Our Dolphins vs Vikings prediction covers an unbeaten team with the league’s most disruptive defence. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Minnesota Vikings have 14 sacks and four interceptions, and they hold opponents to a 67.7 passer rating. The Miami Dolphins are 0-3 with three touchdowns and no sacks of their own. U.S. Bank Stadium should be straightforward.
Dolphins vs Vikings: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Dolphins vs Vikings: 2026 form so far
An unbeaten defence against a winless offence. The table puts each attack against what the opposite side allows.
Dolphins attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 192.3 | 234.0 |
| Rushing yards | 98.3 | 85.7 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 74.1 | 67.7 |
| Touchdowns | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.5% | 22.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 28.6% | 11.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 4.7 |
Vikings attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 137.0 | 231.0 |
| Rushing yards | 101.3 | 104.3 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 82.1 | 118.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 30.2% | 48.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 80.0% | 78.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Minnesota concede on 11.1% of red-zone trips, the best rate in the league. Miami convert 28.6% of their own.
Dolphins vs Vikings quarterback matchup
Kyler Murray has played twice for Minnesota since arriving from Arizona. Malik Willis has started all three Miami games.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 20/36, 210 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 61.1 rtg | 49/86, 627 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 74.1 rtg (3 games) |
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 15/29, 168 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 66.5 rtg | 18/34, 186 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 54.3 rtg (2 games) |
Dolphins vs Vikings injury report and team news
Minnesota have conceded three touchdowns in three games, level with Jacksonville for the fewest in the league.
De’Von Achane carried only three times against Kansas City, a sharp drop in workload.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Dolphins vs Vikings is decided
Minnesota’s pass rush leads the league with 14 sacks. Miami have conceded nine and generated none.
The Vikings hold opponents to 22.7% on third down, the best rate in football, which keeps their own modest offence in front.
Miami’s 36 points across three games is level with New England for the fewest. There is no obvious route to changing that here.
Players to watch
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): 210 yards and an interception against Kansas City.
- De’Von Achane (MIA, RB): Three carries for 17 yards in Week 3, a much reduced workload.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): 168 yards and a touchdown at Tampa Bay.
- Jordan Addison (MIN, WR): Five catches for 90 yards and a touchdown in Week 3.
How to watch Dolphins vs Vikings
Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday 4 October at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 3:05 PM CT and 1:05 PM PT. CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:05 PM ET / 3:05 PM CT / 1:05 PM PT |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Dolphins vs Vikings prediction is a Minnesota win, 24-13, rated 4/5. The defensive gap is as wide as any on the card.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 4 game the same way. This one crosses the conferences, so the AFC Championship odds and the NFC Championship odds are both worth a look as the season develops.
Dolphins vs Vikings FAQ
Minnesota, comfortably, at home. The Vikings are 3-0 and Miami 0-3.
4:05 PM ET on Sunday 4 October, which is 3:05 PM CT and 1:05 PM PT.
CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada.
None. They are the only team in the league yet to record a sack this season.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change