3 | 3.3 |
Raiders attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Raiders offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 211.7 | 178.3 |
| Rushing yards | 100.0 | 99.7 |
| Yards per carry | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 107.2 | 71.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.0% | 37.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 61.5% | 57.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Las Vegas have forced 10 fumbles and taken four interceptions. Kansas City have conceded five touchdowns in three games.
Chiefs vs Raiders quarterback matchup
Kirk Cousins has nine touchdown passes and three interceptions. Patrick Mahomes has seven and two.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 20/24, 246 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 119.8 rtg | 67/98, 812 yds, 7 TD, 2 INT, 108.9 rtg (3 games) |
| Raiders | Kirk Cousins | 22/33, 248 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 119.3 rtg | 62/92, 661 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 107.2 rtg (3 games) |
Chiefs vs Raiders injury report and team news
Las Vegas have forced 10 fumbles in three games, four of them in a 35-27 win at New Orleans.
Kenneth Walker III has 360 rushing yards for Kansas City, more than any other player in the league.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Chiefs vs Raiders is decided
Kansas City’s defence has conceded a 71.9 passer rating, behind only Minnesota. That is the foundation of their unbeaten start.
Las Vegas generate turnovers rather than stops: 10 sacks, four interceptions and 10 forced fumbles in three games.
Brock Bowers has become the focal point, with 13 targets at New Orleans. Kansas City have conceded 535 passing yards, so the volume should be there again.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 20 of 24 for 246 yards and two touchdowns at Miami.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): 360 rushing yards this season, more than any other player.
- Kirk Cousins (LV, QB): 248 yards and three touchdowns at New Orleans.
- Brock Bowers (LV, TE): 10 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown in Week 3.
How to watch Chiefs vs Raiders
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday 4 October at Allegiant Stadium, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Raiders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Raiders prediction and score projection
Our Chiefs vs Raiders prediction is a Kansas City win, 27-24, rated 3/5. Home advantage makes it closer than the records suggest.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 4 game the same way. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.
Chiefs vs Raiders FAQ
Kansas City, narrowly, despite playing away. Both teams are 3-0.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday 4 October, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT.
CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada.
Yes. This is the only Week 4 fixture between two 3-0 teams.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change