Our Packers vs Buccaneers prediction covers an 0-3 team whose line has conceded more sacks than anyone. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have given up 13 sacks and score on 30% of their red-zone trips. The Green Bay Packers have run for 146 yards at 3.0 a carry. Raymond James Stadium hosts two teams short of answers.
Packers vs Buccaneers: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Packers vs Buccaneers: 2026 form so far
An 0-3 team against a 1-2 team with the league’s worst ground game. The table puts each attack against what the opposite defence allows.
Packers attack against the Buccaneers defence
| Per game | Packers offence | Buccaneers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 266.7 | 206.7 |
| Rushing yards | 48.7 | 76.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| Passer rating | 83.5 | 93.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 27.8% | 35.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 41.7% | 37.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.7 | 2.0 |
Buccaneers attack against the Packers defence
| Per game | Buccaneers offence | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 185.0 | 202.0 |
| Rushing yards | 94.3 | 138.7 |
| Yards per carry | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 73.4 | 97.2 |
| Touchdowns | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.6% | 50.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 30.0% | 83.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 4.3 | 2.3 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Green Bay have been penalised 32 times for 276 yards, more than any other team, and concede 83.3% of red-zone trips.
Packers vs Buccaneers quarterback matchup
Baker Mayfield has two touchdown passes and two interceptions. Jordan Love has six and two from 28 more attempts.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | Jordan Love | 28/53, 312 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 75.4 rtg | 65/124, 844 yds, 6 TD, 2 INT, 83.5 rtg (3 games) |
| Buccaneers | Baker Mayfield | 17/34, 217 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 67.9 rtg | 61/96, 615 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT, 80.0 rtg (3 games) |
| Jalon Daniels | 0/3, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0.0 rtg | 0/3, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0.0 rtg (1 game) |
Packers vs Buccaneers injury report and team news
Micah Parsons is on the physically unable to perform list for Green Bay after 12 sacks last season.
Josh Jacobs is on the exempt list, and the Packers have managed 146 rushing yards in three games without him.
Rookie Jalon Daniels attempted three passes for Tampa Bay against Minnesota and threw an interception.
Where Packers vs Buccaneers is decided
Tampa Bay’s 13 sacks conceded are three more than any other team. Green Bay’s front has seven sacks, which is the most obvious route to a road win.
The Packers cannot run at all. Green Bay have run for 146 yards at 3.0 a carry, the lowest rushing total in the league.
Green Bay’s discipline is the counterweight. Thirty-two penalties for 276 yards is a lot of free field position to hand an 0-3 team.
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 312 yards and two touchdowns from 53 attempts against Atlanta.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): Seven catches for 96 yards and a score in Week 3.
- Baker Mayfield (TB, QB): 217 yards from 34 attempts against Minnesota.
- Emeka Egbuka (TB, WR): Five catches for 62 yards in Week 3.
How to watch Packers vs Buccaneers
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday 4 October at Raymond James Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Packers vs Buccaneers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Packers vs Buccaneers prediction and score projection
Our Packers vs Buccaneers prediction is a Green Bay win, 23-20, rated 2/5. Neither side has earned more confidence than that.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 4 game the same way. Both these teams are chasing the NFC Championship odds, with the AFC Championship odds tracked alongside them through the season.
Packers vs Buccaneers FAQ
Green Bay, narrowly, despite playing away. The Packers are 1-2 and Tampa Bay 0-3.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday 4 October, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada.
Baker Mayfield, who took 34 of 37 throws against Minnesota. Rookie Jalon Daniels attempted the other three.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change