New Orleans have conceded 18 touchdowns and 151 points, both the worst figures in the NFL. Our Saints vs Giants prediction asks how a team scoring 118 points is 1-4.
The New York Giants are 3-1-1 after last week’s tie in Washington, with a point differential of +3. The New Orleans Saints convert 81.2% of their red-zone trips, the third-best rate in the league, and still cannot win.
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
New Orleans SaintsSquawka34%Market52%▼ Overpriced
New York GiantsSquawka66%Market48%▲ Strong valueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Saints vs Giants: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Saints vs Giants: 2026 form so far
Two defenses that cannot stop the run, and one offense that keeps scoring anyway. The table sets each attack against what the other has conceded.
Saints attack against the Giants defense
| Per game | Saints offense | Giants allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 240.2 | 199.4 |
| Rushing yards | 81.8 | 127.6 |
| Yards per carry | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Passer rating | 88.6 | 86.7 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 45.8% | 45.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 81.2% | 69.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.6 | 1.6 |
Giants attack against the Saints defense
| Per game | Giants offense | Saints allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 199.2 | 212.2 |
| Rushing yards | 109.0 | 148.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| Passer rating | 90.3 | 106.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| Third-down conversion | 44.3% | 48.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 64.3% | 63.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.6 | 2.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
New Orleans have conceded 151 points, more than any team in the league, and 18 touchdowns. An 81.2% red-zone offense has been nowhere near enough to cover it.
Saints vs Giants quarterback matchup
New York rate 90.3 through the air to New Orleans’ 88.6, the narrowest passing gap in this week’s NFC games.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | Tyler Shough | 29/42, 255 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, 106.7 rtg | 121/180, 1203 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 95.7 rtg (4 games) |
| Giants | Jameis Winston | 14/22, 118 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 77.5 rtg | 43/78, 479 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT, 70.4 rtg (3 games) |
Saints vs Giants injury report and team news
Chris Olave has 537 receiving yards, second in the NFL behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
The Giants drew 27-27 in Washington in Week 5, the first tie of the season.
New Orleans concede 4.86 yards a carry and the Giants 5.19, two of the four worst run defenses in the league.
New Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsThe worst defense in the league, and a tie
One hundred and fifty-one points conceded in five games. No team in the NFL has given up more, and 18 touchdowns against is the same story told differently.
New Orleans can score. An 81.2% red-zone conversion rate is third in the league and Chris Olave’s 537 receiving yards are second. The problem has never been the attack.
The Giants are not built to punish it from distance. They have scored 109 points and run for 3.71 a carry, so this comes down to whether a 3-1-1 team can finally beat someone by more than a field goal.
Players to watch
- Chris Olave (NO, WR): 537 receiving yards, second in the NFL.
- Alvin Kamara (NO, RB): Leads a ground game in an offense converting 81.2% in the red zone.
- Cam Skattebo (NYG, RB): 294 rushing yards against a defense conceding 4.86 a carry.
- Malik Nabers (NYG, WR): 329 receiving yards for a side that has scored 109 points.
How to watch Saints vs Giants
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at MetLife Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Saints vs Giants |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Saints vs Giants prediction and score projection
New York win 26-20. The Saints will score and will concede more, which is the shape of every game they have played.
Signal’s live read on this game updates as the week’s team news comes in.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
The rest of the round sits in this week’s Signal picks and our wider NFL analysis. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. For the player side of this game, see prop markets for this game.
Saints vs Giants FAQ
New York, at home. The Giants are 3-1-1; New Orleans are 1-4 with a -33 differential.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, at MetLife Stadium.
New Orleans, with 151 in five games, and 18 touchdowns, both the worst in the NFL.
Yes, 27-27 in Washington, the first tie of the season.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change